KeyBanc upgrades Magnolia Oil & Gas stock to Overweight on defensive traits

Published 15/10/2025, 08:58
KeyBanc upgrades Magnolia Oil & Gas stock to Overweight on defensive traits

Investing.com - KeyBanc upgraded Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (NYSE:MGY) from Sector Weight to Overweight on Wednesday, setting a price target of $29.00.

The upgrade highlights Magnolia’s defensive characteristics, including low leverage of 0.1x and a balanced hydrocarbon production mix of 41% oil and 69% liquids.

KeyBanc noted the company’s consistent cash return framework since its 2018 de-SPAC transaction as another positive factor supporting the rating change.

The research firm believes Magnolia’s management faces the challenge of avoiding portrayal as a growth company, as its self-imposed reinvestment cap of 55% of EBITDA could fund double-digit production growth if market conditions warrant.

KeyBanc expects Magnolia’s dividend, currently yielding 2.6%, to grow by double digits in 2026, and considers a 1-2 turn multiple premium to peers on 2026 estimated EV/EBITDA reasonable given the company’s defensive attributes.

In other recent news, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation announced its second-quarter 2025 earnings, showcasing notable production growth and strategic expansions. The company demonstrated robust financial performance despite facing a challenging oil price environment. Analysts have been closely monitoring Magnolia Oil’s developments, but no upgrades or downgrades were reported from major analyst firms. The recent earnings report underscores the company’s ability to maintain stability and growth in a volatile market. Investors may find interest in Magnolia Oil’s continued focus on strategic expansions, which could influence future performance. These developments highlight the company’s resilience in navigating the complexities of the oil industry.

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