Macy’s stock target cut to $14 by Citi on comp deceleration

Published 07/03/2025, 11:42
Macy’s stock target cut to $14 by Citi on comp deceleration

On Friday, Citi analyst Paul Lejuez revised Macy’s (NYSE:M) price target to $14.00 from the previous $16.00, while keeping a Neutral rating on the shares. The stock, currently trading at $13.22, has declined nearly 8% in the past week and is down 22% year-to-date, according to InvestingPro data. The adjustment follows Macy’s fourth-quarter comparable sales, which aligned with the figures released during the holiday sales period and showed improvement compared to previous quarters. However, Lejuez noted that quarter-to-date trends indicate a slowdown in comparable sales. He acknowledged that while part of this slowdown could be attributed to weather conditions, it appears that Macy’s consumers are experiencing pressures beyond those caused by weather.

Lejuez pointed out that Macy’s management has not factored any improvement in the macroeconomic environment into its guidance, which he considers a cautious and appropriate approach given the volatility of current trends. The company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 1.43 and a robust Piotroski Score of 7, as reported by InvestingPro. He commended the management’s strategic decisions to close underperforming stores and concentrate on their top-performing locations.

Despite these efforts, Lejuez expressed concerns about the broader challenges facing department stores, a sector he believes is under secular pressure due to the availability of their products from alternative retail sources. This is compounded by near-term headwinds that the segment is currently facing.

In his analysis, Lejuez concluded that the stock’s valuation is not high, but emphasized the difficulties inherent in operating a department store at this time. He believes that the risk/reward balance for Macy’s stock is currently even, considering both the strategic moves by management and the ongoing challenges in the retail sector.

In other recent news, Macy’s Inc. reported its fourth-quarter earnings for 2025, surpassing expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.80, though revenue slightly missed forecasts at $7.77 billion. Despite the EPS beat, the company’s guidance for fiscal year 2025 projects an EPS range of $2.05 to $2.25, below the consensus estimate of $2.26. Analysts have responded with mixed ratings; JPMorgan downgraded Macy’s stock to Neutral, lowering the price target from $19 to $14, due to concerns about future earnings potential. Similarly, CFRA adjusted its price target to $13 from $15 while maintaining a Hold rating, citing anticipated long-term challenges in the department store sector.

Citi, however, maintained a Neutral rating with a price target of $16, acknowledging the earnings beat but noting that Macy’s first-quarter guidance for 2025 did not meet consensus expectations. Macy’s management has forecasted a decline in same-store sales of 2.5% to 4.5% for the first quarter, contrasting with the consensus projection of flat sales. The company also closed 64 underperforming stores and improved delivery speeds, which are part of its strategic focus on long-term growth despite challenging market conditions. Macy’s anticipates a full-year comparable sales decline of 1.25% at the midpoint, reflecting a cautious outlook amid economic uncertainties.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.