Maxim maintains Buy on Strategy stock, target steady at $500

Published 05/05/2025, 14:34
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Monday, Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) shares, currently trading at $384.97, maintained their Buy rating from Maxim Group, with the firm reiterating its $500 price target. Despite Strategy’s first-quarter revenue falling short of expectations, reporting $111.1M against the anticipated $115.9M, Maxim Group highlighted the company’s significant growth in subscription revenue and continued investment in Bitcoin. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has shown remarkable performance with a 222% return over the past year, though investors should note its high volatility.

On May 1, Strategy disclosed its Q1 2025 results, which included a substantial 62% increase in subscription revenue. However, the company faced a $5.9 billion non-cash impairment charge due to a decline in Bitcoin prices. Strategy’s aggressive approach to Bitcoin accumulation was evident as it added 81,785 bitcoins in the first quarter, funded by a mix of equity, convertible notes, and preferred stock sales. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains a moderate debt level with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, while operating with an impressive gross profit margin of 71%.

Strategy World, the firm’s annual event focusing on business intelligence, artificial intelligence, and Bitcoin, commenced on Monday, with Executive Chairman Michael Saylor set to deliver a keynote address on Tuesday at 9 am. Strategy’s management has laid out an ambitious capital plan aiming for $42 billion in equity and the same amount in fixed income instruments by 2027. The company announced a new $21 billion common stock at-the-market offering on May 1.

The company’s balance sheet shows $60.3 million in cash and a significant holding of $52.1 billion in Bitcoin as of the end of Q1 2025, calculated at the Bitcoin price of $96,775 on May 1. Maxim Group’s confidence in Strategy’s stock rating and price target is underpinned by the value of Bitcoin holdings and the company’s solid access to capital. Strategy’s convertible debt, totaling approximately $8.2 billion, is currently trading above strike prices, with maturities spread from 2028 to 2032. Based on InvestingPro Fair Value analysis, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, despite its strong momentum. Investors can access detailed valuation metrics, 12 additional ProTips, and comprehensive financial analysis through InvestingPro’s exclusive Research Report, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, MicroStrategy Incorporated has reported a significant miss in its first-quarter 2025 earnings, with an earnings per share (EPS) of -16.53, far below the forecasted -0.11. Revenue also fell short, coming in at $111.1 million against a projected $117.08 million. Despite these challenges, the company continues to expand its Bitcoin holdings, now totaling 553,555 Bitcoins, valued at $52.6 billion. Additionally, MicroStrategy has raised its Bitcoin yield target for 2025 to 25% from the previous 15%.

Analyst activity around MicroStrategy has been notable, with Cantor Fitzgerald adjusting its price target for the company to $614 while maintaining an Overweight rating. H.C. Wainwright has increased its price target to $521, citing raised guidance and maintaining a Buy rating. Benchmark analysts have reaffirmed their Buy rating with a $650 target, emphasizing confidence in the company’s strategic investment in Bitcoin and its software business.

MicroStrategy has also announced an ambitious capital increase strategy, planning to raise $84 billion through 2027, doubling its initial projection. This capital is intended to support the company’s growth and investment plans over the coming years. The firm’s strategic financial maneuvers, including issuing common equity, convertible notes, and preferred shares, have been instrumental in funding its substantial Bitcoin acquisitions.

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