Morgan Stanley lowers Amcor stock price target to $11.50 on earnings forecast

Published 12/11/2025, 11:32
Morgan Stanley lowers Amcor stock price target to $11.50 on earnings forecast

Investing.com - Morgan Stanley has reduced its price target on Amcor Plc. (NYSE:AMCR) to $11.50 from $12.00 while maintaining an Overweight rating on the packaging company’s stock. Despite the reduction, the new target still represents significant upside potential from the current price of $8.46. According to InvestingPro data, Amcor pays a substantial 6.15% dividend yield and has raised its dividend for 7 consecutive years.

The price target adjustment follows Amcor’s first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, which prompted Morgan Stanley to update its financial model for the company.

The investment bank lowered its operating profit (EBIT) forecasts by 1%, 2%, and 2% for fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively. Earnings per share projections increased by 1% for fiscal 2026 but decreased by 2% and 3% for fiscal 2027 and 2028.

Morgan Stanley’s new price target is based on three equally weighted valuation methods: a price-to-earnings approach ($9.68), an EV/EBITDA sum-of-the-parts analysis ($9.86), and a discounted cash flow model ($14.33). The company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 26.28, which aligns with the "trading at a high earnings multiple" observation from InvestingPro.

The firm maintained its 8.0% weighted average cost of capital assumption and used an unchanged currency exchange rate of 0.65 to translate its U.S. dollar-based price target to Australian dollars. With a market capitalization of $19.6 billion and analyst targets ranging from $9 to $12, Amcor remains a significant player in the packaging industry. For deeper insights into Amcor’s financials and 5+ additional ProTips, check out the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Amcor reported its first-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2026, exceeding analyst expectations. The company achieved an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.19, slightly above the forecasted $0.18. Additionally, revenue reached $5.75 billion, surpassing projections. These results have drawn positive attention from investors. In another development, Morgan Stanley adjusted its price target for Amcor to $11.50 from a previous $12.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating. The firm also revised its earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) forecast for Amcor, reducing it by 1% for fiscal 2026 and by 2% for fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028. These updates reflect Morgan Stanley’s mixed outlook on Amcor’s future performance.

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