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On Wednesday, Citizens JMP maintained its Market Outperform rating on nCino Inc. (NASDAQ: NCNO) while lowering the price target from $43 to $32. The adjustment follows nCino’s announcement of its fourth-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2025. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades near its 52-week low of $27.29, with analyst targets ranging from $28 to $45, suggesting potential upside based on consensus estimates. The company reported a revenue of $141.4 million, a 14% increase from the previous year and slightly above the consensus estimate of $140.9 million. Subscription revenue also saw a year-over-year increase to $125.0 million, surpassing the consensus of $123.7 million and marking an acceleration from the previous quarter’s 14% growth. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 60.25% and operates with a moderate debt level, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22.
nCino’s non-GAAP operating margins were reported at 17.2%, aligning closely with the consensus forecast of 17.1%. However, the non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.12 fell short of the expected $0.19, which included a $0.09 impact from foreign exchange headwinds. Despite this, the company experienced a strong billing performance, with a 22% year-over-year increase to $200.0 million, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $180.9 million. While currently not profitable over the last twelve months, InvestingPro analysts expect the company to achieve profitability this year, with an EPS forecast of $0.73 for FY2025. Get access to 7 more exclusive InvestingPro Tips and comprehensive financial analysis in the Pro Research Report.
The company’s 24-month remaining performance obligations (RPO) showed an 18% year-over-year growth, reaching $797.0 million. This was a notable improvement compared to the 16% growth observed in the previous quarter. It is important to note that the RPO figure includes a $22 million contribution from inorganic sources.
The revised price target reflects the mixed results from the fourth quarter, balancing the strong billing and subscription revenue growth against the lower-than-expected EPS and the influence of foreign exchange. Despite the reduction in the price target, the Market Outperform rating indicates that Citizens JMP continues to see nCino as a favorable investment opportunity.
In other recent news, nCino reported its Q4 2025 earnings, revealing mixed results that saw the company missing its earnings per share (EPS) forecast but slightly exceeding revenue expectations. The company posted an EPS of $0.12, falling short of the anticipated $0.19, while revenue reached $141.4 million, surpassing the forecast of $140.85 million. Barclays (LON:BARC) analyst Saket Kalia adjusted the price target for nCino to $24 from $44, maintaining an Overweight rating, citing the company’s Annual Contract Value (ACV) growth and future revenue projections. Meanwhile, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analyst Alexander Sklar also revised the price target to $32 from $42, while keeping an Outperform rating, noting the company’s fiscal year 2026 growth outlook was more modest than expected.
Despite the earnings miss, nCino’s full-year revenues grew by 13% year-over-year, driven by a 16% increase in subscription revenues. The company is focusing on strategic shifts towards AI banking solutions under the leadership of new CEO Sean Desmond. Looking forward, nCino provided fiscal 2026 revenue guidance in the range of $574.5 million to $578.5 million, with plans for organic subscription revenue growth of 7%. The company aims to invest $10 million in sales and marketing efforts to drive future growth. Analysts from Barclays and Raymond James expressed optimism about nCino’s potential, highlighting the company’s strategic initiatives and market opportunities.
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