Needham lowers eToro Group stock price target to $76 on mixed results

Published 13/08/2025, 13:04
Needham lowers eToro Group stock price target to $76 on mixed results

Investing.com - Needham lowered its price target on eToro Group (NASDAQ:ETOR) to $76.00 from $80.00 on Wednesday, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The new target still represents significant upside from the current price of $50.74, with the stock trading near its 52-week low. InvestingPro data shows the stock may be oversold, with additional technical indicators available to subscribers.

The financial services company reported adjusted EBITDA of $72 million, exceeding Needham’s estimate of $59 million, with strength in ECC (eToro Currency Conversion) offsetting lower cryptocurrency trading volumes. According to InvestingPro data, eToro maintains a healthy financial position with a current ratio of 3.51, indicating strong liquidity, though its gross profit margins remain slim at 2.82%.

Tariff-related market volatility in April created favorable conditions for spread capture in both ECC and cryptocurrency trading, though volatility normalized in May and June before accelerating again in July at levels below April’s peak.

Needham expects modest quarter-over-quarter gains in cryptocurrency trading volume following recent Ethereum outperformance, while noting that U.S. cryptocurrency trading accelerated after eToro added 12 new digital assets in May.

The firm anticipates eToro will launch its "Copy Trader" feature in the U.S. market this year, though it noted the U.S. version will not allow "popular traders" to receive compensation, potentially limiting the feature’s effectiveness compared to its European counterpart.

In other recent news, eToro Group reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing revenue of $210 million, surpassing the consensus expectations of $198 million as noted by Mizuho. Despite this revenue beat, eToro’s earnings per share (EPS) came in at 31 cents, missing both Goldman Sachs’ estimate of 49 cents and the consensus expectation of 48 cents. Adjusted EPS, excluding stock-based compensation, was 34 cents, still below the consensus estimate of 52 cents. Jefferies highlighted a 14% year-over-year increase in funded accounts, reaching 3.63 million, partly due to the acquisition of the Australian investing app Spaceship in 2024.

Following these results, Jefferies adjusted its price target for eToro from $80 to $63, while maintaining a Buy rating. Meanwhile, Citizens JMP reiterated its Market Outperform rating with an $85 price target, citing "better than modeled results on balance." Goldman Sachs also maintained its Buy rating with a $78 price target despite the earnings miss. Mizuho continued to support eToro with an Outperform rating and an $80 price target, reflecting confidence in the company’s performance. These developments highlight varying analyst perspectives on eToro’s financial health and future prospects.

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