Oracle stock price target cut to $207 by Bernstein

Published 11/03/2025, 16:08
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On Tuesday, Bernstein analysts adjusted their price target for Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) shares, reducing it from $213.00 to $207.00, while still maintaining an Outperform rating. According to InvestingPro data, Oracle currently trades at a P/E ratio of 33.5x and generates annual revenue of $54.93B. Bernstein’s analysis highlighted a mixed performance for Oracle’s recent quarter, noting that while the company fell short of revenue expectations, it showed a significant increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO) growth and robust future revenue guidance.

Oracle reported RPO growth of 63% on a constant currency (CC) basis, with the total exceeding $130 billion, which was a standout despite the revenue miss. With an EBITDA of $22.34B and a gross profit margin of 71.26%, Oracle maintains strong operational efficiency. Additionally, Oracle’s guidance for total revenue growth was set at approximately 15% for fiscal year 2026 and about 20% for fiscal year 2027. This guidance indicates a strong future performance for a company that had been previously viewed as lagging in the cloud sector.

The analysts were surprised by the market’s reaction, as Oracle’s stock declined in after-market trading. InvestingPro data shows the stock has experienced a -10.49% YTD return, though it maintains an impressive 31.78% return over the past year. They believe that investors may not be fully recognizing Oracle’s achievements, especially considering the RPO growth which does not even include any Stargate contracts. Furthermore, Oracle’s GAAP operating margin has increased, and the company has raised its dividend by 25% - notably, it has maintained dividend increases for 11 consecutive years.

Bernstein’s commentary on Oracle’s results emphasized the company’s acceleration in a market where most software companies are experiencing a slowdown. Oracle managed to achieve this acceleration without compromising its profit margins or cash generation capabilities. The analysts suggest that any dip in Oracle’s stock price should be viewed as a buying opportunity for investors.

In summary, despite the reduction in the price target, Bernstein remains optimistic about Oracle’s prospects, citing strong future revenue growth forecasts and the company’s ability to expand in the cloud market while improving margins and dividends.

In other recent news, Oracle Corporation reported a slight revenue miss for its fiscal third quarter of 2025, although adjusted earnings per share met expectations. Despite the revenue shortfall, Oracle’s bookings showed strength, and the company anticipates a surge in capital expenditure-related bookings in fiscal years 2026 and 2027. Analysts from Cantor Fitzgerald, Stifel, Piper Sandler, TD Cowen, and UBS have all adjusted their price targets for Oracle, reflecting various outlooks on the company’s financial trajectory. Cantor Fitzgerald reduced its price target to $175, maintaining an Overweight rating, while Stifel lowered its target to $150 with a Hold rating. Piper Sandler adjusted its target to $190, also maintaining an Overweight rating, and UBS set a target of $200, reaffirming a Buy rating. TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating with a $210 target, citing strong Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) growth and optimistic fiscal year 2027 projections. Oracle’s management has guided for revenue growth of approximately 15% for fiscal year 2026 and 20% for fiscal year 2027. These developments reflect a robust demand for Oracle’s cloud services and AI infrastructure, despite current margin pressures and supply constraints.

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