Roblox stock price target raised to $79 at Needham

Published 01/05/2025, 22:16
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On Thursday, Needham analysts increased their price target on Roblox Corporation (NYSE:RBLX) shares from $72.00 to $79.00, maintaining a Buy rating. The revision follows Roblox’s robust first-quarter results, which surpassed expectations in terms of bookings and adjusted EBITDA. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has delivered an impressive 83.3% return over the past year, though current RSI readings suggest the stock is in overbought territory.

Roblox Corporation’s recent financial performance prompted Needham to reiterate their positive stance on the company’s stock, citing an impressive first quarter that exceeded their projections. The company achieved 28.68% revenue growth in the last twelve months, reaching $3.6 billion. Despite the strong results, the full-year guidance provided by Roblox was conservative, which Needham believes sets a realistic target for the company to meet or exceed in the upcoming quarters.

Management’s current focus on optimizing the marketplace has been identified as a significant factor. Early initiatives aimed at marketplace improvements, such as direct payments, have been margin accretive. Additionally, pricing optimization strategies have increased earnings for developers while simultaneously reducing costs for consumers.

The Needham analysts acknowledged that Roblox’s valuation remains high. However, they noted that the company is effectively meeting high expectations and continues to have substantial opportunities to expand its market share. The company’s execution against these elevated expectations has been well-received, indicating a strong growth trajectory.

In other recent news, Roblox Corporation reported its Q1 2025 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a revenue of $1.21 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.14 billion. The company’s bookings also rose by 31%, indicating robust demand for its platform. Analysts have responded positively to these results, with BMO Capital Markets raising its price target for Roblox to $82 and maintaining an Outperform rating, while JPMorgan increased its target to $80, reaffirming an Overweight rating. BTIG and Benchmark also maintained positive outlooks, with BTIG setting a $73 target and Benchmark raising its target to $77.

Roblox’s strategic initiatives, such as Differential Robux Pricing and regional pricing, have contributed to its strong financial performance and increased daily active users by 26% year-over-year. The company has also focused on expanding its game genres, with spending on RPGs, sports, racing, and shooters climbing 69% year-over-year. Despite a negative EPS of -$0.32, it was better than the projected -$0.40, signaling improved financial management.

Analysts from firms like BMO Capital and JPMorgan have expressed optimism about Roblox’s future growth, citing its platform expansion and potential advertising opportunities. Roblox’s strategic focus on artificial intelligence and expanding its developer ecosystem appears to be paying off, as evidenced by significant increases in cash from operations and free cash flow. The company’s updated full-year guidance for bookings and adjusted EBITDA positions it above current market forecasts, reinforcing confidence in its growth trajectory.

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