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On Thursday, Benchmark analyst Mike Hickey increased the price target on Roblox Corporation (NYSE:RBLX) shares to $77.00, up from the previous target of $71.00, while reiterating a Buy rating. The revision follows Roblox’s first-quarter performance, which surpassed expectations, with reported bookings of $1.207 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $205.1 million, exceeding both the company’s guidance and consensus estimates. The company’s strong performance is reflected in its impressive 28.7% revenue growth over the last twelve months, reaching $3.6 billion. According to InvestingPro data, 4 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations upward for the upcoming period.
The company has also updated its full-year bookings and Adjusted EBITDA guidance, positioning the new midpoints slightly above current Street forecasts. Hickey noted that Roblox’s strategic initiatives are contributing to the company’s positive trajectory. These initiatives include differential pricing, AI-driven content discovery, and immersive advertising, all of which are enhancing monetization efficiency and enlarging the developer economy. While InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a strong balance sheet with more cash than debt, profitability remains a challenge, with analysts not expecting positive earnings this year.
Roblox’s growth is further supported by its genre and geographic diversification, which continues to foster broad-based expansion. A significant demographic shift has been observed, with users aged 13 and older now making up the majority of daily active users (DAUs) and total hours engaged on the platform. This shift indicates a maturing user base and a potential for increased longevity and revenue generation.
The raised price target to $77 is underpinned by projected normalized bookings of $5.8 billion for fiscal years 2025 and 2026, applying a 9x multiple to these figures. Hickey’s commentary underscores the confidence in Roblox’s continued growth and the effectiveness of its strategic measures to capitalize on its user base and innovative monetization strategies.
In other recent news, Roblox Corp reported its Q1 2025 financial results, surpassing revenue expectations with a reported $1.21 billion, compared to the forecasted $1.14 billion. The company also reported a better-than-expected EPS of -$0.32, beating the anticipated -$0.40. Roblox’s strategic focus on artificial intelligence and expanding its developer ecosystem seems to be yielding positive results, as evidenced by a 29% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 31% rise in bookings. The company’s strong cash flow, with $443 million in cash from operations, up 86% year-over-year, and a robust balance sheet with $3.5 billion in net cash, highlights its solid financial footing. In terms of market performance, the company is targeting a 10% share of the $180 billion gaming market and aims to reach 300 million daily active users. Analysts from firms like Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Citigroup (NYSE:C) have shown interest in the company’s genre expansion and monetization strategies. Additionally, Roblox’s partnership with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) to enhance advertising opportunities is underway, reflecting its efforts to diversify revenue streams. These developments indicate Roblox’s continued focus on growth and innovation.
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