Rosenblatt cuts Super Micro stock target to $50, keeps Buy rating

Published 07/05/2025, 12:46
Rosenblatt cuts Super Micro stock target to $50, keeps Buy rating

On Wednesday, Rosenblatt Securities adjusted its outlook on Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) by reducing the 12-month price target from $55.00 to $50.00, while still recommending a Buy rating on the shares. The adjustment follows the company’s report of revenues at the higher end of its recently lowered guidance. According to InvestingPro data, SMCI has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth of 125% over the last twelve months, maintaining a healthy P/E ratio of 13.35. The stock currently trades near $33, with analyst targets ranging from $15 to $93.

Super Micro Computer’s management has attributed the delay in shipments to customers’ evaluations of the upcoming NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) Blackwell GPU platforms. The delay, which amounted to approximately $1 billion in revenue from the March quarter, is anticipated to be resolved with shipments occurring in the June and September quarters of this year. InvestingPro analysis indicates the company maintains strong financial health with a "GREAT" overall score, suggesting resilience to such temporary setbacks.

Analysts at Rosenblatt have revised their estimates to account for a more gradual production ramp-up and have incorporated a degree of caution due to geopolitical factors. Despite the price target reduction, the firm’s outlook remains positive, with expectations of strong growth driven by robust demand for the new systems. This aligns with InvestingPro’s assessment, which reveals multiple positive indicators including strong liquidity ratios and moderate debt levels. Subscribers can access 12+ additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics for deeper analysis.

The company’s financial performance and future prospects are being closely monitored by investors and analysts alike. The delayed revenue, now expected to be recognized in the forthcoming quarters, suggests that Super Micro Computer may experience a surge in performance later in the year.

Rosenblatt’s revised price target reflects the current challenges and anticipated demand, providing a tempered yet optimistic view of Super Micro Computer’s potential in the near to mid-term. The firm’s maintained Buy rating indicates confidence in the company’s ability to navigate the present hurdles and capitalize on the forthcoming product cycle.

In other recent news, Super Micro Computer reported its Q3 2025 financial results, revealing a mixed performance. The company achieved a non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.31, slightly above the forecast of $0.30, but its revenue of $4.6 billion fell short of the expected $5.05 billion. This shortfall in revenue was attributed to delays as customers awaited new AI platform technologies. Looking ahead, Super Micro Computer provided guidance for Q4 2025, projecting revenue between $5.6 billion and $6.4 billion, with non-GAAP EPS expected to range from $0.40 to $0.50.

In other developments, Citi analysts adjusted their stance on Super Micro Computer by lowering the price target from $39.00 to $37.00, maintaining a Neutral rating. This adjustment reflects concerns over revenue delays and competitive dynamics in the AI sector. Despite these challenges, the company’s management remains optimistic about future growth, driven by strong order momentum and new GPU technology. Additionally, Super Micro Computer is expanding its manufacturing capabilities in Malaysia, although it did not reaffirm its fiscal year 2026 revenue target of $40 billion due to macroeconomic uncertainties.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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