Rosenblatt lowers Coherent stock price target to $135 on conservative guidance

Published 14/08/2025, 12:58
Rosenblatt lowers Coherent stock price target to $135 on conservative guidance

Investing.com - Rosenblatt reduced its price target on Coherent (NYSE:COHR) to $135.00 from $150.00 on Thursday, while maintaining a Buy rating on the optical components manufacturer. The company has shown strong momentum with a 70% return over the past year and revenue growth of 23% in the last twelve months, according to InvestingPro data.

The price target adjustment comes as Rosenblatt noted that Coherent management typically provides conservative guidance, though the firm does not believe there is "a fundamental impairment to the positive thesis" for the company. This view is supported by Coherent’s solid financial health, with a current ratio of 2.19 indicating strong liquidity.

Rosenblatt acknowledged that competitor Lumentum has gained momentum with stronger near-term performance in laser chip, OCS, and CPO sales categories.

Despite the competitive pressure, Rosenblatt expects Coherent to "catch up in these key AI Optical categories over the course of FY26 and into FY27" and believes both Lumentum and Coherent will perform well in the industry.

The new $135 price target represents a multiple of 25 times Rosenblatt’s newly introduced FY27 earnings per share forecast of $5.44 for Coherent.

In other recent news, Coherent has reported its fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal 2025, showcasing an impressive performance. The company achieved an earnings per share of $3.53 for the year, significantly higher than the previous year’s $1.21, and reported a full-year revenue of $5.81 billion, marking a 23% increase year-over-year. Following these results, Needham reiterated its Buy rating with a $120.00 price target, while Stifel raised its price target to $118.00, also maintaining a Buy rating. Raymond James went further, increasing its price target to $134.00 and maintaining a Strong Buy rating. The company’s data center and communications segment demonstrated continued strength, particularly in 800G products, though the adjusted operating margin fell below expectations. In other developments, Nova Minerals Limited has garnered support from Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy and Australian Consul-General Tanya Bennett for its Estelle Gold and Critical Minerals Project. The project discussions included infrastructure needs like the West Susitna Access Road and Port MacKenzie upgrades. The Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority has applied for a permit for the 78.5-mile West Susitna Access Road, which would enable year-round access to the project.

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