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On Tuesday, Stifel analysts maintained their positive stance on Mach Natural Resources (NYSE:MNR) with a reaffirmed Buy rating and a steady price target of $23.00, representing a significant upside from the current price of $15.05. The firm’s assessment followed Mach Natural Resources’ fourth-quarter results for the year 2024, which aligned with Stifel’s projections. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a healthy 13.4% dividend yield and trades at an attractive P/E ratio of 7.7x. The results came on the heels of the company’s recent refinancing efforts.
Mach Natural Resources leadership highlighted the competitive mergers and acquisitions (M&A) environment in the Mid-Continent region. Despite this, they expressed confidence in the company’s ability to continue engaging in smaller bolt-on acquisitions, with potential deals around the $100 million mark. With crude oil prices hovering around $60 per barrel, the management team indicated a preference for leaning towards crude oil acquisitions.
The company also disclosed plans to expand its drilling operations in 2025, including the introduction of a third rig. This new rig is expected to commence operations in the Oswego area and will be a temporary arrangement until it can be replaced with a Deep Mississippian rig.
Stifel analysts highlighted several key factors contributing to their positive outlook on Mach Natural Resources. The company’s abundant drilling opportunities were noted, along with its strategic focus on maintaining low leverage and delivering substantial cash returns to its unitholders. The firm’s analysts reiterated their commitment to the Buy rating and the $23.00 price target based on these strengths.
In other recent news, Mach Natural Resources LP reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, which revealed a miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue expectations. The company announced an EPS of $0.34, falling short of the anticipated $0.97, and revenue of $235 million, below the forecasted $265.69 million. Despite these misses, Mach Natural Resources maintained its strong operational performance, with net production reaching 86.7 MBOE per day and a net income of $185 million. The company also distributed $310 million, or $3.2 per unit, to shareholders during the quarter.
Mach Natural Resources continues to focus on its strategic pillars, including maintaining financial strength and disciplined reinvestment rates. The company plans to spend between $225 million to $240 million on drilling and completion in 2025, aiming to keep production stable. CEO Tom Ward emphasized the company’s commitment to acquisitions, stating that they are actively exploring opportunities for larger acquisitions exceeding $500 million.
Additionally, Mach Natural Resources recently closed a $30 million bolt-on acquisition in the Ardmore Basin, enhancing its drilling locations for the upcoming year. The company has entered into a new revolving credit facility with an initial borrowing base of $750 million, reflecting its ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position.
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