TD Cowen lowers SMA Solar Technology stock price target on weak demand

Published 02/09/2025, 15:12
© Pavlo Gonchar / SOPA Images/Sipa via Reuters Connect

Investing.com - TD Cowen has reduced its price target on SMA Solar Technology AG (S92:GR) to EUR18.00 from EUR20.00 while maintaining a Hold rating.

The firm cited deteriorating demand in residential and commercial & industrial (C&I) segments during the third quarter of 2025, which prompted SMA Solar to lower its 2025 revenue guidance by 3% at the midpoint. The company also significantly cut its EBITDA guidance due to one-time items.

TD Cowen views the continued weakness in Europe as a negative indicator for SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG) and Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH), both of which the firm rates as Hold.

The new price target is based on 5x TD Cowen’s 2026 EV/EBITDA estimate for SMA Solar Technology. The firm noted that due to declining product backlog, second-half 2025 utility bookings will be crucial to support expectations for stable revenue in 2026.

TD Cowen also highlighted that second-quarter 2025 utility order intake declined in the U.S. as customers paused decisions due to tariff and policy uncertainty, while projecting a 10% EBITDA margin for SMA Solar in 2027 supported by cost reduction efforts.

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