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Investing.com - The Simply Goods Group (NASDAQ:SMPL) received a reiterated Outperform rating from Bernstein SocGen Group on Friday, maintaining a $45.00 price target. According to InvestingPro data, the stock appears undervalued at its current price of $32.35, with analysts’ targets ranging from $36 to $47.
Bernstein analyst Alexia Howard noted that the company’s third-quarter 2025 results were "a bit better than expected," with organic sales growth at 3.8% compared to consensus expectations of 2.25% and the previous quarter’s 4.4%. The company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy 37.6% gross margin and revenue growth of 14.2% over the last twelve months.
Retail takeaway reached 6%, which was 2.2% ahead of shipments during the quarter, reflecting distribution reductions for the Atkins brand in certain club store outlets.
The company trimmed the top end of its guidance for fiscal year 2025, with organic sales growth expected to remain around 4% in the fourth quarter.
Bernstein highlighted that Simply Goods has been facing challenges from cost of goods sold inflation and tariffs, while the Atkins brand continues to be a drag on overall performance.
In other recent news, The Simply Good Foods Group reported third-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with a notable EBITDA of $73.9 million, marking a 3% increase from the previous year. Despite this positive performance, the company has adjusted its fiscal year 2025 guidance to the lower end of its previous range due to a slower-than-anticipated start to the fourth quarter. Analysts from UBS and TD Cowen have maintained their neutral and hold ratings, respectively, with UBS setting a price target of $36.00 and TD Cowen adjusting theirs to $34.00. DA Davidson also reiterated a neutral rating with a $38.00 price target, highlighting challenges with the OWYN brand and potential cost inflation. Stifel, however, maintained a buy rating, citing robust growth in the Quest and OWYN brands, which make up over 70% of the company’s portfolio. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) reiterated its equal-weight rating, noting the decline in the Atkins brand by 13% and a slowdown in OWYN’s growth. Overall, analysts anticipate revisions to fiscal year 2026 estimates, with some suggesting that future estimates may be conservative.
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