UBS cuts Atlassian stock price target to $230, maintains neutral

Published 01/04/2025, 15:00
UBS cuts Atlassian stock price target to $230, maintains neutral

Tuesday, shares of Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM) faced a revised price target from UBS, with analysts lowering expectations from $330.00 to $230.00, while sustaining a Neutral rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for TEAM range from $230 to $420, with the stock currently trading at $209.99. UBS’s Karl Keirstead provided insights into the decision, citing conversations with several Atlassian partners and customers to gauge demand trends ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings report in late April and its Investor Day on April 9th.

Keirstead noted that while there were no overt signs of a demand downturn due to current macroeconomic conditions, there were still reports of stringent budget scrutiny and modest seat expansion rates. These factors played a role in the reassessment of Atlassian’s stock value.

Despite a 30% drop in Atlassian’s stock price since its mid-February peak, Keirstead remarked that the current free cash flow (FCF) multiple of 30 times, which aligns with that of ServiceNow (NYSE:NOW), does not seem fully de-risked. This perspective underpins UBS’s continued neutral stance on the company’s shares. InvestingPro data shows the stock has declined over 10% in the past week, though it maintains a 31% gain over the last six months.

Atlassian, known for its collaboration and productivity software, has been closely watched by investors as companies adjust their spending in response to the global economic climate. The change in price target reflects a cautious approach to the stock’s valuation amid these conditions. Recent InvestingPro analysis reveals impressive gross profit margins of 82% and expected net income growth this year, though the company currently operates with moderate debt levels. Get access to 10+ additional ProTips and comprehensive analysis in the Pro Research Report.

Investors and market observers are likely to pay close attention to Atlassian’s upcoming financial disclosures and Investor Day presentation for further indications of the company’s performance and strategic direction. The information shared on these occasions will provide a clearer picture of Atlassian’s standing and future prospects in the software industry. With the next earnings report due in approximately 30 days, investors can access detailed financial health scores and Fair Value estimates through InvestingPro’s comprehensive research tools.

In other recent news, Atlassian Corporation reported strong financial results for Q4 2024, surpassing both earnings and revenue forecasts. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) were $0.96, significantly higher than the projected $0.62, while revenue reached $1.29 billion, exceeding the expected $1.23 billion. Subscription revenue grew by 30% year over year, and gross margins improved to 85%, up 100 basis points from the previous year. In addition to these financial highlights, KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained its Overweight rating on Atlassian with a price target of $365, citing the company’s strong performance metrics and potential growth drivers. Meanwhile, Stephens initiated coverage on Atlassian with an Equal Weight rating and a price target of $255, acknowledging the company’s broad Total (EPA:TTEF) Addressable Market and competitive advantages. These developments reflect Atlassian’s robust market positioning and the confidence analysts have in its future growth potential.

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