UBS downgrades BFI Finance Indonesia stock rating to Sell on credit cycle concerns

Published 29/08/2025, 06:26
UBS downgrades BFI Finance Indonesia stock rating to Sell on credit cycle concerns

Investing.com - UBS downgraded BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk PT (BFIN:IJ) (OTC:PBIIF) from Buy to Sell on Friday, while significantly reducing its price target to IDR745.00 from IDR1,110.00.

The downgrade comes as UBS anticipates a substantial downturn in the automotive financing sector’s credit cycle that could result in a 12% earnings decline for BFI Finance in 2026, which the firm believes is not yet fully reflected in the stock’s market price.

UBS now forecasts a loan compound annual growth rate of only 2.5% for BFI Finance between 2025-27, alongside higher projected credit costs of 4.6% in 2025, 5.1% in 2026, and 4.0% in 2027, driven by both increased non-performing loan formation and larger losses on repossessed assets.

The investment bank has reduced its earnings estimates for BFI Finance by 8-29% for the 2025-27 period, positioning its forecast approximately 30% below the current market consensus.

Despite acknowledging that BFI Finance’s execution remains "best-in-class," UBS determined that the anticipated credit cycle challenges warranted the downgrade to a Sell rating.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.