UBS lifts TJX Companies price target to $164, maintains Buy rating

Published 22/05/2025, 11:34
UBS lifts TJX Companies price target to $164, maintains Buy rating

On Thursday, UBS analyst Jay Sole increased the price target for The TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) to $164 from $154, while keeping a Buy rating on the stock. The company, currently trading near its 52-week high of $135.85 with a market capitalization of $146.27 billion, has shown impressive momentum with a 31.25% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro analysis, TJX maintains a GOOD financial health score, supporting Sole’s outlook for significant market share expansion at the expense of department store competitors in the coming years.

The analyst expressed confidence in TJX’s newer ventures, including HomeSense and Sierra Trading Post, and highlighted the growth prospects of its international operations. This is especially relevant with the company’s plan to introduce its TK Maxx banner in Spain by 2026. With annual revenue reaching $56.36 billion and a solid gross profit margin of 30.6%, TJX demonstrates strong operational execution. For deeper insights into TJX’s expansion strategy and financial metrics, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive research report among its 14+ key insights for this stock.

Sole predicts that TJX will achieve approximately a 10.5% five-year earnings per share (EPS) compound annual growth rate (CAGR). He believes this growth trajectory warrants a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28 times. The UBS analyst anticipates that the stock will approach the new price target as TJX continues to capture market share and produce robust earnings reports. These reports are expected to gradually persuade the market of the company’s potential for double-digit percentage EPS growth.

The recent Q1 EPS report from TJX has further solidified Sole’s conviction in the company’s upward trajectory and his Buy recommendation. The report seems to align with his expectations of consistent performance and market share acquisition by TJX.

In other recent news, The TJX Companies reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, showing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92, slightly exceeding the analysts’ forecast of $0.91. The company’s revenue reached $13.1 billion, surpassing the projected $13 billion. Despite the earnings beat, investor concerns over margin compression and inventory levels led to a decline in the stock price. Inventory levels rose by 15%, which raised some concerns among investors. Looking ahead, TJX maintained its full-year guidance, anticipating a 2-3% increase in comparable sales and a full-year EPS between $4.34 and $4.43. JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss reaffirmed an Overweight rating on TJX with a price target of $130, highlighting the company’s strong performance in the HomeGoods division, which saw a 4% growth in comparable sales. The company’s pre-tax margin decreased to 10.3%, influenced by unfavorable inventory hedge adjustments, but it was still better than management’s guidance. TJX management remains confident in navigating the current macro environment, emphasizing its strategic positioning and commitment to delivering value to customers.

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