Oil climbs on U.S.-China trade optimism, Middle East tensions

Published 02/01/2020, 03:27
Updated 02/01/2020, 03:37
© Reuters.  Oil climbs on U.S.-China trade optimism, Middle East tensions
LCO
-
CL
-

* Brent, WTI futures both up 0.3%

* Brent to hold near $63 in 2020, WTI around $57 - poll

* U.S. crude stocks fell by 7.8 mln bbls last week - API

By Jane Chung

SEOUL, Jan 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on the first

trading day of 2020 as warming trade relations between the

United States and China eased demand concerns, and rising

tensions in the Middle East raised worries about supply.

Global benchmark Brent crude futures LCOc1 , were up 21

cents, or 0.3%, to 66.21 a barrel by 0130 GMT. U.S. West Texas

Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was up 21 cents, or 0.3%, at

$61.27 per barrel.

Oil markets were closed on Wednesday for New Year's Day.

Both benchmarks ended higher in 2019, posting their biggest

annual gains since 2016, buoyed at the end of the year by a thaw

in the prolonged trade dispute between the United States and

China - the world's two largest economies - and a deeper output

cut pledged by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries

(OPEC) and its allies.

"Oil remains supported by the back-burner trade truce and

the uptick in political unrest in Iraq," said Stephen Innes,

chief Asia market strategist at AxiTrader.

Geopolitical risks remain in the Middle East after U.S air

strikes against the Iran-backed Katib Hezbollah militia group

over the weekend. Protesters, angry at the air strikes, stormed

the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad on Wednesday, although they withdrew

after U.S. deployed extra troops.

In 2020, Brent is forecast to average $63.07 a barrel, up

from December's estimate of $62.50, while WTI is forecast to

average $57.70 a barrel, up from December's estimate of $57.30,

as the OPEC-led supply cuts and the expectations of a U.S.-China

trade deal boosted analysts' views on the prospects for the

year, a Reuters poll showed.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday the U.S.-China

Phase 1 trade deal would be signed on Jan. 15 at the White

House.

January also marks the start of the deeper output cuts by

OPEC and its partners, including Russia. OPEC and its allies

have agreed to cut a further of 500,000 barrels per day (bpd)

from Jan. 1, on top of their previous cut of 1.2 million bpd

that started on Jan. 1 a year ago.

A fall in U.S. crude inventories last week also supported

prices. U.S. crude inventories fell by 7.8 million barrels in

the week ended Dec. 27, compared with analysts' expectations for

a decrease of 3.2 million barrels, according to data from the

American Petroleum Institute (API) released on Tuesday. API/S

Official data from the Energy Information Administration

(EIA) is due on Friday as the release has been delayed by two

days by the New Year's holiday. EIA/S

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.