Oil rises, supported by trade deal, OPEC cuts

Published 26/12/2019, 03:12
© Reuters.  Oil rises, supported by trade deal, OPEC cuts
LCO
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TOKYO, Dec 26 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Thursday,

buoyed by a potential breakthrough in the Sino-U.S. trade war

and OPEC-led efforts to constrain supply, although trading was

quiet as many markets were in holiday mode.

Brent crude LCOc1 was up 16 cents, or 0.2%, at $67.36 a

barrel by 0155 GMT.

West Texas Intermediate was up 20 cents, or 0.3%, at $61.31

a barrel.

"Oil prices continue to show year-end strength supported by

a combination of definitive progress on the U.S.-China trade

deal, the Dec OPEC/OPEC+ agreement, and slowing shale activity,"

said Stephen Innes, chief Asia market strategist at AxiTrader.

"All of which is pointing to a stronger performance for oil

prices in Q1 than anyone had thought only two months ago."

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday he and Chinese

President Xi Jinping will have a signing ceremony for the

so-called Phase 1 agreement to end their trade dispute that was

put together earlier this month. The roughly 17-month trade war hit global economic growth

and demand for oil, leaving prices range-bound for the most of

the year.

Lower demand also rendered supply cuts by the Organization

of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including

Russia less effective in supporting the market.

The so-called OPEC+ grouping agreed in November to extend

and deepen production cuts that would take as much as 2.1

million barrels per day (bpd) of supply off the market, or

roughly 2% of global demand.

U.S. producers, not party to the OPEC+ agreement, have been

pumping record amounts of oil, especially shale crude, to fill

any supply gaps. Growth in production in the U.S. is forecast by

many to slow, however.

Still, more supply is coming in the new year with Saudi

Arabia and Kuwait earlier this week agreeing to end a dispute

over their Neutral Zone, which can supply as much as 500,000

barrels per day of oil, or about 0.5% of global demand.

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