FuelCell Energy target cut to $1.25 from $1.50, maintains hold

Published 05/09/2024, 21:38
FuelCell Energy target cut to $1.25 from $1.50, maintains hold

On Thursday, Canaccord Genuity adjusted its outlook on FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL), reducing the price target to $1.25 from the previous $1.50, while keeping a Hold rating on the stock. The reassessment by the firm follows a review of the company's recent performance and future prospects.

The company's July quarter performance highlighted several positive developments, including an expanded backlog, the dispatch of the initial six GGE contract modules, and progression in carbon capture and biogas projects with Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) and Ameresco (NYSE:AMRC), respectively. These milestones indicate forward movement within the company's project pipeline.

Despite these advancements, Canaccord Genuity awaits further substantial evidence of a potential shift in FuelCell Energy's trajectory before adopting a more constructive stance on the stock. The firm is also monitoring the potential relaxation of the 45V rules by the Treasury, which has received considerable feedback since its establishment.

Any changes in these regulations could act as a beneficial catalyst for the broader hydrogen ecosystem, potentially impacting companies like Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG).

The decision to lower the price target is based on adjustments to estimates, taking into account various financial metrics. Canaccord Genuity's valuation employs a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) approach, incorporating an approximate 12% Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) and a terminal growth rate of around 5%.

While acknowledging the potential upside reflected in the new $1.25 price target, Canaccord Genuity believes that maintaining a Hold rating is justified due to the current uncertainties surrounding the near-term outlook for FuelCell Energy. The firm's cautious stance reflects a wait-and-see approach as it looks for more concrete signs of growth and stability in the company's operations.

In other recent news, FuelCell Energy has reported substantial developments. The company has announced amendments to its bylaws and a decrease in the quorum requirement for shareholder meetings. FuelCell Energy also secured a $5.9 million CAD grant from Natural Resources Canada's Clean Fuels Fund for two projects aimed at producing low-carbon synthetic diesel fuels.

In terms of financial performance, the company reported Q2 FY2024 revenue of $22.4 million, aligning with analyst expectations and surpassing market consensus. Analyst firms B.Riley and TD Cowen have adjusted their outlooks on FuelCell Energy, reducing and maintaining their stock price targets respectively.

FuelCell Energy has also expanded its lease for its facilities in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, indicating a commitment to solid oxide fuel cell technology. The company also announced a reduction in planned investments for FY2024 by up to $30 million, with the deferred expenses now expected to occur in FY2025.

In a significant development, FuelCell Energy extended its joint development agreement with ExxonMobil until the end of 2026 and secured a $160 million deal with Gyeonggi Green Energy for the purchase of 42 upgraded 1.4 megawatt carbonate fuel cell modules.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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