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FOREX-Dollar up on COVID-19 case rise, gains curbed by Fed easing expectations

Published 19/11/2020, 10:08
© Reuters.
DX
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* Scandinavia FX, Aussie dollar give back gains to greenback
* Japanese yen falls 0.2% against US dollar
* Sterling down 0.4% on Brexit worries
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Olga Cotaga
LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - The dollar strengthened on
Thursday as broad optimism about COVID-19 vaccines ran into
worries about rising infection numbers and risks to the fragile
global economic recovery.
The dollar was also caught between two opposing forces, with
a safety bid supporting it while fresh speculation over monetary
easing to boost the economy held it back somewhat.
Euro/dollar shed 0.2% to last trade at $1.1833 EUR=EBS .
With fiscal stimulus plans falling by the wayside as
President Donald Trump's refusal to concede electoral defeat
consumes lawmakers' attention, speculation is growing that the
Federal Reserve may further loosen monetary policy in December.
Two top Fed officials on Wednesday held out the option of
doing more, and Treasuries have rallied in anticipation of a
possible expansion of Fed bond buying. An index which tracks the dollar against a basket of
currencies was flat at 92.55 =USD , though close to the weakest
it has been since August.
Still, the Scandinavian currencies and the Australian dollar
- beneficiaries of the dollar's recent decline - lost strength.
The Norwegian crown fell 0.3% both against the U.S. dollar
and the euro at 9.0535 NOK=D3 and 10.7165 EURGBP=D3
respectively. The Swedish crown was down by the same extent
against both, while the Aussie dollar fell 0.4% at 0.7278
AUD=D3 .
"It seems that market participants are confused. They don't
know where to place more emphasis, on the positive vaccine
headlines or on the acceleration of the infections from the
pandemic," said Charalambos Pissouros, senior market analyst at
JFD Group.
Pissouros said he was sticking to his guns, however, "that
any declines in risk-linked assets are likely to stay limited."
"We would treat them as corrective moves within the broader
uptrend, which we expect to eventually resume," he said.
Safe-haven Japanese yen fell 0.2% against the greenback to
103.96 JPY=EBS , having gained 1.6% in the week since Pfizer
announced promising trial results on its COVID-19 vaccine.
U.S. jobs figures will be closely watched on Thursday as a
key factor ahead of the Fed's next moves, and at 1000 GMT
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde appears at a
European Parliament Committee hearing in Frankfurt.
Elsewhere, sterling dipped 0.4% to $1.3210 GBP=D3 and 0.2%
at 89.53 pence against the euro after The Times newspaper
reported that European leaders will urge the European Commission
to publish no-deal Brexit plans as the year-end deadline
approaches.

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