GitLab shares tumble on weak revenue outlook

Published 10/06/2025, 21:16
Updated 11/06/2025, 14:32
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Gitlab Inc (NASDAQ:GTLB) shares plunged in after-hours trading Tuesday, extending their fall to 13.5% in Wednesday’s premarket trade, despite beating first quarter earnings expectations, as investors focused on disappointing revenue guidance for the upcoming quarter.

The DevSecOps platform provider reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.17 for Q1 fiscal 2026, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.15. Revenue rose 27% YoY to $214.5 million, slightly above the consensus forecast of $213.02 million.

However, GitLab’s Q2 revenue guidance of $226-227 million was disappointingly in-line with Wall Street’s $227 million projection, overshadowing the earnings beat. For the full fiscal year 2026, the company expects revenue between $936-942 million, compared to analyst estimates of $941.7 million.

"GitLab’s platform approach continues to drive momentum across the business," said Brian Robins, GitLab’s chief financial officer. He highlighted the company’s 27% revenue growth and "significant year-over-year operating margin expansion."

The company reported non-GAAP operating income of $26.1 million, a substantial improvement from a $3.8 million loss in the same quarter last year. GitLab’s dollar-based net retention rate stood at 122%, while customers with over $100,000 in annual recurring revenue grew 26% YoY to 1,288.

CEO Bill Staples emphasized GitLab’s focus on AI integration, stating, "We’re giving every developer the AI-driven edge they need to innovate faster and more efficiently."

Following the results, TD Cowen analyst Derrick Wood lowered his GitLab price target to $67 from $75, but remained Buy-rated on the stock, saying, "We continue to think valuations are disconnected from fundamentals and that emerging AI tailwinds are greater than appreciated. We see shares at a trough multiple & w/ 1Q past us, we see GTLB getting back onto stronger upside footing."

Mizuho (NYSE:MFG)’s Gregg Moskowitz similarly lowered the stock’s target price to $60 from $72, while reiterating an Outperform rating. The analyst admitted results were "tepid," yet emphasized that GitLab’s risk/reward remains solid, saying, "GTLB should continue to grow at a healthy rate given multiple levers that include tier upgrades, seat expansion, and price increases."

Despite the positive earnings results, the market’s negative reaction underscores investor concerns about GitLab’s near-term growth trajectory amid the current economic environment. However, management and analysts alike still identify value to be found.

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