Valeo shares drop on outlook cut, analyst says new guide ’more achievable’

Published 25/07/2025, 10:00
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Valeo (EPA:VLOF) saw its shares slump around 9% Friday after the French car parts supplier lowered its 2025 sales guidance on Thursday, citing a €750 million currency headwind stemming from recent foreign exchange (FX) volatility.

The company now expects annual sales of around €20.5 billion ($24.1 billion), down from its prior range of €21.5 billion to €22.5 billion.

The downgrade reflects not only the currency impact but also a softer market for its customers, which is expected to shave an additional €250 million off full-year sales, CEO Christophe Périllat told analysts.

Valeo maintained its outlook for core operating margin at 4.5% to 5.5% and free cash flow (FCF) between €450 million and €550 million.

"With a "de-risked" top-line guide and management’s reiteration of H2 core margin/FCF generation higher than an already stronger H1 performance, it now makes its updated 2025 guide more achievable," Barclays (LON:BARC) analyst Erwann Dagorne said in a note. 

Valeo’s second-quarter sales dropped 6% year-on-year to €5.35 billion, matching the company-provided analyst consensus.

For the first half, total sales came in at €10.66 billion, broadly in line with the €10.65 billion estimate, with original equipment organic sales down 2%, slightly better than the expected 1% decline.

Core operating profit for the first six months stood out with a stronger-than-expected €476 million, delivering a 4.5% margin versus a consensus of €450 million and 4.2%, supported by what Dagorne described as better earnings quality.

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