Italy’s GDP could fall up to 0.8% by 2027 due to U.S. tariffs

Published 21/07/2025, 11:54
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Investing.com -- Italy’s gross domestic product could decrease by up to 0.8% by 2027 if the United States implements 30% tariffs on European Union goods, according to the country’s main business lobby, Confindustria.

The research unit of Confindustria said Monday that if the 30% tariffs are confirmed, and assuming no countermeasures from the EU, Italy’s GDP would take a 0.25% hit this year, increasing to 0.59% in 2026 and 0.82% in 2027.

President Donald Trump has threatened to impose 30% tariffs on EU imports starting August 1. However, U.S. trade chief Howard Lutnick said Sunday there was "plenty of room" for an agreement with European counterparts as transatlantic trade negotiations continue.

Italy’s main exports to the U.S. include machinery, pharmaceuticals, cars and food products such as olive oil, pasta, cheese and wine, which would be affected by the potential tariffs.

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