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FOREX-Dollar drops for third day on U.S. stimulus optimism

Published 21/01/2021, 17:08
© Reuters.
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* U.S. stimulus-driven hopes weigh on dollar
* Norwegian crown rises as Norges Bank plans 2022 rate hike
* Bitcoin slumps as investors fear tighter regulation under Biden
* Sterling at fresh 2-1/2-year high vs dollar
* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

(Recasts, adds new comment, ECB's Lagarde comments, FX table, updates prices, changes byline, dateline;
previous LONDON)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Jan 21 (Reuters) - The dollar fell for a third straight session on Thursday, with investors
seeking out higher-yielding currencies, as a slew of better-than-expected U.S. data and continued optimism
about a massive stimulus package spurred hopes of a recovery in the world's largest economy.
The euro, on the other hand, gained versus an overall weak dollar, even as European Central Bank
President Christine Lagarde warned about a renewed surge in COVID-19 infections and the prospect of
prolonged restrictions that could challenge the region's economic outlook.
The ECB, which kept interest rates steady on Thursday, also pledged to provide more support for the
economy if needed. The FX market showed little reaction to Lagarde's comments, as market participants continued to focus
on what seemed like an improving global economic outlook and a nearly $2 trillion U.S stimulus package
proposed by new Democratic President Joe Biden's administration.
On Thursday, U.S. data showed an economy slowly getting some traction, with slightly
better-than-expected initial jobless claims, upbeat housing starts data, and a higher factory index for
the mid-Atlantic region.
"We had some good U.S. data this morning and we're also hearing relatively positive, or maybe even
borderline hawkish comments from global central bank officials," said Erik Nelson, macro strategist at
Wells Fargo in New York.
Nelson cited a Bloomberg interview of Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem, who said there may be less
need for the current pace of quantitative easing.
Norway's central bank also struck a hawkish tone on Thursday. The bank said it plans to raise rates
early next year as the economy recovers from the coronavirus pandemic. That pushed the
Norwegian crown higher versus the dollar, trading up 0.9% at 8.8045 NOK=D3 .
In midmorning trading, the dollar index =USD fell 0.3% to 90.11, after touching a nearly one-month
high of 90.956 on Monday.
The euro gained 0.5% against the dollar to $1.2159 EUR=EBS , rising as well versus the yen to 125.89
yen EURJPY=EBS .
The greenback also dropped versus currencies tied to commodity prices such as the Australian AUD= ,
Canadian CAD= , and New Zealand dollars NZD= .
Sterling also set a fresh 2-1/2-year high against the dollar and a new eight-month peak against the
euro on hopes Britain's brisk pace of COVID-19 vaccinations would lead to a relatively quicker rebound in
economic growth. GBP/
Many analysts expect the dollar to continue its downtrend trend, which saw it lose nearly 7% in 2020
amid ultra-loose U.S. monetary policy and hopes for a post-pandemic global recovery.
The dollar typically loses out against its major peers when investors are inclined to take on more
risk.
That said, Wells Fargo's Nelson thinks the dollar is due for a reversal from its current weak trend in
the coming weeks.
"There is an underappreciation of how difficult it would be for Biden to come in and have another $2
to $3 trillion out there in spending approved," Nelson said.
In the cryptocurrency market, bitcoin BTC=BTSP slumped 11% on Thursday , retreating further from
record highs, with traders citing fears of tighter U.S. regulation. Currency bid prices at 10:46AM (1546 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index =USD 90.0700 90.4100 -0.36% +0.00% +90.4540 +90.0430
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.2164 $1.2106 +0.48% -0.44% +$1.2174 +$1.2106
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 103.4750 103.5500 -0.06% +0.19% +103.6600 +103.3500
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 125.86 125.33 +0.42% -0.84% +125.9600 +125.3300
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.8852 0.8898 -0.53% +0.05% +0.8899 +0.8849
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 $1.3735 $1.3660 +0.56% +0.55% +$1.3745 +$1.3656
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.2619 1.2635 -0.13% -0.90% +1.2635 +1.2591
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 $0.7769 $0.7747 +0.28% +0.99% +$0.7782 +$0.7746
Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0766 1.0768 -0.02% -0.38% +1.0786 +1.0757
Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8855 0.8864 -0.10% -0.92% +0.8872 +0.8831
NZ NZD=D3 $0.7202 $0.7170 +0.40% +0.25% +$0.7222 +$0.7173
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway NOK=D3 8.4110 8.4900 -0.96% -2.08% +8.4865 +8.4085
Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.2310 10.2810 -0.49% -2.25% +10.2920 +10.2275
Dollar/Sweden SEK= 8.2777 8.3383 -0.37% +0.99% +8.3530 +8.2651
Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.0695 10.1065 -0.37% -0.07% +10.1115 +10.0570

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World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
TAKE A LOOK-U.S. Inauguration Day - Biden to take office as U.S. president ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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