* Euro sits by more than 2.5 year peak as U.S. dollar sinks
* GBP hits 1 year top, Brexit negotiations eyed; other
majors firm
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
By Tom Westbrook
SYDNEY, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The euro was headed for its best
week in a month on Friday and has blown past major resistance
levels as investors piled into bets the U.S. dollar has further
to fall while the world begins to emerge from the COVID-19
pandemic.
The common currency EUR= is up 1.5% for the week so far
and last sat comfortably at $1.2145.
Having finally breached $1.2000 after multiple attempts,
momentum funds have surged in to long positions. The next
serious chart resistance level is not until $1.2555.
"The euro is holding above the $1.21 level for the first
time since spring 2018, despite the fact that there is only a
week to go before the European Central Bank is expected to add
more policy stimulus," said Rabobank strategist Jane Foley.
"There is no doubt that the actions of the Federal Reserve
have been hugely successful at weakening the value of the dollar
since the spring this year."
The euro is also set for its best week against the Japanese
yen EURJPY= in six months, even though the yen rose a little
against a broadly weaker dollar on Thursday.
The yen JPY= was steady against the dollar on Friday,
sterling GBP= held near a one-year peak and other majors eased
a fraction, while Asian currencies advanced.
Investors have turned heavily short dollars in recent
months, figuring rates will stay low for a long time in the
United States forcing yield-seekers to head elsewhere for better
returns. 0#NETUSDFX=
Even worries about a painful winter of deaths and lockdowns
in the United States has failed to drive too much safe-haven
demand for dollars, as investors reckon on more government
support - either in the form monetary easing or fiscal spending.
Against a basket of currencies =USD the dollar has shed
about 12% from a three-year high of 102.990 in March, to hit a
two-and-a-half year low of 90.504 on Thursday and held near that
level on Friday.
"No point standing in the way of dollar weakness for now,
especially while risk-on sentiment is still extending," said
OCBC Bank strategist Terence Wu.
FLOW RIDERS
Besides the euro, trade-exposed currencies in Asia have also
surged over recent weeks as optimism about the region's recovery
gathering pace - especially with vaccines on the horizon -
drives flows in to assets from Seoul to Sydney and Singapore.
The Chinese yuan, an increasingly popular vehicle for
investors to bet against the dollar, made a 29-month high of
6.5358 per dollar. CNY/
The South Korean won KRW= rose 0.7% to its strongest since
mid 2018 as foreign inflows sent the Kospi equities index
.KS11 to a record high some 90% above its March lows.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars backed away slightly
after hitting more than two-year highs on Thursday. The Aussie
AUD=D3 was last down 0.2% at $0.7427 and the kiwi NZD=D3
softer by the same margin at $0.7061.
They are both on track for a fifth consecutive week of
gains, a streak that has lifted the kiwi most of all and raised
it some 8.6% above late-September lows.
Later on Friday, investors are looking to U.S. jobs figures
due for the latest signs of the recovery losing momentum, while
the fate of the pound is largely in the lap of Brexit trade deal
negotiators who remain locked in talks. "Traders need to assess their sterling exposures into the
weekend," said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne
brokerage Pepperstone.
"If I were running long exposures, I wouldn't be adding ...
but questioning, if we see a deal, how punchy the gapping risk
will be," he said. "If we don't get a deal and the rhetoric from
(EU negotiator Michel) Barnier or the British camp shows limited
progress then we could see GBPUSD gap lower on Monday."
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Currency bid prices at 3:58PM in Sydney (0458 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.2142 $1.2145 -0.02% +8.31% +1.2154 +1.2139
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 103.9100 103.9000 -0.05% -4.39% +103.9150 +103.7800
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 126.16 126.11 +0.04% +3.45% +126.2100 +126.0500
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.8909 0.8910 -0.01% -7.93% +0.8912 +0.8902
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 1.3444 1.3448 -0.02% +1.37% +1.3466 +1.3445
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.2860 1.2864 -0.02% -1.00% +1.2873 +1.2849
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 0.7427 0.7442 -0.20% +5.84% +0.7443 +0.7423
NZ NZD=D3 0.7059 0.7078 -0.27% +4.90% +0.7079 +0.7055
Dollar/Dollar
All spots FX=
Tokyo spots AFX=
Europe spots EFX=
Volatilities FXVOL=
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX