FOREX-Sterling slips on Brexit vote delay, dollar claws higher

Published 21/10/2019, 09:04
© Reuters.  FOREX-Sterling slips on Brexit vote delay, dollar claws higher
USD/JPY
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* Sterling falls 0.6% in Asian trade

* Pound slips after UK parliament forces Brexit delay

* Dollar higher but on course for worst month since Jan 2018

* Yen stays weak ahead of BOJ meeting

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Sterling fell as much as 0.5%

after Britain's parliament delayed a crucial vote on the

government's new Brexit plan, while the dollar, which is on

course for its worst month since January 2018, clawed higher.

It was little surprise to see sterling backing off 5-month

highs on Monday after "super-Saturday" failed to live up to its

billing, ensuring more Brexit drama to come. Asian trading had delivered an instant hit and by the time

European trading settled, the pound GBP=D4 was down 0.4% to

$1.2920. It had closed last week at just below $1.30 having

soared 6.5% since British Prime Minister Boris Johnson struck a

new EU divorce deal on Oct. 10.

"The number one issue now is whether they are going to allow

the vote (on the deal) to happen later," said Saxo Bank's head

of FX strategy John Hardy, who added the FX market now seemed to

be betting on the deal being approved.

"You could see further (upward) reaction if that is the case

but also quite some downside if there is a delay and we get back

into what happens next."

Despite Saturday's delay of the deal vote, which meant

Johnson had to begrudgingly ask the EU for another extension of

the Brexit deadline, UK Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab told the

BBC that he was confident enough lawmakers would pass the deal.

The political manoeuvring puts the timing of the whole

process in question yet again, even though markets seem assured

that it significantly reduces a 'no deal' Brexit, considered by

many to be the worst-case scenario for the UK economy.

"Although many eyes are still on Brexit, there is not so

much nervousness in the market as the risk of a no-deal Brexit

has actually reduced over the weekend," said Shinichiro Kadota,

senior forex and rates strategist at Barclays in Tokyo.

Goldman Sachs said it sees the chance of a 'no deal' Brexit

reduced to just 5%, from 10% previously. Elsewhere, currency moves were limited though the last few

weeks has seen some sizeable shifts taking place.

The dollar is down 2.5% this month against a basket of top

currencies which, if it stays that way, would be its worst month

since January last year.

It edged up against the euro to $1.1157 per euro but was

little changed at 108.48 JPY= to the safe-haven yen. The yen

has been weak too, last week hitting a 2-1/2-month low.

CENTRAL FOCUS

The Bank of Japan meets later this month and could nudge its

interest rates even deeper into negative territory, while

Thursday will be Mario Draghi's last meeting in charge at the

European Central Bank.

China's yuan firmed on Monday after the central bank fixed

the daily midpoint at its strongest in five weeks, and a comment

from the central bank chief that the exchange rate was at the

"appropriate level" reinforced market sentiment.

Prior to market opening, the People's Bank of China (PBOC)

set the midpoint rate CNY=PBOC at 7.0680 per dollar. It was 10

pips firmer than the previous fix of 7.0690, and the strongest

since Sept.16.

In a statement posted on the International Monetary Fund

website on Saturday, PBOC Governor Yi Gang said the yuan is at

"an appropriate level" based on economic and market

fundamentals. "Depreciation since the beginning of August has been driven

and determined by market forces and reflects shifts in market

dynamics and volatilities in global foreign exchange markets

amid recent global economic and financial developments and

escalating trade tensions," Yi said.

Sterling falls https://tmsnrt.rs/35RTMtl

Sterling shorts trimmed https://tmsnrt.rs/2W0D9ae

Dollar positioning and dollar index https://tmsnrt.rs/31xSQqH

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