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FOREX-Yen jumps against dollar in virus-driven risk-off move

Published 24/02/2020, 17:47
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen jumps against dollar in virus-driven risk-off move
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(New throughout, changes byline, previous dateline LONDON)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Feb 24 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen jumped versus

the U.S. dollar on Monday in a risk-off move spurred by the rise

in coronavirus cases.

The safe-haven yen JPY= was last up 0.93% at 110.52 per

dollar. The dollar index =USD , which weighs the greenback

against a basket of six peers can also function as a safe-haven

trade, but was in negative territory for the day, likely because

of a significant move lower in U.S. equities. It was last down

0.21% at 99.22 per dollar.

Italy, South Korea and Iran reported sharp rises in

coronavirus cases on Monday, but China eased curbs as the

infection rate there slowed and a visiting World Health

Organization team said a turning point had been reached in the

epicentre, Wuhan. In response to the coronavirus headlines, the Dow Jones

industrial average .DJI shed more than 800 points in early

trade. All of the Dow's 30 blue-chip members, as well as the 11

major S&P sectors were in the red. Technology stocks .SPLRCT

dropped 3.5% and were the biggest drag on the benchmark index.

Defensive utilities .SPLRCU and real estate .SPSLRCR posted

the smallest declines.

"Ultimately this is all a risk-off trade," said Marvin Loh,

senior global markets strategist at State Street Global Markets.

"When you look at the yen, when you look at the Swissie,

when you look at rates, it is risk-off. It's probably

reflective, to a certain degree, of the market being a little

too sanguine up until now ... so there's an adjustment process

around it."

Still, the yen traded well within last week's range, and

currency market moves were muted compared to the U.S. stocks and

Treasuries. Analysts said investors might be discounting the

yen's traditional safety value owing to Japan's virus exposure.

U.S. economic data last week came in below expectations.

Money markets are now pricing in a Federal Reserve interest rate

cut of 25 basis points in June.

"I've been thinking that the Fed is in a position where

they're going to have to cut sometime this year," said Loh. "Not

necessarily based on global growth but based on a lot of other

things like inflation."

The Australian dollar, often traded as a proxy for China

risk, weakened to an 11-year low of $0.658 AUD= , but it

retraced some of those losses in the North American session and

was last down 0.18% to $0.662.

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