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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares seen higher but economic woes may cap gains

Published 14/04/2020, 00:52
© Reuters.
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* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

NEW YORK, April 13 (Reuters) - Asian stocks were set for a
modest bounce on Tuesday as U.S. stock futures edged higher,
although fears the coronavirus could drag on the global economy
for months are likely to temper investor confidence.
E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 nudged 0.3% higher,
while Nikkei futures NKc1 pointed to an opening gain of about
70 points.
All eyes will be on China's trade data, to be released on
Tuesday, which is expected to show exports tumbling 14% in March
from a year ago, as the coronavirus shutters businesses around
the world, crippling demand and economic growth. Indeed, some analysts are saying any optimism over signs the
outbreak may be peaking in hard-hit cities is quickly being
offset by concerns that it may be awhile yet before businesses
recover.
"Signs of the outbreak peaking -- or at least slowing in
some regions -- have started to turn the talk to when
restrictions on activity can be eased," analysts at JPMorgan
said in a note.
"Short of the unlikely near-term event of a vaccine or
significant herd immunity, restarting economies...may be
challenging," the analysts wrote.
Wall Street indexes ended mixed on Monday with the Dow and
S&P 500 falling while a 6.2% gain in Amazon shares helped the
Nasdaq end higher. In Asia, an expected trade slump in China will reinforce
views that the world is headed for a global recession this year,
despite an unprecedented burst of stimulus from policymakers in
the last two months to shore up growth.
Many analysts already expect China's economy, the world's
second-largest, to have contracted sharply in the March quarter
for the first time since at least 1992. China reports its
first-quarter gross domestic product data on April 17.
Elsewhere, Britain's finance minister told colleagues the UK
economy could shrink by up to 30% this quarter due to the
coronavirus lockdown that has shuttered businesses. In another sign of worries about struggling global demand,
oil prices barely reacted to a global deal to cut output by a
record amount of nearly 10% of world supply. U.S.
crude CLc1 was up just 39 cents at $22.8, well under its
January peak of $63.27.
A skittish market helped gold prices XAU= to cling to
highs not seen in more than seven years at $1,718.46 an ounce.
In the United States, which has recorded the highest number
of casualties from the virus in the world, President Donald
Trump said on Monday his administration was close to completing
a plan to re-open the U.S. economy, even though some state
governors have signalled that the decision on when to restart
businesses lay with them. The dollar continued to extend losses on the back of the
U.S. Federal Reserve's massive new lending programme. The dollar
index =USD fell 0.105%, while the Japanese yen JPY= was flat
versus the greenback at 107.68 per dollar. The euro EUR= was
also little changed against the dollar at $1.0917.
The yield for benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes
US10YT=RR edged higher to 0.7697%.

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