GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares inch higher as data drives rebound hopes

Published 01/07/2020, 04:27
Updated 01/07/2020, 04:30
© Reuters.
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* Chinese PMI data helps stocks edge higher
* Caution holds gold near 8yr top, supports yen
* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Shriya Ramakrishnan
July 1 (Reuters) - Asian stocks struggled for headway on
Wednesday as the second half of the year got underway, with
improving economic data offset by worries that surging
coronavirus cases in the United States could derail the world's
recovery before it properly begins.
Following firm U.S. housing data and signs of a rebound in
Europe's economy, the latest boost to sentiment came from
Chinese factory activity gathering steam in June, with the
Caixin/Markit manufacturing PMI rising to 51.2 compared with
expectations for 50.5. But virus cases surged, too, with the U.S. recording 47,000
infections on Tuesday, its biggest single-day spike since the
pandemic began. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.4%, led by gains in Korea .KS11 and
China .CSI300 .
Japan's Nikkei .N225 slipped 0.2%, though, U.S. stock
futures ESc1 fell 0.3% and gold sat close to an eight-year
peak, pointing to elevated caution.
The moves follow a strong finish to the quarter on Wall
Street and also a loss of momentum in recent weeks as U.S.
infection rates have surged, with some states reimposing
restrictions on business and personal activity.
The S&P 500 .SPX index rose 1.5% for an almost 20% gain
over the past three months, fuelled by unprecedented central
bank stimulus and hopes for a swift pandemic recovery, but it
rose only 1.8% in June.
Coronavirus cases more than doubled in 14 U.S. states last
month, a Reuters analysis showed, and fears are growing that the
caseload could prompt fresh lockdowns. "Clearly we are not in total control right now," the
country's top infectious disease expert, Anthony Fauci, told a
Senate committee on Tuesday, adding that cases could increase by
as much as 100,000 daily if the outbreak is not contained.
The surge has prompted California, Texas and Florida to shut
recently re-opened bars in the last few days, while Australia
has locked-down parts of its second-biggest city, Melbourne, to
try and stop a spike in cases there. "The rise in COVID-19 infections is now triggering a
reversal on the reopening strategy," said Rodrigo Catril, senior
FX strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.
"It remains to be seen if the U.S economy will continue to
surprise over the coming month."
The U.S. government bond market remains in a cautious mood.
Yields on benchmark 10-year government debt US10YT=RR rose
overnight to 0.6774%, but finished the quarter steady. US/


UNWELCOME DEVELOPMENTS
On top of virus worries, China's introduction of sweeping
new laws to crack down on dissent in Hong Kong also has
investors eying geopolitical tensions with trepidation.
The laws have already prompted Washington to begin
dismantling Hong Kong's special status under U.S. law.
"It has not taken people by surprise, but it's an unwelcome
development," said Imre Speizer, a foreign exchange strategist
at Westpac in Auckland. "It's one of a number of geopolitical
factors which is a negative for some asset classes now."
Currency markets were in a holding pattern ahead of the next
slew of data due to provide a snapshot of the U.S. recovery.
The dollar held gains against most majors and slipped on the
safe-haven yen JPY= , last buying 107.68 yen and trading at
$0.6909 per Australian dollar AUD=D3 . FRX/
U.S. manufacturing activity data due later in the day,is
forecast to show a recovery from a 11-year low in April while
the non-farm payrolls report on Thursday is expected to show the
economy added 3 million jobs in June.
Elsewhere sterling GBP=D3 rebounded from near a one-month
low on Tuesday and hung on to most of that ground at $1.2382.
Gold XAU= hovered near an 8-year high at $1780.64 an
ounce. Brent crude LCOc1 rose 43 cents or 1% to $41.70 a
barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 was up 1.3% at $39.76 a barrel.

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Global assets http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl
Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Emerging markets http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV
MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j
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