GLOBAL MARKETS-Global shares extend rebound on policy easing hopes, eye G7 for cues

Published 03/03/2020, 06:33
Updated 03/03/2020, 06:36
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Global shares extend rebound on policy easing hopes, eye G7 for cues
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* Hopes of central bank stimulus lift global shares

* ECB says stands ready to take targeted measures

* G7 conference call planned later on Tuesday

* Australia central bank cuts policy interest rate

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, March 3 (Reuters) - Global shares and oil prices

extended their rebound on Tuesday as policymakers indicated

their willingness to move to ease the economic fallout from the

coronavirus, while investors waited for a conference call by

Group of Seven heads for trading cues.

Finance ministers from the G7 group and central bank

governors will hold a conference call on Tuesday (1200GMT) to

discuss measures to deal with the widening coronavirus outbreak

and its economic impact.

The plan came after the European Central Bank (ECB) on

Monday joined the chorus of central banks signalling a readiness

to deal with the growing threats from the outbreak. "Policymakers globally are talking about supporting the

economy. So short-term players, including myself, are closing

positions for now ahead of the G7 call," said Masaru Ishibashi,

joint general manager of trading at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.

Earlier messages from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) that it

was prepared to act weighed on the greenback.

The improved mood supported U.S. S&P 500 futures ESc1 ,

which rose as much as 1.0% in Asian trade. But the index pared

gains after Reuters reported that the G7 draft statement on

coronavirus response does not specifically call for new

government spending or coordinated rate cuts. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS gained 1.4%.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 lost steam and fell 0.7% after

short-covering ran its course and as the yen firmed on the

dollar.

The rout in global stocks last week had already prompted Fed

Chair Jerome Powell and Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda

to flag a readiness to move.

Money markets are fully pricing in a cut of at least 0.25

percentage point to the current 1.50%-1.75% target rate at the

Fed's March 17-18 meeting as well as a 0.10 percentage point cut

to the ECB's key rate at March 12 meeting.

The frantic moves by policymakers reflected growing fears

that the disruption to supply chains, factory output and global

travel caused by the new epidemic could deal a serious blow to a

world economy trying to recover from the U.S.-China trade war.

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development

has cut its forecast of global economic growth this year to

2.4%, the lowest since 2009 and down from a forecast of 2.9% in

November. Coronavirus is now spreading much more rapidly outside China

than within the country, leading the world into uncharted

territory, although the World Health Organization (WHO) has so

far stopped short of calling it a pandemic. In the United States, six people in the Seattle area have

died of the illness caused by the coronavirus, as authorities

across the country scrambled to prepare for more infections.

"It would be myopic to think that (economic) policy actions

alone will bring back calmness to markets. The reality is, the

coronavirus is still spreading," said Takehiko Masuzawa, head of

sales trading for Japanese clients at Macquarie in Tokyo.

FED RATE CUTS

The rebound in global stock prices saw U.S. bond yields roll

back some of their sharp falls.

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield retreated to 1.116%

US10YT=RR from a record low of 1.030% marked on Monday. The

rate-sensitive two-year notes yield US2YT=RR jumped back to

0.844% from Monday's 3 1/2-year low of 0.710%.

Still, the 10-year and two-year yields are down more than 40

and 50 basis points, respectively, from about two weeks ago.

April Fed funds rate futures FFJ0 still price in about 80%

chance of a 0.50 percentage point cut this month and a total of

almost 1 percentage point cuts by the end of year.

Expectations of Fed rate cuts prompted investors to cut

their exposure to the dollar.

Against the yen, the dollar lost 0.5% to 107.73 yen JPY= ,

slipping towards a five-month low of 107 set on Monday.

The euro firmed to $1.1148 EUR= , having hit an eight-week

peak of $1.1185 in the previous session.

The Australian dollar erased earlier losses to trade at

$0.6545 AUD=D4 , more than a cent above an 11-year low of

$0.64345 set on Friday, after Australia's central bank cut the

policy interest rate to 0.5% from 0.75% as expected.

Oil prices bounced back further after a jump of more than 4%

on Monday, reversing an early decline to multi-year lows.

Hopes of a deeper output cut by the Organization of the

Petroleum Exporting Countries and central banks' policy measures

countered worries about the impact of the virus on demand. O/R

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures CLc1 rose 2.4%

to $47.85 a barrel, up sharply from Monday's low of $43.32 a

barrel, which was the lowest since December 2018.

While the coronavirus continues to dominate investor

attention, focus has also swung to Super Tuesday in the United

States, the biggest day in the Democratic primary elections to

choose a challenger to President Donald Trump.

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