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GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil, shares slip as investors doubtful over Saudi-Russia deal

Published 03/04/2020, 07:42
Updated 03/04/2020, 07:48
GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil, shares slip as investors doubtful over Saudi-Russia deal
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* U.S. oil futures drop 4.5% on doubts on output cut deal
* Trump says has not offered U.S. output cut
* S&P500 futures fall 0.7% after energy driven overnight
gain
* European stocks seen down slightly
* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano and Herbert Lash
TOKYO/NEW YORK, April 3 (Reuters) - Oil prices shed some of
their massive gains on Friday taking stocks in Asia lower, as
doubts grew over an oil price deal between Saudi Arabia and
Russia that U.S. President Donald Trump said he had brokered.
With the coronavirus pandemic raising the risk of a
prolonged global downturn, investors continued to seek the
safety of the U.S. dollar and government bonds, pushing U.S.
Treasury yields near their lowest in three weeks.
European stocks are expected to drop, with Euro Stoxx 50
futures STXEc1 down 0.26% while German DAX futures FDXc1 and
FTSE futures FFIc1 both slipped about 0.3%.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 lost $1.18,
or 4.7%, to $24.14 a barrel, having surged a record 24.7% on
Thursday. Brent futures LCOc1 dropped $1.37, or 4.6% to
$28.55.
Trump said on Thursday he had spoken to Saudi Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman, and expects Riyadh and Moscow to cut oil
output by as much as 10 million to 15 million barrels, as the
two countries signalled willingness to make a deal. Saudi Arabia said it would call an emergency meeting of the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, state media
reported.
The amount cited by Trump would represent an unprecedented
cut equal to 10% to 15% of global supply, in output per day
terms, a common unit of measurement.
However, Trump provided few details, an omission some
analysts said was likely intentional.
"He is a business man and smart enough to know these things.
A cut of 10-15 million barrel per day (bpd) would be simply
impossible," said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist
at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.
"How could Riyadh and Moscow agree on such a big cut, just
about a month after they had fought over a cut of 1.5 million?"
In early March, talks over production cuts between the two
countries collapsed, leading them to start a price war that
pushed oil prices to the lowest levels in nearly two decades.
Nor did Trump make any offer to reduce U.S. production,
which has become the world's largest at the expense of Saudi and
Russian output.
"Both Riyadh and Moscow will also be looking for
participation from U.S. producers, and this may prove now to be
the biggest obstacle to an agreement," Royal Bank of Canada
analysts said in a note.
Any cut is unlikely to make up for near-term oil demand
destruction, estimated to range between 20 million and 30
million bpd. As oil prices retreated, E-Mini futures for the S&P 500
EScv1 lost 1.1% in Asia. On Thursday, the S&P 500 .SPX
gained 2.3%.
MSCI's Asia-Pacific index outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS
dipped 0.6% while Japan's Nikkei .N225 erased earlier gains to
end flat.

SAFE ASSETS IN DEMAND
Investors sought the safety of government bonds. Benchmark
U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell in price to last yield
0.593%, near a three-week low of 0.563% touched on Thursday.
More evidence of the damage from widespread stay-at-home
orders to contain the spread of coronavirus emerged in the
United States, with an unprecedented number of workers - 6.6
million - filing jobless claims. Projections released by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office
showed gross domestic product would decline by more than 7% in
the second quarter as the health crisis takes hold. Global coronavirus cases surpassed 1 million with more than
52,000 deaths as the pandemic further exploded in the United
States and the death toll climbed in Spain and Italy, according
to a Reuters tally. Highly rated U.S. corporate bond issuers raised a record
$110.502 billion this week, according to Refinitiv IFR data, as
firms borrowed cash in fear the coronavirus crisis may soon
limit their access to capital markets. In the currency market, the dollar maintained its firmness
against a basket of currencies as investors and companies
continued to hoard the world's most liquid currency.
The dollar index =USD has risen 1.97% so far this week,
even as extreme tightness for greenback since last month eased.
The euro dipped 0.17% to $1.0837 EUR= after four straight
days of losses. The yen also stepped back to 107.95 per dollar
JPY= from Wednesday's two-week high of 106.925.
Some emerging market currencies stayed under pressure. The
Mexican peso MXN=D4 and the Turkish lira TRYTOM=D2 fell more
than 1% against the dollar to 24.429 and 6.6725, respectively.
Gold prices rose overnight on the dire U.S. jobless claims
figures, intensifying fears of the coming economic slowdown and
driving investors toward the safe-haven metal.
Spot gold eased off slightly to $1,608.5 per ounce XAU=
after a 1.28% rise on Thursday.

(Editing by Jacqueline Wong and Sam Holmes)

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