NVDA gained a massive 197% since our AI first added it in November - is it time to sell? 🤔Read more

GLOBAL MARKETS-Record high stocks pause to gauge Sino-US trade outlook, company earnings

Published 15/01/2020, 10:40
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Record high stocks pause to gauge Sino-US trade outlook, company earnings
XAU/USD
-
JP225
-
HK50
-
GC
-
DE10YT=RR
-
US10YT=X
-
KS11
-
SSEC
-
STOXX
-
MIAPJ0000PUS
-

* European shares open lower

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Tariffs to stay until there is 'Phase 2' agreement:

Mnuchin

* U.S.-China 'Phase 1' trade deal to be signed later on

Wednesday

* Bond yields inch lower; US earnings in focus

(Updates throughout, changes byline, dateline)

By Sujata Rao

TOKYO, Jan 15 (Reuters) - World stocks eased off record

highs on Wednesday and U.S. and German bond yields slipped as

euphoria over a Sino-U.S. trade deal was depleted by U.S.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin saying tariffs on Chinese

goods would remain in place for now.

The 18-month long trade spat should enter a quieter phase as

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He sign

an initial agreement that would boost Chinese purchases of U.S.

manufactured and agricultural goods, energy and services.

Dubbed the Phase 1 deal, it may soothe markets which have

been on edge as the conflict between the world's two largest

economies hit hundreds of billions of dollars in goods, uprooted

supply chains and slowed economic growth.

But share prices have pulled back from recent highs, with

Wall Street closing weaker on Tuesday, MSCI's index of Asian

shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS retreating from 19-month

peaks and Japan's benchmark Nikkei .N225 likewise falling

0.5%, off a four-week high.

Bourses in China, South Korea and Hong Kong lost between

0.5%-0.7% on the day .SSEC .KS11 .HSI .

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX slipped 0.1%.

The retreat was triggered by Mnuchin's comments that U.S.

tariffs on Chinese goods would stay until the completion of a

second phase of a U.S.-China trade agreement. Their eventual

removal hinged on Beijing's compliance with the Phase 1 accord,

Bloomberg reported, citing sources. The news did not entirely surprise markets, however, and

many attributed the pullback to profit-taking off the recent

rally than to any turn in underlying sentiment.

"The Phase One deal had pretty much been priced in so

(Mnuchin's) comments took some steam out of the market last

night and that's feeding through into today," said Justin

Onuekwusi, a portfolio manager at Legal & General Investment

Management.

The jittery mood gave a mild boost to safe-haven assets such

as gold, with the precious metal ticking up 0.3% after two days

of losses XAU= . The Japanese yen and high-grade bonds also

firmed slightly, though the yen was only 0.1% higher versus the

dollar and a whisker off 7-1/2-month lows of 110.22 JPY=D3 .

U.S. Treasury yields ticked down, with the benchmark 10-year

note yield falling more than 2 basis points to 1.7930%

US10YT=RR , hurt also by Tuesday's data showing consumer prices

undershooting expectations in December, which could allow

interest rates to stay unchanged this year.

German 10-year yields also eased 2 bps, having earlier hit

two-week highs around minus 0.169% DE10YT=RR but their

direction may hinge on 2019 German growth numbers which showed

the biggest euro zone economy grew at its slowest since 2013.

Markets are also weighing the potential impact of the U.S.

government nearing publication of a rule to vastly expand its

powers to block shipments of foreign-made goods to China's

Huawei, as it seeks to squeeze the blacklisted telecoms firm.

"I think the Trump administration will continue to put

pressure on China in this way or some other, even after signing

a Phase 1 deal," Yuichi Kodama, chief economist at Meiji Yasuda

Life Insurance said.

Markets are also likely to focus more on company earnings

from now -- Refinitiv analysis suggests S&P 500 companies had a

dismal fourth quarter, with earnings-per-share falling 0.6% --

the second straight quarterly decline.

Big banks Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, BlackRock are

among those reporting results later on Wednesday and

expectations are high after JPMorgan posted record profits and

Citi beat estimates, though Wells Fargo profits slumped.

"The market will see trade escalation taken off the table

but it will start to focus on earnings. We saw huge multiple

expansions in 2019 and that won't happen again until we see

earnings coming through," Onuekwusi said.

On currency markets, the trade-reliant Australian dollar

slipped 0.3% against the greenback while the euro was broadly

flat AUD=D3 EUR=EBS .

The offshore yuan CNH= weakened slightly, a day after

rising to its strongest level in six months of 6.865.

Investors were focused on the British pound which is down

almost 2% this month versus the dollar GBP=D3 as dismal

economic numbers and policymaker comments have fanned

expectations of an interest rate cut as soon as this month. A

quarter-point cut is now fully priced by end-2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2NmDt00

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.