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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks back to 'risk-on' after Trump trade war scare

Published 04/12/2019, 13:42
Updated 04/12/2019, 13:45
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks back to 'risk-on' after Trump trade war scare
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* European stocks recoup losses

* U.S./China trade deal still possible-Bloomberg report

* Wall Street futures jump

* European yields tick higher

By Julien Ponthus

LONDON, Dec 4 (Reuters) - European stocks recovered on

Wednesday from their losses the day before, when U.S. President

Donald Trump surprised world markets by saying a trade deal with

China could wait until after the 2020 presidential election in

November.

Morning gains became a rally when Bloomberg, citing

unidentified sources, said the United States and China were in

fact moving closer to agreeing on the amount of tariffs that

would be rolled back in phase one of a trade deal.

While Trump had dashed hoped for a preliminary agreement and

triggered a sell-off in stocks on Wall Street and in Asia, the

Bloomberg report caused a brutal swing that took traders by

surprise.

"There are playing with the nerves of investors," said

Mikael Jacoby, a senior equity sales trader at Oddo Securities,

adding there was a sense of fatigue and frustration watching

markets swing on the basis of headlines and tweets.

"One day they will guide positively, another negatively",

Jacoby said, noting that markets could be expected to continue

their up and down moves until a trade agreement is reached.

Fresh U.S. tariffs on Argentina and Brazil, plus a threat to

impose duties on French goods, are fuelling fears that risks are

tilting towards an escalation of the crisis.

The pan-European equity index STOXX 600 .STOXX , which had

slumped 2.2% since the beginning of the month, was up 1%.

Futures markets were signalling a Wall Street opening in

positive territory.

Before the Bloomberg report, European trading showed little

reaction when data indicated euro zone business activity stayed

near stall speed last month. Manufacturing continued to drag on

the dominant services industry.

Euro zone government bond yields yo-yoed in early trading,

but speculation on a possible U.S./China agreement pushed

10-year German Bund yields up 1 basis point to -0.337%

DE10YT=RR .

Yields across the euro area followed suit, rising by 1 to 2

bps. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield jumped by

1.75%, then fell back to about 1.74%.

TOO COMPLACENT?

The latest trade war scare ended a rally that had lifted the

S&P 500 since early October, when top diplomats from China and

the United States met and outlined an initial agreement that

Trump said he hoped could be sealed within weeks.

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said that if no

substantial progress was made soon, another round of duties on

Chinese imports, including cell phones, laptops and toys, would

take effect on Dec. 15.

The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill proposing a

stronger response to a crackdown on Muslims in western China,

drawing swift condemnation from Beijing on Wednesday, to add

another layer of tension. Beijing's handling of unrest in Hong

Kong has also drawn criticism from Washington.

"The market was too complacent, thinking both superpowers

would be able to compartmentalize these issues away from the

broader trade narrative," Stephen Innes, chief Asia market

strategist at AxiTrader, said in a note.

In currency markets, the euro retreated against the dollar

to 1.1068 EUR= . The Japanese yen JPY= and Swiss franc

CHF= , seen as safe havens, were down 0.1% and 0.2%

respectively.

Gold XAU = rose 0.4% to $1,482.9 per ounce.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures were up 0.58% at $61.17 a

barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 gained 0.52%

to $56.39 per barrel.

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