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Investing.com -- JPMorgan expects a new opportunity to buy Eurozone equities within the next one to two months, following what it describes as a healthy consolidation period.
“We now think the time is approaching to start adding to Eurozone again,” analysts wrote in a recent note, pointing to a pullback in the Euro Stoxx 50 Index (SX5E), which is currently 6–7% below its February highs.
The bank had forecast a consolidation since March, citing excessive optimism at the time, positioning overhang and continued trade uncertainty.
Compared to the U.S. market, where the S&P 500 has been reaching new highs, Eurozone performance has lagged.
“Eurozone/US relative performance has been pulling back for a while now,” JPMorgan said. “This is especially notable vs the US, where SPX has been making new highs.”
The analysts believe this reset is constructive: “Too bullish Eurozone optimism was checked.”
However, they caution that near-term risks remain. “First, we think stagflationary risks we were warning about need to be worked through,” JPMorgan wrote, referencing concerns around slowing growth and persistent inflation.
Meanwhile, the bank continues to hold a “more neutral Growth stance” and maintains a bullish view on small caps outside the U.S. It also reaffirmed three key medium-term themes: a bullish view on China tech, European defense, and Japanese banks.
“With US AI and beta factor at highs,” JPMorgan noted, “we believe another buying opportunity for Eurozone is coming… in absolute terms, and potentially relative to the US, too.”