Mizuho upgrades Palantir on accelerating growth, despite lofty valuation

Published 16/07/2025, 14:40
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Mizuho upgraded Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) to Neutral from Underperform given strong momentum across its commercial and government businesses, though it warned the stock’s sky-high valuation remains a concern.

The firm raised its price target to $135 from $116, noting the company has a “legitimate chance” to accelerate revenue growth for a fifth consecutive quarter when it reports second-quarter results in early August.

“Recent execution and momentum is stunning,” analysts wrote, pointing to meaningful upward revisions across both commercial and government segments that were previously underestimated.

Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) flagged expanding use cases for Palantir’s Foundry and AIP platforms across industries such as finance, energy, and healthcare, alongside rising enterprise demand for operational AI.

Its U.S. commercial business, which accounts for about 30% of revenue, is on track to exceed the company’s guidance for 68% revenue growth this year, the analysts said.

Meanwhile, its government segment—42% of revenue—remains resilient with a steady pipeline amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Mizuho also highlighted WarpSpeed as an early-stage initiative with strategic upside, supporting Palantir’s expansion into logistics and infrastructure aligned with U.S. reindustrialization efforts.

Still, the bank warned Palantir’s valuation—trading at 77x to 97x estimated 2025–26 revenue—is dramatically above the software peer group and vulnerable to a sharp reversion.

“While we see many more compelling names to own in software at these levels, we upgrade PLTR to Neutral from Underperform and raise our PT to $135 (from $116),” it said.

“PLTR’s uniqueness demands a great deal of credit. And looking forward, PLTR appears very well-positioned to benefit from long-term trends in AI, government digital transformation, and industrial modernization”

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