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Scotiabank cuts TELUS rating amid ARPU and valuation concerns

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 25/03/2024, 12:54
Updated 25/03/2024, 12:54
© Reuters.

On Monday, Scotiabank adjusted its stance on TELUS Corporation (NYSE:TU), downgrading the telecom giant from Sector Outperform to Sector Perform. The move reflects concerns over the stock's valuation and anticipated pressure on average revenue per user (ARPU) in both wireless and wireline services.

According to Scotiabank, TELUS is expected to outperform most Canadian telecommunications companies in the coming years due to its strong wireless segment and effective bundling strategies.

"However, as the sector faces increasing ARPU pressure both in wireless and wireline, we believe the stock™s premium multiple will likely come under increased scrutiny," said the analysts.

Scotiabank's report highlights that, when excluding the value of TIXT, TELUS's technology segment, the company's telecom, health, and agriculture businesses seem to be trading at a higher multiple than their justified valuation based on expected growth, by about $2 per share.

Furthermore, recent acquisitions in the Health and IT services sectors have added to TELUS's debt without proportionately enhancing revenue growth. This financial leverage is a point of concern, especially as the company's growth metrics for the first half of 2024 are projected to fall short of annual guidance, with stronger performance only expected later in the year.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Scotiabank's recent downgrade of TELUS Corporation (NYSE:TU), InvestingPro data and tips offer additional context for investors considering the telecom company's stock. TELUS has maintained a strong dividend history, which is a key point for income-focused investors. According to InvestingPro Tips, TELUS has raised its dividend for 20 consecutive years (Tip 0) and pays a significant dividend to shareholders (Tip 4). This consistent return to shareholders may appeal to those looking for steady income, especially in a volatile market.

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Moreover, the company's dividend yield stands at an attractive 6.99%, with a dividend growth of 8.53% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This is coupled with a market capitalization of 23.61 billion USD, suggesting a substantial size and presence in the market. Despite the concerns raised by Scotiabank, TELUS's P/E ratio has adjusted to a more moderate 24.47, which could indicate that the stock is beginning to align with current earnings expectations.

For investors seeking further analysis and metrics, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, including insights on the stock's price volatility, industry positioning, and analysts' revised earnings expectations. In fact, there are 11 more InvestingPro Tips listed for TELUS, which can be accessed for a more comprehensive understanding of the stock's potential. For those interested in diving deeper, using the coupon code PRONEWS24 will secure an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

Considering the stock's current position, trading near its 52-week low (Tip 9) and the RSI suggesting it is in oversold territory (Tip 1), it may also be an opportune moment for value investors to take a closer look at TELUS. The next earnings date is set for May 3, 2024, which will provide further clarity on the company's financial trajectory and whether it aligns with Scotiabank's projections and market expectations.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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