Earnings call transcript: Ameren Corp beats Q2 2025 forecasts with strong revenue growth

Published 01/08/2025, 15:52
 Earnings call transcript: Ameren Corp beats Q2 2025 forecasts with strong revenue growth

Ameren Corp (AEE), a utility company with a market capitalization of $27.5 billion, reported stronger-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) at $1.01, surpassing the forecast of $0.99. The company also reported a revenue of 2.22 billion dollars, significantly exceeding the expected 1.8 billion dollars. This performance led to a 0.81% increase in the stock’s price, closing at 101.13 dollars. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock is currently trading above its Fair Value.

Key Takeaways

  • Ameren Corp’s Q2 2025 EPS of $1.01 beat the forecast by 2.02%.
  • Revenue reached 2.22 billion dollars, a 23.33% surprise over expectations.
  • Stock price rose by 0.81% in response to the earnings beat.
  • The company anticipates a 6-8% compound annual earnings growth from 2025 to 2029.
  • Significant investments in infrastructure and energy projects are underway.

Company Performance

Ameren Corp demonstrated robust performance in Q2 2025, with its EPS rising from $0.97 in the same quarter last year to $1.01. The revenue growth was driven by a 1% increase in normalized retail sales and a 2.5% growth in industrial sales over the trailing twelve-month period. This performance reflects the company’s strong position in the energy sector, bolstered by ongoing expansions and infrastructure investments.

Financial Highlights

  • Revenue: 2.22 billion dollars, significantly above the forecast of 1.8 billion dollars.
  • Earnings per share: $1.01, compared to the forecast of $0.99.
  • Industrial sales growth: 2.5% over the trailing twelve months.

Earnings vs. Forecast

Ameren Corp surpassed market expectations with a 2.02% EPS surprise and a 23.33% revenue surprise. This marks a strong quarter for the company, with the earnings beat being more pronounced than in previous quarters, highlighting effective management and strategic initiatives.

Market Reaction

The stock price of Ameren Corp increased by 0.81% following the earnings announcement, closing at 101.13 dollars. This movement reflects positive investor sentiment, driven by the company’s better-than-expected financial results. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week high of 104.1 dollars, indicating strong market confidence. InvestingPro analysis shows the stock generally trades with low price volatility, with a beta of 0.5, making it an attractive option for risk-averse investors. Analyst price targets range from $90 to $115, suggesting mixed views on the stock’s potential.

Outlook & Guidance

Looking ahead, Ameren Corp maintains a positive outlook, expecting a 6-8% compound annual earnings growth from 2025 to 2029. The company is also planning a 9.2% compound annual rate base growth, supported by a 63 billion dollar investment pipeline. Future projects include the Big Hollow Energy Center, expected to serve customers by 2028.

Executive Commentary

Marty Lyons, CEO, emphasized the company’s commitment to enhancing the energy grid, stating, "Our strategy is not just about keeping the lights on. It is about paving the way for a cost-effective, more reliable and resilient energy grid." CFO Michael Main highlighted the importance of diverse energy sources, saying, "We need every bit of this... solar, wind, battery."

Risks and Challenges

  • Regulatory changes in MISO transmission projects could impact operations.
  • Potential supply chain disruptions may affect project timelines.
  • Market competition in the energy sector remains intense.
  • Economic fluctuations could influence industrial sales growth.
  • Maintaining tax credit eligibility for renewable projects is crucial.

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts inquired about data center expansion opportunities and gas transmission capabilities. Executives expressed confidence in their strategic direction and commitment to maintaining tax credit eligibility for renewable projects, while also monitoring potential regulatory changes.

Overall, Ameren Corp’s Q2 2025 performance showcases its strong market position and strategic investments, positioning the company for continued growth in the coming years. With revenue growth of 9.04% over the last twelve months and a P/E ratio of 22.55, the company demonstrates solid fundamentals. For deeper insights into Ameren’s financial health and growth prospects, including access to 8 additional ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics, explore InvestingPro’s detailed research report.

Full transcript - Ameren Corp (AEE) Q2 2025:

Conference Operator: and welcome to Amarin Corporation’s Second Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Andrew Kirk, Senior Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Modeling for Ameren Corporation.

Thank you, Mr. Kirk. You may begin.

Andrew Kirk, Senior Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Modeling, Amarin Corporation: Thank you, and good morning. On the call with me today are Marty Lyons, our Chairman, President, Chief Executive Officer and Michael Main, our Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, as well as other members of the Ameren management team. This call contains time sensitive data that is accurate only as of the date of today’s live broadcast and redistribution of this broadcast is prohibited. We have posted a presentation on the amereninvestors.com homepage that will be referenced by our speakers. As noted on Page two of the presentation, comments made during this conference call may contain statements about future expectations, plans, projections, financial performance and similar matters, which are commonly referred to as forward looking statements.

Please refer to the forward looking statements section in the news release we issued yesterday as well as our SEC filings for more information about the various factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Now here’s Marty, who will start on page four. Thanks, Andrew. Good morning, everyone. At Ameren,

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: we power the quality of life for millions across Missouri and Illinois. Our strategic approach is built on three fundamental pillars, making prudent investments in rate regulated energy infrastructure, advocating for responsible energy policies, and continuously optimizing our operations to create long term sustainable value for our customers, communities and shareholders. This strategy is not just about keeping the lights on. It is about paving the way for a cost effective, more reliable and resilient energy grid that meets our customers’ growing needs and driving regional growth for decades to come. As highlighted on page five, we made solid progress on our key strategic objectives in the first half of the year, which will help us deliver on these commitments to our customers and shareholders.

During the first half of the year, we invested over $2,000,000,000 in critical infrastructure, advanced key regulatory proceedings and delivered strong operational performance, all while keeping our average electric rates below the national and Midwest averages. In the second quarter, we experienced a high number of severe weather events, including an EF three tornado on May 16 that spanned a mile wide and traveled 23 miles through Central St. Louis County and northern parts of St. Louis City and into Illinois. This tornado caused extensive damage and widespread outages across Ameren Missouri and Ameren Illinois.

We deployed more than 2,700 field personnel in the days following the tornado, including Ameren crews, contractors, and supporting resources from across the Midwest who responded swiftly and safely rebuilding damaged infrastructure, replacing nearly 1,000 poles, and restoring service to more than 290,000 customers. Weather events like those experienced earlier this year underscore the importance of our ongoing investments in a more resilient energy grid. Enhancements like upgraded substations, composite poles designed to withstand high winds, and smart technologies that enable faster outage detection and automated grid self healing are helping us restore power safely and more quickly when these serious storms strike. We remain focused on making these investments responsibly, balancing reliability and resilience with affordability. Now let’s cover the financial results for the quarter as shown on Page six.

Yesterday, we announced second quarter twenty twenty five earnings of $1.01 per share compared to earnings of $0.97 per share in the 2024. The key drivers of these results are outlined on this slide. We continue to expect 2025 diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $4.85 per share and $5.05 per share. Turning to Page seven, I’ll provide an update on economic development activities in our region and associated sales growth opportunities. We continue to expect approximately 5.5% compound annual sales growth from 2025 through 2029 in Missouri, primarily driven by increased data center demand.

We remain engaged with potential data center customers and are building a robust pipeline of large load opportunities that extend well into the next decade. As discussed on our first quarter call in May, we’ve executed construction agreements with data center developers representing approximately 2.3 gigawatts of future demand with this load expected to begin ramp up in late twenty twenty six and beyond. These developers have demonstrated their confidence in and commitment to their potential projects by submitting nonrefundable payments totaling $28,000,000 towards the cost of necessary transmission upgrades. And we are actively engaged with potential customers to execute electric service agreements or ESAs that are aligned with our proposed Missouri large load rate structure and among other things would establish anticipated minimum ramp schedules. Like our proposed rate structure, which I’ll talk about in a moment, these ESAs will be subject to Missouri PSC approval.

In addition, data center developers with existing construction agreements have requested that we study expanding their data center projects given our competitive power rates and access to desirable construction sites with available transmission interconnection. Of course, in order to support economic opportunities, as we outlined in our preferred resource plan in February, we must quickly accelerate generation portfolio additions to provide the energy and capacity needed to serve these customers. On page eight, we provide an update on generation resources currently under development at Ameren Missouri and new certificates of convenience and necessity or CCNs requested from the Missouri PSC. In June, we requested a CCN for the Big Hollow Energy Center, which as proposed will consist of an 800 megawatt simple cycle natural gas energy center and a 400 megawatt battery energy storage facility. Both of these facilities will be located at the site of Ameren’s retired Rush Island Energy Center, which will reduce construction time and costs for our customers and keep jobs and tax base in the community.

Subject to commission approval, we expect the Big Hollow Energy Center will begin serving customers in 2028. Our generation development efforts remain on schedule as we work toward achieving targeted in service dates. To proactively manage supply chain risks, we’ve already secured key components with long lead times such as turbines and transformers for our energy centers with expected in service dates through 2029. And we’ve begun equipment procurement activities for our first natural gas combined cycle energy center. We expect to have purchase commitments in place for turbines and related equipment by the end of this year and for the combined cycle energy center to be serving customers by 02/1931.

It’s important to note that the significant investment needed to construct data centers as well as the energy infrastructure needed to support them will create meaningful job growth and tax revenues to support our local economy. In addition to the energy and capacity to serve these large load customers, to realize this opportunity, we must also offer attractive rates. On Slide nine, we outline Ameren Missouri’s proposed large load rate structure, which we filed with the Missouri PSC in May. Under the proposed large load rate structure, we would deliver service under our existing large primary service base rate, which is currently approximately $06 per kilowatt hour and customers would agree to additional terms and conditions as part of an ESA. The additional terms would include a minimum service term of fifteen years, a minimum demand charge of 70% of contracted capacity, customer exit provisions and customer credit and collateral requirements.

In addition, new customer programs would be available, allowing customers to advance their clean energy goals by supporting the carbon free energy resource of their choice through incremental payments. In summary, this rate structure would offer a competitive rate designed to ensure large customers pay their fair share of the cost of service. We’re actively engaging with key stakeholders as we seek Missouri PSC approval for our proposed large load rate structure and related customer programs. While no deadline exists for Missouri PSC approval, based on the existing procedural schedule, we would expect a decision by February 2026. Moving now to Page 10 for an update on the long range transmission planning process at MISO.

Our focus remains on building the tranche one and tranche 2.1 long range transmission planning projects assigned to us and developing strong proposals for tranche 2.1 long range transmission planning competitive projects. The bidding and selection process for the $6,500,000,000 portfolio of competitive projects will take place over this year and next. We are carefully evaluating each bidding opportunity and we’ll submit bids for projects where we believe we offer a clear advantage on project design, cost and execution to deliver value for customers in the MISO region. As we have successfully done in the past, when it enhances the strength and competitiveness of our proposals, we expect to partner with other entities. Further, MISO continues its future scenario redesign efforts, which will incorporate significantly increasing energy demand and updated resource mix assumptions across the region.

We expect this analysis to show the need for significant transmission investment in the region, which is expected to be incorporated into later project portfolios in MISO’s long range transmission planning. MISO is now expected to issue its final report outlining four scenarios of possible future energy grid conditions in early twenty twenty six. We expect this will lead to identification of specific transmission infrastructure investment needs in our region late in 2026. Moving to Page 11. Looking ahead over the next decade, we have a robust pipeline of investment opportunities, which stands today at more than $63,000,000,000 that will deliver significant value to all of our stakeholders by making our energy grid stronger, smarter and cleaner and powering economic growth in our communities.

Turning to Page 12. In February, we updated our five year growth plan, which include our expectation of a 6% to 8% compound annual earnings growth rate from 2025 through 2029. And we expect to be near the upper end of our guidance range in the mid to latter part of our five year plan. This earnings growth expectation is primarily driven by our sales growth assumptions and strong anticipated compound annual rate base growth of 9.2%, reflecting strategic allocation of infrastructure investment to meet these demands and strengthen the grid in each of our business segments based on their regulatory frameworks. We expect to deliver strong long term earnings and dividend growth resulting in an attractive total return.

I’m confident in our ability to execute our investment plan and strategy across all four of our business segments as we have an experienced and dedicated team to achieve our growth objectives. Again, thank you all for joining us today and for your continued interest in Amarin. I will now turn the call over

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: to Michael. Thanks, Marty, and good morning, everyone. Turning now to Page 14 of our presentation. Yesterday, we reported second quarter twenty twenty five earnings of $1.01 per share compared to earnings of $0.97 per share for the 2024. The key factors that drove the increase are highlighted by segment on this page.

Our investments to strengthen the energy grid and provide more energy resources to serve our customers continue to be the primary driver of earnings growth across the company. In addition, we continue to experience solid customer growth at Ameren Missouri, where total normalized retail sales over the trailing twelve months through June increased across all customer classes with an overall increase of approximately 1%. Moving to Page 15, due to strong year to date performance, are well positioned to deliver earnings per share in the top half of our 2025 guidance range. Here we have outlined select earnings considerations for the remainder of the year, including the expected quarterly earnings impacts from the constructive resolution of the Ameren Missouri’s 2024 electric rate review. Further, I’d like to also highlight the commission approved a unanimous settlement in our Ameren Missouri 2024 gas rate review last month.

New rates for our natural gas customers will take effect on September 1. As mentioned, normalized sales in Missouri have remained strong. The strength is particularly evident in the industrial class, with sales up more than 2.5% on a trailing twelve month basis through June. Growth in the sector has been supported primarily by ongoing manufacturing expansions and the continued growth of new digital and communication services firms. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, we expect sales growth from a few new small scale data centers along with continued strength in the manufacturing sector.

We continue to maintain disciplined cost management throughout the company. In the second half of the year, we plan to increase vegetation management spend in targeted operating regions to support system reliability and grid resiliency. This is in response to more robust vegetation growth driven by wet weather conditions experienced this spring and early summer. I encourage you to take these supplemental earnings drivers into consideration as you develop your expectations for quarterly earnings results for the balance of the year. Now turning to our financing plan on page 16.

To support our credit ratings and maintain a strong balance sheet while we fund our investment plan, in February, we outlined a plan to issue approximately $600,000,000 of common equity each year through 2029. We’ve effectively fulfilled our equity needs for 2025 and 2026 through forward sales agreements. We feel very good about our financial position and the progress we’ve made in our equity financing plan. Having utilized most of the capacity available under our existing equity sales distribution program, we expect to increase the program capacity to enable additional sales to support equity needs in 2027 and beyond. On the balance sheet front, Moody’s and S and P affirmed our Baa1 and BBB plus issuer credit ratings respectively in their annual credit opinions issued in the second quarter, a signal of our ongoing financial strength and stability.

On page 17, we provide an update on federal tax and energy policy enacted in July. Significant advocacy from across the industry helped ensure that federal policies continue to support investment in energy resources nationwide to meet rising energy needs. As we work to provide the substantial generation required to serve growing demand, energy related tax credits help to reduce the cost of these resources for our customers. We expect these credits to provide approximately $1,500,000,000 of cost savings for our customers from 2025 through 2029. Under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, we are well positioned to realize all the energy tax credits reflected in our current five year plan.

Approximately $750,000,000 of the credits are expected to be generated by wind and solar projects either already in service or planned to be in service by 2027. We also expect to begin construction before the end of the year on battery projects, which we anticipate will generate $250,000,000 of credits. And finally, we expect to begin construction on additional solar projects this year and meet in service dates for safe harbor to generate the remaining $500,000,000 of credits. On page 18, we provide a brief update ongoing regulatory proceedings in Illinois. Our 2024 annual reconciliation proceeding under the electric multi year rate plan continues to progress.

In July, the Illinois Commerce Commission or ICC staff recommended recommended a reconciliation adjustment of $49,000,000 compared to our updated request of $60,000,000 with the variance primarily driven by treatment of other post employment benefits. An ICC decision is expected by mid mid December, and rates reflecting the approved reconciliation adjustment will be affected by January 2026. Turning to page 19. In July, the ICC staff recommended $103,000,000 annual base rate increase in Ameren, Illinois natural gas distribution rate review. The variance from our request for $135,000,000 increase is primarily driven by staff’s recommendation of a 9.93% return on equity and a 50% common equity ratio.

An ICC decision is expected by early December with new rates effective later that month. We also saw regulatory progress in transmission development in July for both Missouri and Illinois as the Missouri PSC and the Illinois Commerce Commission approved CCNs for Tranche one long range transmission projects. These approvals will allow the construction to begin on schedule in 2026. In summary, turning to Page 20, our strong performance in the first half of the year has positioned us well to continue executing our strategic plan, which will drive superior value for all of our stakeholders. We continue expect strong earnings per share growth to be driven by robust rate based growth, disciplined cost management and a strong customer growth pipeline.

Our strategy and team are well aligned to capitalize on these opportunities for our customers and shareholders. We believe our growth will compare fairly with the growth of our peers. Further Ameren shares continue to offer investors an attractive dividend. In total, we had an attractive total shareholder return story. That concludes our prepared remarks.

We now invite your questions.

Conference Operator: Thank Our first question is coming from Jeremy Tonet of JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Hi, good morning.

Jeremy Tonet, Analyst, JPMorgan: Good morning, Jeremy. Just wanted to touch base on data center load if I could here. We’ve seen a number of peers lift their pipeline this quarter. I was just wondering if you could talk a bit more about what Ameren sees here with regards to economic development coming to the service territory in outlook for future growth here?

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yes. You bet, Jeremy. I’ll tell you, we remain really excited about the opportunities we have ahead of us. And we continue to see really robust interest and and really strong momentum in the second quarter and here into the third with the data center developers and the hyperscalers. You know, earlier this year, we bumped up the data centers with, in our pipeline with signed construction agreements, as you know, to 2.3 gigawatts of of signed construction agreements.

And, I’d say in q two and in q three, as we’ve we’ve gotten through July, we’re right where we expected to be. You know, we filed our tariff, our proposed rate structure, if you will, in q two, and now we’re actively engaged with hyperscalers negotiating ESAs, aligned with that tariff that we proposed to the Missouri Public Service Commission. And, you know, we we feel good about the tariff that we filed, and and we’re working through that. In the meantime, I can tell you that developers and hyperscalers are asking us to study expansion relative to the existing sites where we have construction agreement. And that that simply adds to our excitement because I think it it it, you know, extends the pipeline of, investments and and jobs and economic development for our region.

And, and, of course, the, sales growth opportunities we have beyond 2032, you know, which we’ve outlined our expectations for that on on slide seven. So, you know, conversations, the work we’re doing continues to progress as expected, and we’re real excited about the outlook.

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: Hey. Hey, Jeremy. It’s Michael here. And, you know, beyond can agree with everything that Marty said there on the data center side. But, you know, as I indicated in my talking points, I mean, I think foundationally, you know, the overall economy just means remains very strong in our service territory here.

You know, in that trailing twelve months, we said we saw 1% growth overall. It it was in every class, residential one, commercial one, industrial, in particular, about two and a half percent. And I know there’s a lot of focus on the data center stuff, rightly so. But, I mean, there is some really good momentum just from a manufacturing perspective, obviously has jobs associated with it. We talked about this air dominance contract that was awarded to Boeing.

It’s probably a $20 plus billion investment over time on the F-forty seven. Unilever has had some nice expansions, GM, etcetera. There’s smaller data centers that are going downtown. I know they don’t get quite the same attention, but these are, you know, kind of starting on a five megawatts ramping to 25 over the course of the next couple of years. So it does provide, I think, just a nice backdrop into the overall economic development opportunity.

Jeremy Tonet, Analyst, JPMorgan: Got it. So nothing to read into the unchanged pipeline here. These things are lumpy and happen when they happen?

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yeah. I would say the pipeline is this is Marty, by the way, Jeremy. The pipeline remains extremely strong both in Missouri and Illinois. You know, no change in the number of construction agreements signed, but the pipeline of opportunity is still very large, folks looking at data center development in both Illinois and Missouri in near term. But as I wanna highlight again, we’re seeing some extension of that pipeline as well as some of these developers and hyperscalers are really asking about, you know, expansion opportunities beyond, the current data centers that that that have been identified, and and looking at expansion opportunities, which we’re studying along with them.

So, yeah, the pipeline remains really strong, and feel really good about the data center, construction agreements that we have. And as you know, the 2.3 gigawatts of signed construction agreements, really marries up very well with the sales expectations that we’ve outlined previously. I mean, we we have sort of a midpoint of expected growth in Missouri of about a gig and a half of of sales out through 2032, the lines with that five and a half percent sales growth. But as outlined in our integrated resource plan we filed earlier this year in Missouri, you know, we we’re investing in generation that could serve up to two gigs by, 2032 and even more beyond that. And we think that marries up real well with that 2.3 gigawatts of signed construction agreements.

And, just very happy with the progress we’re making with the end use customers, with the hyperscalers in terms of negotiation of energy services agreements, that would allow us to to serve them as they move into these data centers and ramp up load.

Jeremy Tonet, Analyst, JPMorgan: Got it. That’s very helpful there. Thanks. And maybe continuing with the thought, we’ve seen a number of peers firming spots in the turbine slot queue. If higher growth does materialize, has Ameren looked to derisk turbine slots needed here for any growth beyond the preferred resource plan?

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yes. Jeremy, it’s Michael here. Look, again, we

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: feel good about the near term prospects, we’ve talked about this with respect to the two simple cycles that we have coming online here in 27, 28 teams, you know, actively got in front of the queue there, long lead time material, as Marty talked about, got shovels in the ground. A lot of work to be done there, but feeling good about meeting those in service dates for ’27 and ’28. We have that combined cycle, which is out there in 02/1931, some active conversations going on at this point. Think I may have indicated at one point we were in the process of going through an RFP. I think over the course of the next sixty, ninety days, we’ll have locked that in.

But I think the preliminary discussions are the team’s feeling good about that timeline, that 2031, and that’s obviously a big project. So beyond that, you know, we continue to stay flexible and agile, but that’s what we got going on at the moment. Yeah, Jeremy. This is Marty. Just to add to

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: what Michael said, mean, he’s absolutely right. I mean, our focus is on making sure we shore up the resources to be able to execute the preferred resource plan that we’ve got out there. Marries up very well again with the load growth opportunities we’re seeing. But as I said on one of our prior calls, I mean, to the extent that the load growth ultimately looks like it may exceed some of what we’ve outlined in our integrated resource plan and what we’ve got on Slide seven, we’re certainly exploring other opportunities to enhance our generation portfolio to be able to serve that incremental sales growth. But as Michael said, our focus right now is really bringing this 1.5 to two gigs of sales growth by 2032 to fruition and building the resources to serve it.

But at the same time, to your point, opportunities to expand beyond that.

Jeremy Tonet, Analyst, JPMorgan: Got it. That’s helpful. And if I could just round out the thought quickly here. Just wondering, as far as access to gas needed for the plans as you outlined here, Have you signed up for sufficient gas transmission today? And is there a need for any new pipeline?

Or can this all be satisfied with existing pipe?

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yes. We feel pretty good about our position today there, Jeremy. Again, this is Michael. The Meramec facility that we’re repowering, it obviously had gas at it already. We had some peaking units there.

Rush Island will have to do some work on repurposing on-site, but feel good about what we need to get done there. And then for the combined cycle, there’s also a transmission line that’s very, very close to that plant. And so we’d have to we’d be able to tap into that and feel good about the work that needs to get done between now and then as well.

Jeremy Tonet, Analyst, JPMorgan: Got it. I’ll leave it there. Thank you very much.

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: Thank you. Thanks, Jeremy.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Julien Dumoulin Smith of Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Brian Russo, Analyst, Jefferies: Good morning. It’s Brian Russo on for Julien.

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Hey, Brian.

Brian Russo, Analyst, Jefferies: Hey, just to follow-up on some of your existing large load customers requesting studies for, I guess, expansions. I mean, how

Paul Patterson, Analyst, Glenrock Associates: meaningful is that? Is there

Brian Russo, Analyst, Jefferies: any sort of time line? Maybe just put it in the context with the 2.3 gigawatts you’re referencing.

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Well, we do think it’s meaningful for the reasons I stated. I think that the opportunity for economic growth and development in the region even beyond the 2.3 gigawatts that have been signed as construction agreements. I think it’s exciting for our communities because of the jobs it brings, you know, long lasting jobs, the the tax base it brings, etcetera. So I think that’s all good. You know, it’s hard to say right now what the timing of that would be.

Right now, we think about it as additive to the length of, say, the pipeline of of growth that we’ve got. And we’ll know more, Brian, as we sign some of these ESAs and we get deeper into the analysis of those growth opportunities. We really see the ESAs, these energy services agreements, as outlining the ramp rates for the load, that we would expect associated with the 2.3 gigawatts of signed construction agreements. Again, we’ve outlined in, on slide seven what we anticipate that ramp rate to be based upon conversations we’ve had with the hyperscalers, the ultimate customers. But ultimately the ESAs will outline sort of the minimum expected ramp rate over this period and I think that’ll even better firm up the load growth expectations that we’ve got.

But we see the conversations we’re having again is very positive and would provide incremental growth. Right now, we’re thinking beyond that 2032 time frame, but we’ll see based on the discussions that we have.

Brian Russo, Analyst, Jefferies: Okay. Great. Thank you very much. Thank

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: you.

Conference Operator: Our next question is coming from Paul Patterson of Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead.

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Hey, good morning. Hey, good morning, Paul.

Paul Patterson, Analyst, Glenrock Associates: So on the 2.1 MISO awards, there has been a complaint that was filed on Wednesday, which you guys are probably very familiar with, from a different bunch of state commissions, not not your state commissions, but, you know, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Dakota, Montana, I think. What do you how do you there’s that and there’s also been this IMM case with the IMM potentially reviewing transmission plans and what have you. Just could you comment on that and what you think about what’s going on there, I guess?

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yeah. I guess, you know, Paul commented on it briefly. I mean, you’re right. And for others, you know, on the call, you know, two days ago on July 30, five state commissions that, Paul referenced it referenced, alleged that MISO violated its tariff when it developed its benefit to cost ratios for the tranche 2.1 portfolio. And they asked FERC to declassify the tranche 2.1 projects as multi value projects.

Obviously, you know, based on the recency, we’re still assessing, that filing and and what our response might be. But but look, you know, Paul, we all know that loads are growing in the region. We just talked about that. The mix of generation resources has certainly been shifting over time, and capacity prices have been rising. And so, you know, all of that suggest to us that more transmission investment is needed.

I think, you know, look. We look back. MISO went through a very lengthy and consistent process of scenario planning and modeling, which ultimately led to the identification of these projects. And we support the need for the projects and the value of the projects. So, you know, we’re disappointed to see the the filing, and we certainly hope that, you know, it it it doesn’t delay the needed investments that we believe we need to make.

So, again, we’re in the early stages of assessing it. It was just filed on July 30, and and we’ll be thoughtful about our response.

Paul Patterson, Analyst, Glenrock Associates: Okay. Good. Great. So the second thing is, as I’m sure you guys are aware, the Trump administration doesn’t seem to be as excited about renewables as perhaps the previous one, and they put out their executive order he put out an executive order regarding treasury guidance and what have you. And I I know that you guys don’t know what’s gonna I mean, I assume you guys don’t know what’s gonna be in it.

But I guess my question sort of is, to your point sort of which we’re making earlier, obviously, there’s a need for new generation. The tax cuts basically accrue to ratepayers. If there was any disruption from this guidance in which the safe harbors or something would be I know this is kind of hypothetical, but I’m just sort of thinking ahead here. If there was a potential issue in which sand was sort of thrown in the gears, so to speak, And the tax some tax credits were made ineligible. What would be sort of the process to deal with that?

I mean, again, to what you were sort of saying, there’s a there’s a need for this generate there’s a need for some generation, whatever it may be, and the tax credits are really not something that it’s really something that accrues to ratepayers, right? So I’m just sort of wondering what do you have any thoughts about what the process might be or what the flexibility you guys might have in terms of how we would approach a situation like that for which to develop?

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yeah. You know, Paul, maybe Michael and I kinda tag team this a little bit. I I think, first of all, I’m not not sure I can comment on what the process might be on that hypothetical. And, hopefully, the hypothetical doesn’t come to pass. I think, you know, we and the industry, obviously, we were very active on the hill as the, OBBBA was, you know, was was negotiated and and finalized.

And, you know, one of the things that we really lobbied for was, you know, business certainty with respect to near term plan projects and that if the tax credits were going to be phased out, that they were done in a that was done in a a sort of a sensible way, that gave us the ability to move forward with, planned projects and and with some certainty. And I think at the end of the day, historical treasury guidance with respect to, you know, when does construction began along with, you know, continuity, safe harbor. You know, some of these provisions go back more than a decade. And and it it’s our belief, that legislative intent was to rely on, that decade’s worth of, precedent and and codify it actually in the legislation in the OBBA. So, you know, we we feel good about, what’s, what’s in the law and, and that it should stick and and is, again, consistent with past past treasury practice.

So we feel good about all of that, and that’s what we’re gonna continue to support. You know, Michael can talk to you a little bit now about what we had in our slides with respect to the actual credits and, you know, why we feel good about the credits that we have in our five year plan.

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yeah. You bet. You know, I’ll start where you you kinda left off, Paul, which is we need every bit of this, though, right? We need the solar, the wind, the battery. We need to continue to get every single megawatt we can out of our fossil generation, our nuclear plants as well.

And again, all of these tax credits do go back to customers. That’s why we advocated so hard for it. I think we actually landed in a good spot. Marty is right. I mean, look, we have a time tested approach here.

I mean, we’ve had IRS guidance here for the better part of a decade under the start of construction. We’ve done a lot of safe harboring. Typically, for us, it’s under the physical work test. And so as I indicated in the talking points, under this $1,500,000,000 over the next five years, really it’s broken down to $750,000,000 under projects that are already in service or going to be in service by the ’7. If you recall, we had 700 megawatts of wind that we put in service a number of years ago.

That’s throwing off PTCs, other things. We have about 400 megawatts of batteries that we have CCNs on that we’re going to be deploying here and safe harboring by the ’5, and then the remaining piece is associated with the solar build out. And again, the team has worked really hard to make sure that we put ourselves in a position to have that physical work test. Again, that’s been well established under IRS guidance, completely safe harbored over the next, I’d say, you know, thirty to sixty days. So feel really good about the the visibility we have.

Difficult to speculate where sort of this executive order is gonna go, but we’re we got heads down and focused on, you know, getting this generation built.

Paul Patterson, Analyst, Glenrock Associates: Awesome. Great questions. Great answers, guys. Appreciate it.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Carly Davenport of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Carly Davenport, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Hey, good morning. Thanks so much for taking my question. Maybe just to follow-up on the previous one, as we think like post OBBBA, I know you had mentioned earlier that everything in the current plan is safe harbored. But I guess to the extent that we do get a constructive, outcome on these executive orders, is there any potential to pull forward incremental projects or accelerate plans to be able to take advantage of those credits for customers?

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yeah. I mean, the team has been actively looking at that, Carly. Good morning, by the way. This is Michael. Yeah.

And so, you know, they’ve been going through and looking at transformers and acquiring transformers to put us in a position, not not only to you know, I focus on kind of this five year plan, but to see what else that we could potentially pull forward and make sure that we take care of these credits too. And I guess, obviously, they’re extremely helpful from an affordability perspective.

Carly Davenport, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Great. Thanks, Michael. Super helpful. And then maybe just a quick update on the data center growth opportunities. I guess, any just shifts in your conversations with customers or incremental you know, potential customers in terms of what they’re looking for, the priorities, or or all sort of in line, with with previous discussions?

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Yeah. I think the priorities remain in line with previous discussions. I think, you know, again, our sites here in Missouri are are attractive, you know, for for a number of reasons. But, again, I think key is that we have good sites with good transmission access, where we have affordable power, we have available power. You know, I think we have good state support, for these, economic development opportunities.

The the state, I think, is very aligned in wanting to bring these development opportunities to fruition. And, you know, I think there’s a good fit between what the, the hyperscalers, the data center developers, and the and the state are all looking for, with respect to this development.

Carly Davenport, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Thank you so much for the color.

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Thank you for your question.

Michael Main, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Amarin Corporation: Thanks, Caroline.

Conference Operator: Thank you. At this time, I’d like to turn the floor back over to Marty Lyons for closing comments.

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Amarin Corporation: Terrific. Well, thanks for your interest in Amarin. We really appreciate each of you, being on, the call today. As you can tell, we remain absolutely focused on strong execution of our plan. We’ve had a very strong start to the year.

I feel really good about what we’ve accomplished strategically and financially. And, we’re going to be very focused on executing our plans for the remainder of the year and work diligently to deliver safe, reliable and affordable energy to our customers and communities. So with that, thank you all for joining us today. I hope to see many of you in the coming weeks.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s event. You may disconnect your lines or log off the webcast at this time, and enjoy the rest of your day.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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