SoFi stock falls after announcing $1.5B public offering of common stock
IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ:IAC) reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a slight miss on revenue expectations, which impacted its stock price. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.27, slightly below the forecasted -$0.25, representing an 8% negative surprise. Revenue came in at $589.8 million, falling short of the anticipated $601.86 million. Following the earnings release, IAC's stock price dropped by 3.69% to $31.55 during pre-market trading, reflecting investor disappointment.
Key Takeaways
- IAC reported a slight miss in Q3 2025 revenue, impacting stock performance.
- The company saw digital revenue growth of 9% at People Inc.
- IAC bought back $300 million in shares year-to-date.
- Workforce reduction expected to save $60 million annually.
- Google search traffic dropped significantly, affecting overall traffic.
Company Performance
IAC demonstrated resilience in its digital segment, particularly with a 9% growth in digital revenue at People Inc. and a similar increase in digital adjusted EBITDA to $72 million. However, the company faced challenges with declining Google search traffic, which dropped from 54% to 24% of total traffic. Despite these challenges, IAC remains the largest digital and print publisher in the United States, reaching over 50% of the U.S. population monthly.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $589.8 million, down from the forecast of $601.86 million.
- Earnings per share: -$0.27, below the forecasted -$0.25.
- Digital adjusted EBITDA: $72 million, up 9%.
- Corporate costs: Declined by 15% pro forma.
Earnings vs. Forecast
IAC's EPS came in at -$0.27, slightly missing the forecast of -$0.25, marking an 8% negative surprise. Revenue also fell short, at $589.8 million compared to the expected $601.86 million. This performance was below expectations, causing concern among investors.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, IAC's stock fell by 3.69% to $31.55 in pre-market trading. This decline reflects investor disappointment with the earnings miss and revenue shortfall. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low of $29.56, indicating broader market challenges.
Outlook & Guidance
Looking ahead, IAC expects digital revenue growth of 7-10% in Q4 2025. The company is focusing on strengthening direct consumer and advertiser connections and exploring new content-based business models. Adjusted EBITDA guidance for the year is set between $325 million and $340 million.
Executive Commentary
Neil Vogel, CEO, emphasized IAC's position as the largest digital and print publisher in America, stating, "Our performance resulted from three things: our iconic portfolio of brands, the scaled audiences we've built, and our superior execution." Chairman Barry Diller highlighted IAC's long history of innovation, saying, "We have been inventing and building businesses at IAC for over thirty years."
Risks and Challenges
- Declining Google search traffic could continue to impact audience reach.
- Challenges in the consumer packaged goods and food and beverage categories may affect advertising revenue.
- Broader macroeconomic pressures could hinder consumer spending and advertising budgets.
- The company's workforce reduction, while cost-saving, may affect operational efficiency.
- IAC's ability to diversify revenue streams remains crucial amid market shifts.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the Microsoft AI content deal and its strategic importance. IAC also addressed capital allocation priorities and provided insights into its future business development plans, emphasizing the focus on direct-to-consumer properties and content monetization strategies.
Full transcript - IAC/InterActiveCorp (IAC) Q3 2025:
Conference Operator: Good morning, and welcome to the IAC Third Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. After introductory remarks, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO. Please go ahead, sir.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Christopher Halpin here and welcome to the IAC third quarter earnings call. Joining me today are Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive of IAC and Neil Vogel, CEO of People Inc. IAC has published a presentation on the Investor Relations section of our website today entitled Q3 Earnings Presentation.
On this call, Barry, Neil and I will provide some introductory remarks referencing that presentation and then open it up to Q and A. Before we get to that, I'd like to remind you that during this call, we may make certain statements that are considered forward looking under the federal securities laws. These forward looking statements may include statements related to our outlook, strategy and future performance and are based on current expectations and on information currently available to us. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from the future results expressed or implied in these statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those contained in our most recent annual report on Form 10 ks and in the subsequent reports we filed with the SEC. The information provided on this conference call and in the presentation should be considered in light of such risks.
We'll also discuss certain non GAAP measures, which as a reminder includes adjusted EBITDA, which we'll refer to today as EBITDA for simplicity during the call. I'll also refer you to our earnings release, investor presentations, our public filings with the SEC and again to the Investor Relations section of our website for all comparable GAAP measures and full reconciliations for all material non GAAP measures. And now, I will hand it over to Barry Diller. Thank you. I'm very glad to be with you all today.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: I've been talking to investors lately and I more than get everyone's desire for more clarity about IAC's future. With the departure of our CEO and the spin off of ANGI, it's understandable that there are questions about our direction and our future. And I'm going to address those this morning both in my remarks and in answering any of your questions. There are two core parts to IAC today. They're underpinned by a strong cash position and our balance sheet.
They are people and our investment in MGM. Broadly, we have been and we will continue to slim down IAC's assets and our overhead. We'll get lean and crystal clear that people and MGM are IAC until something else wildly compelling comes along. What we want to do is first reimagine People Inc. From defense to offense.
Second, help MGM's excellent management team simplify businesses and change its pitiful multiple. Next, we'll divest our non core holdings and reduce our overhead. And finally, continue to be opportunistic on share repurchases. It certainly seems to me that opportunistic is now as is increasing our ownership of MGM. There's this huge discount in the value of our shares and a mind blowing discount in the value of MGM.
I mean, it's selling at an emergency multiple. There's no chance that is going to continue to infinity. Time will correct this, but we won't let time stand still. So let's start talking about People Inc. For transparency, changing the name from the awkward DDM was a good first step.
We are the largest digital and print publisher in America. We way outperform our peers with our brands and our content and our technology. The market narrative says content is dead, given all the AI talk of disintermediation and Google's continuing drive to shrink the revenue it shares with publishers. It's all a giant overreaction and it ain't our reality. Yes, there's a transition in search.
Yes, we're getting declining traffic from Google. But for some years, we've known these disruptions were coming and we've been preparing and mastering for this rocky environment. Our results speak to that as Neil Vogel and Chris Halpin will soon detail. If you just play the old game like most publishers, then yes, you're in trouble. We've been doing the opposite for several years now, and we're transferring these great brands built over a century in the old media mold into digital powerhouses.
We built out a massive modern content engine behind these brands that allows us to reach consumers wherever they are, on our sites and apps via social media and news platforms, through video, at events, actually everywhere. And for monetization, no one comes close to us. But beyond all that excellent execution from the great people at PEOPLE, there is the evolution we're conducting beyond the high bound publishing industry. What we're going to do is invert the base publishing model. I've used the following examples to my colleagues.
Like what if five years ago at travel and leisure, which has always had these great pictures everywhere, every place in the world, covers vacation spots, just some of the best photography and best experiences. What if they thought of White Lotus and produced it? What if our Food and Wine magazine, knowing so much about all that food and wine and stuff, they thought, why don't we invest Casamigos? Why didn't Investopedia, one of our sites, invent Shark Tank? There's just and the other thing is at People, we test an astonishing 16,000 products a year.
There's just got to be a pony in that. It goes on and on from there to every property we've got and all these incredible opportunities to invert our content businesses into a whole stream of new businesses. If we get that going, there's really no ceiling to what we can create and it is to create and not be on the back foot like almost every other publisher seems to be these days. That's what we'll be doing while we continue to execute on the day to day grind of today's publishing business. Neil's got more to tell you, but for the first time since we've acquired these assets, I am giantly excited about their future.
Frankly, if we spent all our time on this one asset of ours, we can create a giant octopus of owned and operated companies and businesses for the future. All right, MGM. Here we're dealing with the opposite of the fear of disintermediation. MGM is a giant hedge against disintermediation. I use that word a lot because it's in the genuine and proper because it really is the genuine and proper scare word for the disruption from artificial intelligence.
For sure, AI will affect everything other than live entertainment and travel experiences as there is no simulation that's going to get between MGM and its worldwide customers. Please think on this. These assets can never be disintermediated. Las Vegas can never be disintermediated and no one nowhere is ever going to build the depth and scale of Las Vegas. It's now and it's forever going to be the entertainment capital of the world.
It's got more infrastructure per square inch than anywhere else. It's sports, gaming, performances from every big time entertainer, the best food on and on. It may ebb and flow given macroeconomic issues from time to time. But it's been a constant build over thirty years, thirty years really when Steve Wynn kind of reinvented the city. But Las Vegas is actually almost 100 years old.
And MGM's footprint in Las Vegas with nine resorts is so violently strong that it has zero comparison. Back in 2020, at the height of COVID, we invested in MGM. We bought it right, understanding its extraordinary position in Las Vegas that had a superb management team, exciting digital opportunities and was building a truly most extraordinary resort in Japan. Our expectations have been realized. Revenue rebounded from the lows of the pandemic.
Digital operations scaled to profitability and had bought back astounding 45% of its shares. Shockingly, despite all this, MGM share prices declined 29% since the beginning of 2022. As management said on the last earnings call, if you back out the value MGM's publicly traded holdings in MGM China and the value of its 50% stake in MGM, everything else in MGM is trading at less than three times EBITDA. It's extraordinary to say the least and it will not continue. Think about what we got at MGM.
Just think about it without all the gnarling on this and that individual stat. Nine casinos, 40,000 hotel rooms, convention centers at a scale that no one else has anywhere, restaurants, hundreds 400 or so restaurants, 120 music halls, arenas, etcetera, upcoming F1 and more sports teams coming along in the next years, it just can't be duplicated anywhere. Our ownership at MGM is now at 24%. Percent, and I believe it will increase over time both by our direct purchases as well as MGM stock purchases. I'm continually awestruck that the stock market seems to yawn, too focused as always does, I guess, in the short term.
But bears point to the economic overhang on Las Vegas after this massive post pandemic bounce, the fifty-fifty JV structure at MGM, Fed MGM and the fact that Japan is going to take some years before it comes online. When Japan comes online, the only casino in the entire country of Japan, I mean, can you imagine? Well, all these people naysaying MGM, they're all wrong and time will certainly tell. On IAC capital allocation, which I telegraphed earlier, we purchased an additional $100,000,000 of shares since our earnings call in early August, which brings our total year to date purchases to $300,000,000 which is 7,000,000 shares or 8% or so of our shares outstanding. Our cash balances are over $1,000,000,000 and they will be enhanced when we sell these non core assets.
I don't intend for our capital to sit idle nor to be spent on acquisitions at high prices and speculatively questionable concepts. We've been inventing and building businesses at IAC for over thirty years. We had a greenfield for decades in Internet and e commerce. That period is pretty much ended, but it doesn't take a bird brain to be sure there are going to be opportunities in the future and in our future. But I'm patient.
Well, I'm not really very patient about most anything. But I'm cautious now of the pricing of assets and I got no intention of splurging. And if needs more saying, I will say it again, people at MGM have enough opportunity to fully engage us. So now, Vogel will give you more detail on People Inc.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: Thanks. Hello, I share BD's confidence and optimism around our business. We had a strong quarter. It was our eighth consecutive quarter of digital revenue growth. The 9% digital revenue growth in Q3 was a second quarter in a row at 9% and high end of our guidance range.
We've talked to you guys a lot about what drives our performance and it remains consistent. Our performance resulted from three things our iconic portfolio of brands, the scaled audiences we've built and our superior execution around those two things. We've continued to focus as we said we would on diversifying our sources of revenue and audience in the quarter and you can see the evidence of that in the strong results in our licensing and performance marketing revenue streams and our continued extremely strong off platform audience growth. We've got real traction and we're excited about it. Even with our investments in the quarter we saw improved profitability $72,000,000 of digital EBITDA, 27% margins and 26% incremental margins around that.
And we're positioned to grow as we evolve the business. And as BD said, we're doing this on our front foot not our back foot and we feel very good about that. So going
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: to the next
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: slide, our core asset and advantage is our iconic brands. These are incredible brands with real gravitas, real cultural resonance and real history, people, food and wine, travel and leisure, household names. And each has scale that puts us near the top in audience size or at the top in audience size of every category that we participate. Fun fact, we reach over half The U. S.
Population each month with our assets. And importantly for our brands and the type of content we do, in an era where content feels increasingly artificial and manufactured and is in fact increasingly artificial and manufactured we are authentic and our audiences want more of what is authentic. You see it in our growing audiences and we see it in their responses to our offerings. We have a real relationship between our audiences and our brands that's been built over decades. That is the core and that is the underpinning of the
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: opportunity to grow
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: the medium business and do a lot of the things BD talked So if we go to the third slide of our presentation, an important concept is we are where audiences are and where audiences are going. Diverse sources of audience have become a real strength of ours and have been a real focus of ours for a longer time than it's been sexy. What we've been doing across audience categories, is exactly what drove our growth over the last eight quarters. And let's talk about our different categories just so everybody understands what we do. The first is sort of the left side of the slide which are owned and operated assets.
These are assets obviously we own. They're scaled. It's diverse ways to reach audiences everything from events to websites to emails to our direct to consumer properties. Off platform where our content lives on other platforms and increases the value of those platforms. It is where audiences are increasingly online and we're there with them.
Apple News, YouTube, TikTok, our recent Feed acquisition we'll talk about etcetera, etcetera. And then the third category is addressable audiences. And addressable audience for us is how can we take our assets and our skills and extend them across the open web. And we do that with something called Decipher, which we've talked a lot to you guys about. We can leverage our trove of proprietary first party data around consumer intent and use that to target ads not only on our sites, but around the web.
Our ads perform in a superior way to almost anything we can find online and we can extend that across the Internet. This allows us to 4x and 5x the addressable market for our ad products and unlocks the ability for us to target CTV as well, which we're very excited about. Decipher is our fastest growing product by revenue growth, our fastest growing by investment. Since its launch it has grown every quarter sequentially and we're excited. It's going to be a meaningful contributor in 2026 and really expands what we can do with our audiences.
Slide four outlines our audience trends and let's specifically talk about changes in Google search traffic and what that has meant to us. As you can see from the first chart on the left and this is the first time we've shared this, the rise of AI overviews on Google search results page for searches that we compete has been rapid and dramatic. Google search as a traffic source for our core brands has gone from 54% of our traffic two years ago even more than that if you go back to the time we put Dotdash and Meredith together to 24% of our traffic this past quarter. The good news and this is the good news is we've maintained our scaled audiences despite this because we were prepared for it as BD said. We were very early to recognize changes in Google and we are very early to recognize AI and that is why every other meaningful source of traffic has increased for us over the past two years.
We expect the Google search challenges will continue, but believe our strategy and investments are going to enable us to maintain our overall growth. If you look at core sessions, as we mentioned at the Goldman conference a bit ago, we expect it to
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: be down this quarter in the
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: range of 4% to 6%. We're down about 6%. That was due to some tough comps. We lapped the Olympics last year in the lead up to the election and obviously the Google challenges. This is the primary reason our ad revenue declined 3% in the quarter which was very much volume related, not rate related.
But we expect to return to growth in Q4 despite continued pressure on Google sessions. And off platform views have been a bright spot. Again, it's something we've been focused on for a long time. And again, I can't say this enough times. It is where consumers are and it's where consumers are growing.
Off platform audiences accelerated 66% year over year. Over a third of this quarter's revenue is not based on user sessions and this is our fastest growing revenue stream at 16% or fastest growing well faster growing than the sessions based revenue.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: And I want to talk a
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: little bit about FeedFeed as I think most of you know now is a leading food influencer network. It's the first time we have bought a capability and not just a media property. It just shows our focus on how we're going to monetize audiences off platform and how we're going to play in an influencer marketplace which is increasingly important as a media mix particularly when selling to advertisers. Social advertising is the fastest growing sector of digital and this really put some wind in our sails in that area. When we go to the last slide we can talk about our execution where we go from here.
The first thing we should probably talk about is a bit of news that was in the release last night. Our AI conversations are heating up. As you saw in the release, we have an agreement with Microsoft to be a launch partner of what they're calling their publisher content marketplace. It is essentially a pay per use market where AI players directly can compensate publishers for use of their content on sort of like an ala carte basis. As we've said, we intend to have a seat at the table as these content markets developed and we work directly with Microsoft.
We are physically in the room with Microsoft helping to concept this marketplace. The really interesting thing about this is Microsoft has committed to paying for content to support its AI efforts and Microsoft's Copilot is going to be the first buyer in this marketplace. It's a very strong endorsement of us to be in the room with them and a very strong endorsement of the publishing marketplace and the value of content to make AI, that is of high value. If you zoom out a little bit and you take a look at the broader AI deal landscape which is obviously of great interest to us and to many of you guys. There seems to be two types of deals happening in the world, sort of like this deal the a la carte Microsoft type deal which is a marketplace vibrant marketplaces where people can buy content as they need it or broad use deals like we have with OpenAI kind of the all you can eat deal where people can access our content, as much as they would like.
We are very happy in either model both can be viable as long as our content is respected and paid for, we can work in either model. Now let's briefly talk about where we're focusing and we've talked about this on past calls as well. We're doing two things. We're trying to connect directly with our consumers and we're trying to connect directly with our advertisers and our marketers. In key investments and growth initiatives, we have a deep pipeline again as BD alluded to of direct to consumer ideas that we are going to be trying running down and we're very excited about them.
We call it inversion ideas around here, but these are new ideas harnessing the power of our brands. We've done some of this already. We've discussed My Recipes and the People app. We recently launched something called WeReview, which is a new commerce offering based on our great commerce relationships for product categories that our brands don't typically cover. And we've got real momentum around these direct to consumer properties.
We're also very focused on editorial tent poles that can drive multiple revenue streams. We just launched something called Red Plaid Cafe at Better Homes and Gardens and most of you have heard of Best New Chefs and Travel Nature World's Best in food and wine. Moving down the page we talked about FeedFeed and off platform we talked about Decipher and all the different networks that our content lives. And to close we've made some hard decisions this past quarter. We laid off about 6% of our workforce.
We did that essentially to free up capital to make all these investments and to be very mindful of our profitability goals. So to close, we had a strong quarter. Our brands are great. Our audience are strong. Our execution has been pretty good.
And we got all the ingredients we need for a bright future. I'll now turn it over to Chris.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Neil. I'll be efficient so we can get to Q and A, but there was some expense noise in the quarter which on first blush clouds results we were quite happy with. Just turning to Slide 11, let's quickly walk through PeopleLink's third quarter financial performance. As Neil said, we realized 9% digital revenue growth at the top end of our previous range, strong growth in performance marketing and licensing, offsetting decline in advertising revenue. I'm sure we'll talk about that more in Q and A.
Focusing on profitability, these numbers are pro form a excluding the two major one time impacts in the quarter. Dollars 15,000,000 of severance expense deriving from People Inc. Reduction in force and a $5,000,000 favorable gain for the buyout of a lease on attractive terms as we rationalize our real estate footprint. Reconciliations for both these one timers are in the appendix. Digital adjusted EBITDA grew 9% pro form a in the quarter to 72,000,000 Incremental margins were in line with total margins.
Continued cost management in the Print division led to only a 10% decline in adjusted EBITDA and a 15% revenue decline, which we are happy with and corporate cost declined 15% pro form a. So in aggregate, excluding the two one time items mentioned before, People Inc. Produced $75,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, above the high end of our previous guidance range, which had specifically excluded the impact of severance. Looking forward, we expect digital revenue growth in the 7% to 10% range and the usual strong adjusted EBITDA margins in the fourth quarter. For the year, we've slightly lowered the bottom end of our adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $325,000,000 to $340,000,000 Note, this excludes both the $15,000,000 in severance and $41,000,000 of lease gains year to date.
The reflects wider range reflects some uncertainty around the continued disruptions in Google search, as well as approximately $4,000,000 of legal expenses for our ad tech litigation at Google. The timing of this litigation has accelerated due to favorable judge's decisions and we view this spend as worthwhile given the magnitude of the soft damages underlying our claims. But it will have a negative impact on profitability in the fourth quarter this year and going into next year. Turning to Page 12, we wanted to highlight some large one time items that impacted the quarter beyond those at People Inc. Cares profitability was impacted by $3,500,000 of non recurring charges deriving from a lease impairment and severance.
Additionally, our emerging and other segments swung to negative $20,000,000 of EBITDA this quarter, driven entirely by $21,000,000 in legal expenses for litigation that concluded in the quarter related to We had included costs for this litigation in our guidance, but the final costs increased over prior estimates. Importantly, we would note that the total expense for this legal matter for the year were $34,000,000 that future expenses related to the matter will be negligible and that the rest of emerging and other is profitable. Going to our other companies care as mixed performance, good news is consumer continues to return to growth, great work by Brad Wilson and team on product marketing. And we're seeing improvement in sign ups and retention. Unfortunately, business has slowed significantly over the past few months due to employers tightening their spend with Care.
For the fourth quarter, driven by those enterprise pressures, we expect 7% to 9% revenue declines at Care. We expect consumer and have line of sight to return to growth in the second quarter next year and then the whole business to grow in the back half of the year. For the full year, we're just modifying our adjusted EBITDA range for Care to $45,000,000 to $50,000,000 reflecting the aforementioned $3,500,000 in one time severance and lease impairment costs, as well as a little bit from enterprise revenue headwinds. And then finally, turning to Page fourteen, as Barry said, we bought back $100,000,000 in the quarter. We bought back $300,000,000 about 8% of the company year to date.
As Barry said, buybacks continue to be a core part of our capital allocation strategy, and our shares at present would seem to be even more attractively priced than earlier this year, and there's a high bar in M and A. With that, let's go to Q and A. Operator, first question please.
Conference Operator: The first question will come from Jason Helfstein with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
Jason Helfstein, Analyst, Oppenheimer: Thanks for taking the question. Barry, nice to have you on the call. I was going to ask about your current thinking on MGM's valuation, what the market is missing, but I think you've covered that pretty thoroughly. So I guess it's really I guess why would an investor want to invest in MGM through you? Why wouldn't they just buy it directly?
Intellectually wouldn't it inherently trade at a discount like under IAC? And I guess you'd say that's how you get it cheaper if you buy it through IAC, but then over time how do you close the discount and obviously the ARB community is involved here and they find ways to make money. But I guess it just feels like fundamental investors are struggling with the IAC stock with MGM being just such a big piece of the value. If you look at how the stock trades, it literally mirrors the MGM stock price. So that's question number one.
Guess it's just like what you can do to get kind of IAC to separate from the performance of MGM? That's question one. And then question two, Chris, how should we think about the onetime expense cleanup in 3Q? Is there more to come as far as in the P and L? Or should we think about just the numbers should be clean going forward?
Thanks.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Well, mean, don't think the issue is separate from MGM. As I said before, IAC is now will be primarily People Inc. And MGM. One, by the way, is as we talked about, we are this, I believe, and increasingly going to become this publishing content and businesses that come out of that. And I would think any acquisitions we make I wouldn't say any, but certainly acquisitions in line with that.
Just made a very small acquisition, but a good one. I think what was it total purchase price was
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: We didn't disclose it, but not material. Well,
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: fine. So like around $10,000,000 we would disclose it or not. There it is. Disclosed, Neil. You can make that decision.
But acquisitions in line with where we're kind of inversion this publishing business, where we're going to create new businesses out of publishing. So that's kind of that is in the world of disintermediated media that I think we're going we are dodging it better than our competitors and we're going to continue to dodge it on that side of it. And then we've got this absolute disintermediated asset of MGM. There one is I wouldn't call it a hedge against the other, but there's if you you can certainly go out and buy MGM. But if you buy IAC, you are getting our ambitions in publishing and you're getting MGM.
And I think that that is a very good balance. I don't think that's going to hold forever. I think new things are going to come out of that over time. But it is what it is. While you can buy MGM on its own,
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: buy as they say, we're a twofer. Yeah. Think the just to quickly add to that, you are owning MGM in our view even cheaper through buying it through IAC than owning MGM. We fully support you buying MGM directly. We think both stocks as Barry said are outrageously discounted.
But within IAC, you're getting as evidenced on the first slide on our private assets, all our holdings, PeopleLink, Care, Vivien, our little search business that keeps chugging Daily Beast and are there other holdings at a discount at a negative value. So embedded you have even more value upside and optionality in the IAC stock if you believe in MGM. With respect to the one timers, we do feel like we've cleaned up a ton this quarter. We don't expect the severance or lease gains. We don't see anything of that continuing at people.
We'll always be optimizing our cost structure, but large one time charges at people, we see a clean path forward. Care, the lease impairment and severance there were one time. And then on the emerging and other legal case that is fully behind us. And as we said, we expect any future costs associated with that to be negligible. We also had an adverse ruling on a real estate dispute that showed up in other expense and income and that was settled through previously escrowed funds.
So we really cleaned up a lot in the quarter. Looking forward, the only thing in my mind that I'd highlight would be the Google litigation, where we said we're spending about $4,000,000 this quarter and expect to spend a little bit. But in that case, we are plaintiff seeking damages. So again, it's what we believe is a ROI attached that. It's range of damages potentially.
We're seeking hundreds of millions of dollars in damages.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Yes, from any point of view that we've looked at, we went into this and said, is it really worth it for us to do it? It was almost as if because I don't like lawsuits. If we actually couldn't have done it, I wouldn't have done it. But we had no choice. There are hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars that are potentially to be gained here.
Correct. All right. Next question.
Conference Operator: Next question will come from Cory Carpenter with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
Cory Carpenter, Analyst, JPMorgan: Hey, good morning. Thanks for the questions. Maybe for you, Neil, just thanks for the background on people. You had a busy quarter, the RIF, the Feed acquisition, the Microsoft AI deal. Maybe pulling all together, just latest thoughts on the state of the business and what this indicates about your kind of view in the future, recognizing you covered some of that already.
And then I want to follow-up on the Google litigation, you just referenced. What's the update on that? Chris, I think you mentioned there was another ruling that has implications that came through recently. So how should we think about that going forward? Thank you.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: I'll go first and then I'll punch it to Chris. I think in aggregate the things you mentioned are all reasons for confidence and optimism. The first is the Microsoft deal, which we talked about the mechanics of it. But I think what it is, is an indication that these deals are happening now. This summer, we started to block AI crawlers.
It was very effective. It brought almost everyone to the table. I expect and I think the punditry also expects there will be more deals happening. I hopefully will have some news for you over the coming months and quarters over deals that could be both sort of the all you can eat deals and the a la carte deals. So we feel very good about that.
And the value of our content is becoming clear to people. That is very important. Second, Feed Feed is just an evidence of how well we're doing off platform and how important that is to our future. We're going to continue to look to ways to monetize these audiences. And I think it's worth noting, and it's something that Chris has talked about before, our relationships with platforms like Instagram and TikTok and YouTube are very different than our relationship with Google.
Google took our took and used our content and then had to send traffic out to us, right? So there is an inherent conflict built into that, that they lose value in theory when they send us traffic. These other platforms, our content makes better. We make excellent content, excellent video. We have very close relationships with these.
And our content makes these platforms better. So the state of the relationships and nature of the relationships is stronger and it allows us to do things like feed feed. And I think there'll be more things like that in the future.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Thanks. And then on litigation, just to give the background, the lawsuit builds on the government's antitrust case against Google from an ad tech perspective where Google was found to have monopolized the ad server and ad exchange markets, harming online publishers. We, Dotdash and Meredith combined into People Inc. Today, are and were one of the largest of those publishers who were harmed. And we, like several other publishers, brought suit to hold Google accountable and recover the lost revenue resulting from Google's anti competitive behaviors.
Now damages will be proved in the litigation, but we seek to recover hundreds of millions of dollars in damages. And to your question, Corey, you likely saw the recent ruling in favor of the Gannett and Daily Mail cases, where the court ruled that the publishers in those cases don't need to prove again what the government's already proved that Google engaged in anti competitive conduct, just what are the specific claims and the damages there. The timing of our case was accelerated by our judge, which we view as a positive. So we now expect to spend about $4,000,000 in the quarter and continue to spend in the coming quarters after that. Total magnitude of spend or the pace of it is hard to predict.
We'll keep you guys updated. But we believe as Barry was saying, the spend is more than warranted by the opportunity to recover significant damages we believe we're owed.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: The spend is demanded given what's there for the given what the government has already found. It's not just a question of saying totaling up all our stuff and I think just sending out checks, but I simplify things. Right, let's go on.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Yes. Operator, next question please. Thank you, Court.
Conference Operator: Next question will come from James Heaney with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
James Heaney, Analyst, Jefferies: Great. Thank you, guys. Just can you give us an update on what you're currently seeing in the macro environment so far in Q4 across the different IAC businesses? And then I had another one. Thank you.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: I think just macro environment everything's good at the middle and upper end not so great at the lower end. And you can make any prediction you want about what's going to happen in the future. But it's been this for a while. Again for exogenous event, I suspect that will continue for a while. Yes, I'd say, you look
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: at our performance marketing and credit to Neil and his team, but it's growing strongly. The consumer The U. S. Consumer is hanging in there and spending. It is skewed to the high end.
On the Care Enterprise side, we have seen corporations belt tightening, probably due to a bit reducing headcount and also due to pressures on healthcare costs and others. We have seen some pressures on the corporate benefit side, but broadly things seem in the macro economy seem pretty good.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: Yeah, I mean, I would just add one thing. I think looking at the ad markets in the macro sense, I think it's in line with what BD said. I think if you had a 10 rating scale, they're probably a six, healthy moving ahead. But there are challenged categories. The challenged categories align with what BD said, CPG, food and beverage.
There's real momentum in some of the higher end categories like travel and tech and some other things. But I think the ad market is solid not fantastic but solid.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: I can tell you for travel.
James Heaney, Analyst, Jefferies: That's helpful. Maybe just a go ahead.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: No, I was just going to add. I'm also involved in as the share of Expedia and Expedia in the general travel market with some exceptions Canadian travel to The U. S. And other little things, but travel is exceptionally strong. And we've been double digit growing at Expedia now for I don't know twelve quarters and it only accelerates.
So anyway, enough on all that. Next question. Yes, go Go ahead, Thank
James Heaney, Analyst, Jefferies: you. And then the second part of my question was just around capital allocation going forward. We saw the $100,000,000 buyback in the quarter. Curious how to think about that going forward as you kind of think about potentially M and A or other use of the cash? Thank you.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Well, I mean, kind of think I talked about that. I don't know what we call it a signal or a giant flag, green flag going down of saying, we're opportunistic. The opportunity is now. We're going to be buying stock in IAC. We're going to be buying stock in MGM.
That's what we're going to do with our capital at this point. As far as acquisitions go, I've said before, I said it earlier, a lot of things are too pricey. And we're not anxious. We're always interested. We're always curious.
We're always digging around and seeing what's around the next corner which we've been doing fairly interestingly for thirty years. I expect there'll be more of that. But I ain't out there banging at things that are overpriced of which many are. We are wildly underpriced. So I want to stay on that track.
Well said. Next question.
Conference Operator: The next question will come from Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Eric Sheridan, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Thanks so much for taking the questions. Maybe two with respect to People Inc. Can you talk a little bit about the building blocks of growth, both the headwinds and the tailwinds that you're seeing with respect to digital revenue that inform your forecast for Q4 and how we should be thinking about those broadly going into 2026? And the second part of the question that maybe feeds back into it would be, how should we be thinking about the growth trajectory of off platform traffic and revenue for People Inc. And the resultant margin impact from that traffic and revenue going forward?
Thanks so much.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: I'll take a crack at the first and then I'll hand it over to Chris. I feel like going forward, I think we're in a pretty good position. I think we expect a solid Q4 despite the session challenges. The session challenges is what I would say is the primary headwind in the business. Ads will improve.
We're a very good sales team. We have very happy clients. We have very good premium sales. Off platform is going to improve. Decipher is going to start to kick in.
Commerce will continue to be strong. Although, due to the timing of some payments, it might not be as year over year strong in fourth quarter. Licensing continues to perform and be strong. Our brands are really resonating. They're resonating on our own assets, including a lot of the new stuff like People app and the events we're launching and all this other stuff.
They're still resonating with sessions. It's still a big number, even though it's not growing. And again, it's really working off platform. It's really working in all these other places. So we feel really good about this formula for Q4.
I think it's going to be the same formula for 2026 roughly. The mix is all going to change. Again, think in 2026, you're going see real improvement, real growth, not just improvement in Decipher and some other things and get some real traction as far as new things we've launched. And I'll go to Chris.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Yeah, and to talk about margins. There are multiple different components of our off platform traffic, including Apple News plus social media, Neil said, Decipher plus they have different margins. But I think for simplicity, and this is in many ways probably a modeling question that you guys would have as you forecast higher growth in off platform. For simplicity and conservatism, incremental digital EBITDA margins on off platform, you can assume are neutral to slightly accretive to our aggregate annual digital EBITDA margins of plus minus 28%, 29, maybe a little more. So I would think of it as around 30%, maybe a little bit more of incremental digital adjusted EBITDA margins on off platform and then on platform as we've said before is higher.
Thanks, Eric. Operator, next question.
Conference Operator: The next question will come from Ross Sandler with Barclays. Please go ahead.
Ross Sandler, Analyst, Barclays: Great. Just following up on that last question. Neil, like there's some crazy forecasts out there. I think Forrester just put something out that said Open Web Display is going to decline 30% next year because of the shift to Gen AI. I doubt that's what's going to happen.
But as you're talking with agencies and brands about outlook, what are you hearing? And how should we think about the context of people growth relative to the industry in 2026? And if we strip out like the impact from Google, which is down to mid teens of revenue from that traffic. Is the rest of people going to grow in line faster or slower than the broader open web display industry? Thank you.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: I mean what I'll
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: say is we are not hearing down 30%. We again, we are the biggest publisher in America. We have scale. We have terrific brands. We have a history of ad performance.
We have great assets. We're launching a whole host of new things. There's a lot of energy around everything we're doing from events to off platform to influencer things. So we're actually hearing the opposite. There's a lot of energy around, our business and our ability to reach audiences.
I can't speak to the long tail open web. Don't know where this information comes from, but it is inconsistent with what we are hearing. Look, we feel pretty good about next year. And I think when you get the mix of brands and trust and the new things we're doing and our history of performance and our history of performance for advertisers, I think we're much more likely to be share takers in this market than anything else.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: We have been. We're going to be. I mean, you can gnarl at this or that little stat or that whatever. But this business for the last, I don't know how many quarters that we've been growing. Pardon me.
And despite everything that has been thrown at it, these People Inc. And this group that Neil has and how many people you got in this thing?
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: 3,500 plus.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: I mean, they've been executing just in such an outstanding way through this while at the same time we're going to build new businesses inside and out of all the content we produce and all the knowledge that we've got in almost every sector. How many books do we publish?
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: I mean, we've got 40 brands. We actually in print, we have six different books still in print. How many print? Six. Many More print a than 200,000,000 actual books get printed a year.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Right. That sit on people's tables that do you look at Southern Living, which I see all over just been in the South. I was in Savannah last weekend. It's all around. Every place you go, you see Southern Living.
It has such great influence, but not only from the South, but beyond it. So you've got all these things cooking. And as you say, I don't know how do you say it any better. You say you're confident in the fourth quarter and your projections for next year are solid and good. Plus we're building all these new businesses.
Seems to me like pretty good. All right. Question.
Conference Operator: Next question will come from John Blackledge with TD Cowen. Please go ahead.
John Blackledge, Analyst, TD Cowen: Great. Two questions. First, could you talk about corporate costs and how we should think about trajectory into the fourth quarter?
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Should think about corporate costs going lower.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Keep going, John.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Okay. I can speak more in detail. Keep going.
John Blackledge, Analyst, TD Cowen: Yes. Just in the fourth quarter and 2026. And then second question is how should we think about the timing of slimming down IAC's assets and should we consider everything outside of people and MGM is non core? Thanks.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Okay, Chris. You don't want to answer.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: I'll answer. On corporate overhead, we talked about how we've been rationalizing over the year. Right now, we're at a run rate of basically 22,000,000 to 23,000,000 on a quarterly run rate basis. That is there's a little bit of one time noise in last quarter that we're still working through. As we've said before, Q1 was highly elevated due to spin costs, CEO separation, etcetera.
We expect to be in the mid-80s range from there and we'll next year and we'll continue to look to rationalize costs. Yes, it's going to come down. What was the second thing? Just approach to exiting or strategic Look,
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: we're not going to do it dumbly. I mean, we're going to get good prices for everything that we've got. But we are going to anything frankly other than really other than not really. Other than MGM and People, those are the core. There ain't no more.
And we've got several other businesses that have real value in them.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Yeah. We know we have strategic assets and we've received inbounds from time to time. So would
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: timing, three months, six months at the most. And then we'll probably have another I don't know $1,000,000,000 or so of capital. Well, we're not going to
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: speculate too much. But we will I
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: said around that. I just speculated. Okay. Operator, next question. Thank you.
Conference Operator: The next question will come from Dan Karnos with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.
Cory Carpenter, Analyst, JPMorgan: Yes. Thanks. Chris, can you maybe just talk a little bit about on the run rate savings from the RIF, how much do you expect to reinvest? How much will flow through to the bottom line? And then, Neil, I guess sort of a two parter.
I've asked you before a lot about communitizing your properties. Obviously, Feed Feed looks like more of a move in that direction. I still think people don't get the value of the off platform interactivity that you're building. So is there a way to throw more gas on that fire? And are there any creative new channels to expand distribution on?
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: I'll do savings first. So we said it's about $60,000,000 of run rate savings. I think you can think about half of that being realized in profitability and margins and then half being reinvested in high ROI digital activities. We've called out previously the drag on our incremental margins that have been occurring Q2, Q3 with our investments in Decipher Plus, the My Recipes and People app, etcetera. So we do have these investments we can make as well as content.
We're conservatively saying we'll reinvest about half as we go, but we'll be thoughtful as we look at the performance of the market and our growth to make sure we drive profitability and margins using the RIF savings.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: Yes. So I think your question is how do we pour gas on some of the off platform stuff we're doing. And what I would say is we're really focused on doing that. Our brands are uniquely permission to play in these places. People love them.
And again, I go to in a world where things are fake and artificial and no one knows who's made what. When you see things from our editors, our influencers, our brands on social, their response is great and the stats of them are great. Like for instance, last night on Jimmy Fallon, we announced this year's Sexiest Man Alive, the fortieth Sexiest Man Alive. That will be Who is it? Gary.
Jonathan Bailey from Wicked.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Okay. I think it's a great show.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: I wanted to take one Barkley,
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: they gave me You guys
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: were too final. Jonathan Billy. I wasn't in the running.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: I was going to do you Chris. But where you will see that today is there will be so much in and around social net from just a simple release to almost like reality type event type build ups for how we got here. Another great example of what we're doing is in In style, we launched a series called the intern, which is like a mock reality show, three, four minute episodes. We're getting millions of views per episode on this, and it's
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: a bit of a
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: phenomenon among like the Gen Z female crowd, and it's been a huge hit. We are if you're in the target market of our brands I am very sure and you're active on social you will see us everywhere in all kinds of ways and it's part of what Chris just talked about we are pivoting our resources to where the audience are and you're going to
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: see much, much more from us here. Thank you. Next question.
Conference Operator: The next question will come from Youssef Squali with Truist. Please go ahead.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: Good morning. This is Robert on for Youssef Scully. Thanks for taking our questions. Just one, sorry if I missed this. Curious what the deal with Microsoft looks like, how long it's for and the unit economics there?
And any prospects for new deals on any of the other businesses? Thanks. I'll answer this quick because we already covered it. Yes, I anticipate there will be new deals coming forward. And two, we didn't disclose any terms of the Microsoft deal.
Those are confidential. But again, it is a pay per use marketplace. So it's a little more a la carte where something like our OpenAI deal is much more all you can eat, much more a blanket deal.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Thank you. Thank
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: you. Operator, next question.
Conference Operator: The next question will come from Stephen Ju with UBS. Please go ahead.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC0: Hi, good morning. This is Vanessa on for Stephen. So just a couple of questions. The LLMs that have been designated as high value content seems to be changing and publishers are making the change in real time to adjust away from traditional SEOs. So can you just talk more about the steps that you have taken so far?
And the other question is, in the deck, it mentions that Google Search now accounts for 24% of core sessions. And it seems like the rate of decline has been accelerating, but at the same time, it's also de indexed from being half your traffic from two years ago. So the headwinds have to dissipate over the coming quarters. So can you talk more about the steps you're taking to control what you control, especially as in regards to the traffic you're getting from elsewhere? Thank you.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: So let's do the second question first. I didn't totally understand the first question. So I'll make you re ask that after I answer the second. Yes, you did I mean, did the math right. We have we're down from at the time of our merger, 60 ish percent of our traffic came from Google search and now it's down to 24.
So we can see the other side of this. We know what the world looks like where Google is a very limited source. I don't know where it ends. It's definitely not going to zero. I mean, we still get traffic from searches where there is an overview.
So we still do pretty well, and they're not in every category. So I don't know where it ends up, but we're confident we can deal with it. In terms of I think what you're asking is how do we fill the sessions gap to keep sessions healthy as part of our mix. That's a combination of a whole bunch of things. It's our own emails.
It's Google Discover, which is their version of Apple News. It's traffic from direct. It's referral traffic. It's traffic from our direct consumer things we've built like My Recipes and some of the People app stuff. There's a whole host of things we're doing to keep sessions healthy that we'll continue to do.
Can you ask your
Ross Sandler, Analyst, Barclays: No, no.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: That's enough.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: Okay. Thank you.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Okay. One more. Operator, last question please.
Conference Operator: Last question will come from Matt Condon with Citizens. Please go ahead.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC1: Thank you so much for taking my question. I'll just ask one here. Barry, you talked about or standing up businesses based on people's content and brands. Just what stage are we in today with that? Would we expect these products to be launched here in the coming quarters?
Thank you so much.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: I don't know about coming well, certainly quarter by quarter. What I can tell you is Neil can talk about this. We started this process this inversion idea a month or two ago. We're going like book by book as deep as we can in sessions where given how much we know about these things, it seems to me at least probable that we'll be able to invent, take out of that knowledge new products that we own whether they're new shows as I've raped on White Lotus. But it seemed just very obvious to me.
If you've got travel on leisure, you know so much about travel and you're sitting around looking at all those pictures and you say, well, show about a resort, not hard to think about. It's just the skin of the surface. In every one of the categories and we cover almost every category of content. So looking at our content as a way to build out of it All sorts of new things that we can start that we can own seems so juicy to me. We can spend I mean the next forever just doing that deep and wide.
So I would say it isn't going to come I don't it's not coming next quarter, but we're in it now. But I want to
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: be clear, do we have a roster and pipeline of ideas that are like the People app and like My Recipes, ideas that are a little closer to fundamentally what we do now that we are going to roll out over the coming quarters. There's not
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: going to be a quiet period.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: These ideas are coming though.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: The fundamentals and all the stuff that is natural has been done, is being done, will come out in the next quarters. The stuff I'm talking about, which is real invention here, I think is going to take a while. But that's why I think it's got I think there's more future in this. I talked earlier about the Greenfield of e commerce that we've exploited for twenty some odd years. I think there's Greenfield here from now to forever.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Because of the strength of the brands.
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: Because of how much what's it look, just in the initial sessions, Neil, that we had with our colleagues, We just came up with this, that and the other.
Neil Vogel, CEO, People Inc.: It's incredibly energizing to have these brands that have permission to do these things. And it's fun and it's going to
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: be exciting. Yeah. But so I think it's I really do think and I don't think I'm over hyping it. But this inversion concept of dealing with our brands in this way, while we are out competing everybody else in publishing and chugging through to the other side of the search all these search downtrends, I think that's just puts us in a just fantastic position. Anyway, with that, thank you, Neil.
Thank you, Chris, certainly. And glad to be somewhat noisily with you this call. And I hope that I will be able
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC0: to continue
Barry Diller, Chairman and Senior Executive, IAC: that. Thank you all for your time.
Christopher Halpin, COO and CFO, IAC: Thank you, operator.
Conference Operator: The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now
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