Earnings call transcript: Kosmos Energy Q2 2025 reveals EPS miss, stock falls

Kosmos Energy Ltd reported its Q2 2025 earnings, revealing a larger-than-expected loss with an EPS of -$0.19, compared to the forecasted -$0.05. Revenue also fell short of expectations, coming in at $393.5 million against a forecast of $414.63 million. Following these results, Kosmos Energy’s stock dropped 2.56% in pre-market trading, closing at $1.88. The company’s shares have faced significant pressure, with a 60% decline over the past year and an 18% drop in the last week alone, according to InvestingPro data.

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Key Takeaways

• Kosmos Energy’s EPS and revenue for Q2 2025 missed analysts’ expectations.
• The company reduced its full-year CapEx guidance from $400 million to $350 million.
• Stock price declined by 2.56% following the earnings announcement.
• The GTA project achieved significant milestones, including the start of commercial operations.

Company Performance

Kosmos Energy’s performance in Q2 2025 was marked by increased production, primarily due to the GTA project coming online. Despite this, the company reported a loss greater than anticipated. The reduced CapEx guidance indicates a strategic shift to optimize resources amidst fluctuating oil prices. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.61 and current ratio of 0.76, InvestingPro analysis indicates the company operates with significant leverage and faces short-term liquidity challenges. Kosmos Energy continues to generate free cash flow at current oil prices, aiming for a breakeven point of $50-$55 per barrel.

Financial Highlights

• Revenue: $393.5 million, below the forecasted $414.63 million.
• Earnings per share: -$0.19, missing the forecasted -$0.05.
• CapEx guidance reduced from $400 million to $350 million for the full year.

Earnings vs. Forecast

Kosmos Energy reported an EPS of -$0.19, significantly missing the forecast of -$0.05. This represents a negative surprise of 280%. Revenue also fell short by 5.1%, coming in at $393.5 million against the expected $414.63 million. This marks a notable deviation from previous performance trends, where the company had managed closer alignment with forecasts.

Market Reaction

Following the earnings release, Kosmos Energy’s stock fell by 2.56% in pre-market trading, closing at $1.88. This decline reflects investor disappointment with the earnings miss. The stock remains near its 52-week low of $1.385, indicating ongoing market challenges.

Outlook & Guidance

Looking ahead, Kosmos Energy maintains a CapEx envelope of $350 million for 2025-2026. The company is targeting the GTA Phase One Plus expansion and exploring domestic gas sales in Senegal and Mauritania. Despite the current quarter’s shortfall, projections for future quarters show a gradual improvement in EPS and revenue. Analyst consensus remains cautiously optimistic, with price targets ranging from $2.20 to $7.00 per share. According to InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears undervalued at current levels, though investors should note the company’s challenging financial health metrics and negative free cash flow yield of -33%.

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Executive Commentary

CEO Andy Ingels stated, "We’re making good progress in all three areas," reflecting a positive outlook despite current challenges. The finance team emphasized efforts to lower the breakeven point to $50-$55 per barrel, aiming to strengthen financial resilience.

Risks and Challenges

• Oil price volatility continues to pose a significant risk.
• The company faces challenges in maintaining production growth amidst market fluctuations.
• Debt refinancing and cost optimization remain critical to improving the balance sheet.

Q&A

During the Q&A session, analysts queried the decline rates at the Jubilee field, which are estimated at 15-20%. Discussions also covered the GTA project’s cost structure and optimization strategies, as well as potential opportunities for domestic gas sales.

Full transcript - Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS) Q2 2025:

Conference Call Operator: Good day, everybody, and welcome to Cosmos Energy’s Second Quarter twenty twenty five Conference Call. As a reminder, this call today is being recorded. At this time, let me turn the call over to Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations at Cosmos Energy.

Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations, Cosmos Energy: Thank you, operator, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. This morning, we issued our second quarter twenty twenty five earnings release. This release and the slide presentation to accompany today’s call are available on the Investors page of our website. Joining me on the call today to go through the materials are Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO and Neil Shah, CFO. During today’s presentation, we will make forward looking statements that refer to our estimates, plans and expectations.

Actual results and outcomes could differ materially due to factors we note in this presentation and in our UK and SEC filings. Please refer to our annual report, stock exchange announcement and SEC filings for more details. These documents are available on our website. At this time, I will turn the call over to Andy.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Thanks, Jamie, and good morning and afternoon to everyone. Thank you for joining us today for our second quarter results call. I’ll start off the call by talking about Kosmos’ priorities, reinforcing the key messages I gave last quarter before updating you on progress across the portfolio. Neil will then walk through the financials and the work we’ve been doing to enhance the resilience of the balance sheet before I wrap up with closing remarks. We’ll then open up the call for Q and A.

Starting on Slide three, as we navigate the ongoing commodity price volatility, our key priorities have not changed. Last quarter, I talked about growing production and reducing costs to prioritize free cash flow, while continuing to strengthen our balance sheet. I’m pleased to say we’ve made good progress this quarter across each of these areas. Starting with production. In June, we announced the Gimi floating LNG vessel had achieved Commercial Operations Day, or COD, a key milestone for the GTA project.

COD is achieved when LNG production is tested for a period of seventy two hours at the annual contracted rate of around 2,450,000 tonnes per annum equivalent. The FLNG has a nameplate capacity capacity of around 2,700,000 tonnes per annum, and we’re targeting reaching that level in the fourth quarter of the year. The project has now lifted 6.5 gross cargoes year to date. In Ghana, we’re pleased that drilling on Jubilee has restarted with the first producer well of the 2526 drilling program now online. Initial gross production from the well is around 10,000 barrels of oil per day, in line with our expectations.

We have also optimized the drilling program by accelerating the scheduled rig maintenance to 3Q, which allows us to drill a second producer this year replacing a previously planned injector. This planned producer well is expected to add further Jubilee production around the end of the year ahead of four more wells planned in 2026. I’ll talk about that alongside 2Q Jubilee production later in the material. In the Gulf Of America, the Partnership has drilled the Winterfell IV well with completion operations underway. The well is expected online around the end of the quarter.

We are now approaching Kosmos’ record high production levels with further near term growth expected as we push GTA towards the FLNG nameplate capacity and bring on more wells at Jubilee and Winterfell. Moving to costs. We focus on three areas and are making good progress across all three. Firstly, on CapEx. CapEx in the 2025 was around $170,000,000 down around 65% from the 2024 as we come out of a heavy investment period and start to see the benefits of those investments.

With a sharp focus on CapEx in 2025, we’ve reduced our full year CapEx forecast from around $400,000,000 to around $350,000,000 with the first half actual supporting this lower forecast as we slow down some longer term investments. Secondly, on OpEx. The largest opportunity for OpEx reduction is on GTA and we’re seeing OpEx per BOE fall as production ramps up. We’re also targeting the refinancing of the GTA FPSO in the second half of the year. We’re working with the operator to explore alternative lower cost operating models, which could further drive down costs across the project.

And thirdly, overhead. We remain on track to deliver $25,000,000 of targeted savings by the end of this year, with the full benefit being seen in 2026 and beyond. And finally, the balance sheet, where we continue to prioritize our financial resilience with a focus on cash flow and debt pay down. On liquidity, we’re taking steps to address our upcoming debt maturities. As part of today’s material, we announced we’ve agreed indicative terms for a term loan of up to $250,000,000 secured against our Gulf Of America assets and would anticipate using the proceeds to repay our 2026 bond maturity.

We’re also progressing additional financing activities to fund some of our longer dated maturities. On hedging, we took advantage of higher prices in late 2Q and early 3Q to hedge more 2026 oil production, with 7,000,000 barrels now hedged in 2026. We’re looking to hedge around 50% of 2026 production by the end of this year. And finally, on the RBL, to reflect the timing impact of GTA ramp up cost on leverage, we were granted a waiver from our banks on the debt cover ratio covenant through to March 2026. Neil will talk about all of these in more detail later, but in summary, we’re making good progress against our financial objectives.

Turning to Slide four, which looks at operations for the quarter. Starting with the GTA projects in Senegal and Mauritania. Second quarter net production was just over 7,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and the Partnership lifted 3.5 gross LNG cargoes as previously communicated. As mentioned on the previous slide, the FLNG commercial operations date was achieved in late June. This is an important operational and financial milestone for Kosmos as it signals the end of Us funding the NOC’s CapEx on the project.

In Ghana, total net production was around 29,100 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Jubilee gross production of around 55,000 barrels of oil per day was lower than expected in the second quarter, driven by nine days of planned FPSO shutdown, a period of rise or instability following the restart, which has since been addressed, and underperformance of some wells on the eastern side of the field. I’ll talk more on the following slides about how the partnership is addressing these issues and the actions being taken to reestablish the full production potential of the field. As mentioned on the previous slide, the first producer well of the 2,526 program was bought online late last month and is performing well. Jubilee gross gas production was around 16,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the second quarter.

In early June, we announced that we signed an MOU with the government of Ghana to extend the licenses to 02/1940. The license extensions are a win win for the project partners and the government, with partners now planning long term investments in the fields to maximize value for all stakeholders. We are working with our partners and the government to finalize the documentation targeting completion in the second half of the year. When I met with President Mahama earlier this year, we discussed his desire to reinvigorate the oil and gas sector in Ghana with increased investment in some of the country’s most valuable assets. The license extensions on Jubilee and TEN are aligned with that agenda.

At X, gross oil production in the quarter was just under 16,000 barrels of oil per day. In the Gulf Of America, net production was around 19,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day at the upper end of guidance driven by strong performance from the Kodiak and Oddjob fields. At Winterfell, the partnership has drilled the number four well with completion operations underway and the well is expected online later this quarter. On Tiberias, we continue to advance the development with our fiftyfifty partner Oxy with FID targeted next year. In Exhore Guinea, net production was just under 8,000 barrels of oil per day, lower than expectation due to some subsea pump mechanical failures at Sabre.

The operator expects the first replacement pump to be installed in the fourth quarter with production expected to rise thereafter. Turning to Slide five. At GTA, we continue to see a lot of positive progress with the project now fully operational. Year to date, we’ve lifted 6.5 gross cargoes and the cadence of cargo listings is increasing as production ramps up. Further progress is expected with production expected to rise towards nameplate capacity of 2,700,000 tons per annum in the fourth quarter.

Production of the project is expected to fluctuate slightly with seasonal temperatures with higher production expected during the winter months when the air and sea temperatures are cooler. Full year guidance of 20 gross cargoes reflects a slightly slower production ramp up that we saw in the second quarter and early third quarter. Importantly, the subsurface is performing well, which is a key factor as we plan future expansion phases. As a reminder, there is around 25 Tcf of discovered gas in place at GTA. Phase one only requires around three Tcf for twenty years of production at the contracted rate.

This is a world class gas resource with significant running room. The partnership also expects to first condensate cargo late in the third quarter, a meaningful additional revenue stream for the project. On operating costs, both start up and commissioning costs should start to fall away in the second half of the year. We’re also progressing the refinancing of the FPSO lease, starting completion in the second half of the year. Additionally, the partners are working with the operators to explore alternative lower cost operating models to drive down costs further.

As we look out with Phase I now fully operational, the next major opportunity to enhance value is through future expansion. Phase one plus a low cost brownfield expansion that leverages the existing Phase one infrastructure to enable gas production to double at a fraction of the cost to increase LNG production and domestic gas to our host countries. During official visits to The US in July, the presidents of Senegal and Mauritania met with President Trump at the White House. President Fei of Senegal spoke positively to President Trump about Kosmos and our critical role in discovering the GTA field ten years ago. He also talks about the importance to Senegal of U.

S. Investment from companies like Kosmos, the joint opportunities that could be created through investment in sectors core to the country’s economic growth, such as natural gas. The videos of the meetings are online and worth watching. Turning to Slide six. 2025 is an important year for our operations in Ghana as we return to drilling.

The timeline on the slide shows a journey we are on to deliver the full potential of the Jubilee field. The 2024 marked the end of the previous three year drilling campaign, which was done using four d seismic shot in 2017. At the end of that drilling campaign, Jubilee production peaked above 100,000 barrels of oil per day. In the second half of the year, we saw the start of a twelve month drilling hiatus, resulting in some expected natural decline of the field, which was exacerbated by facility issues that we talked about in detail last year, namely reliability of water injection and power generation. In the 2025, the Partnership carried out a significant facilities work scope on the FPSO during the scheduled shutdown.

While voidage replacement for the first half of the year has been above 100%, production declines have been higher than anticipated in certain wells on the eastern side of the field, including Jubilee Southeast. Riser based gas lift was introduced to the eastern side of the field, which has helped to restore and stabilize production, and plans are in place to do the same on the western side of the field in the future. In early twenty twenty five, we acquired new four d across the field, the first since 2017 to ensure the next set of wells we drilled in Jubilee are the best targets derisked with the best data and technology. A key event in the second quarter was the arrival of the rig to commence the twenty five-twenty six drilling campaign. In July, we brought the first new well online in over a year, a producer in the Jubilee Main Reservoir with initial gross production of around 10,000 barrels of oil a day.

The 2025 rig program has been optimized to drill a second producer well in the Jubilee Main Field following a period of scheduled rig maintenance. The second producer well is expected online around the end of the year. We’re excited to see the enhanced imaging of the Fast Track four d seismic data now coming through, which we plan to further improve using Ocean Bottom Node Seismic or OBN, which we expect to acquire later in the year. I’ll talk more about that on the following slide. As we look forward to next year and beyond, we’re back to a more regular drilling cadence with four wells committed in 2026, which will start to benefit from the new seismic.

Turning to Slide seven. I want to spend some time on this slide talking about the importance of consistent drilling and how the Partnership is planning to use the latest technologies to deliver the full potential of Jubilee. Using cutting edge seismic technology to enhance resource recovery in midlife fields is a growing theme across the industry, with recent communications from some of the majors highlighting the significant role they expect it to play over the coming years. The four d Narrow Azimuth Seismic, or NAS, shot in the first quarter of the year was the first seismic acquired over the field since 2017. This new seismic data processed with the latest technology is generating a better understanding of the subsurface through enhanced imaging, which is helping to identify new undrilled lobes and unswept oil.

As can be seen on the slide, the modern NAS data on the bottom right shows much greater definition of existing reservoirs and yields an improved understanding of fluid movements over time compared to the legacy seismic in the top right. Improved imaging of the new data also provides greater visibility and understanding of deeper potential. At Kosmos, we’ve taken the lead in coupling this modern seismic with new AI enhanced data interpretation and reservoir modeling to maximize recovery. As mentioned on the previous slide, we’re planning to acquire OBN data over the field later in the year, which will enhance the velocity model to further uplift enhanced processing. The velocity model inserts to the two images on the slide show the evolution and improvement in clarity from 2017 to the present day, and we think there’s more to go with OBN data.

The second message on the slide I want to focus on is drilling. We talked at length in the past about the need for regular drilling on Jubilee, a key part of delivering the field’s potential alongside high facility uptime and sustained water injection. As I mentioned, the twenty fivetwenty six drilling program is now underway with the first Jubilee producer, J-seventy 2 online, and the second Jubilee main field producer expected online around the end of the year. Following completion of that well, the rig is scheduled to drill four wells in Jubilee in 2026, targeting well defined main field producers supported by good adjacent well control similar to J-seventy 2. Going forward, we expect three to four wells per year will be needed to maximize the field’s full potential over a multi year period and sustain higher production levels.

With the license extension MOU, the partnership can now plan on long term investment in Jubilee, which should also drive a material uplift in 2P reserves. In summary, Jubilee is a big field that we expect will get bigger through regular drilling supported by new imaging and reservoir management technology. Turning to Slide eight. The Gulf Of America second quarter performance was good with production at the upper end of guidance helped by strong output from both Odd Job and Kodiak. At Winterbelle, the number four well was drilled in the second quarter and is anticipated to come online late 3Q.

The well is expected to contribute a net rate to Kosmos of around 1,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. On our development activity, we together with Oxy are continuing to to progress Tiberias, an outboard Wilcox discovery working on improved lower cost development plans supported by new OBN seismic that we expect to acquire later in the year. FID would then be targeted for next year. Gettysburg is a discovered resource opportunity we acquired in their previous lease sale in the Norfolk Trend. To advance the project, we brought in Shell as a 75% partner and operator and are working alongside them in a joint team to progress a low cost single well development that will be tied back to Shell’s operated Appomattox platform.

That concludes the review of the portfolio, and Neer will now take you through the financials.

Neil Shah, CFO, Cosmos Energy: Thanks, Andy. Turning now to Slide nine, which looks at the quarter in detail. Production was higher sequentially due to GTA coming on and strong performance in the Gulf Of America, partly offset by lower production in Jubilee and Equatorial Guinea. Production did come in lower than guidance, mainly due to the ramp up timing on GTA, which we communicated in June, and lower Jubilee production in the quarter. With GTA ramped up and the first Jubilee well online in July, current production is approaching record highs as Andy previously mentioned.

With additional wells at Jubilee and Winterfell, the installation of replacement pumps at Saba and ramp up further of GTA targeting the FLNG nameplate capacity. We expect production to continue to rise quarter over quarter into 2026. OpEx per BOE, as shown on the slide excluding GTA, was higher in the quarter, largely reflecting the one ten lifting we expect this year, since 10 operating costs are booked in the quarter, the cargo is lifted. G and A was lower as we start to see the impact of some of the overhead savings coming through. And finally, CapEx came in under budget due to the timing of activity in the Gulf Of America and lower GTA costs in the quarter.

As Andy discussed earlier, we have lowered our full year CapEx guidance to approximately $350,000,000 from $400,000,000 with 1Q and 2Q CapEx demonstrating we are on track to achieve the lower amount, which we believe is sustainable into 2026. With our CapEx and NOC funding winding down and production increasing, at current oil prices, we are generating free cash flow. While the timing has been slightly delayed, we remain focused on maximizing cash flow in the near term and reducing the absolute amount of net debt. I also want to mention that while working capital is difficult to predict on a quarterly basis, we do expect a working capital draw in the third quarter to reflect the timing of some payments. Turning to slide 10.

As Andy said in his opening remarks, one of the priorities for the company this year is enhancing the resilience of the balance sheet, and we’ve made progress in several key areas recently. On liquidity, we have agreed indicative terms for a senior secured term loan with an investment grade counterparty at a cost similar to our existing RBL for up to $250,000,000 which we would anticipate using to repay the outstanding 2026 unsecured notes. This facility would be secured against our assets in the Gulf Of America with a final maturity date four years after closing, which is anticipated by the end of the third quarter. The chart on the right shows the pro form a impact of this transaction on our maturity schedule, assuming we fully draw down on the new facility to repay the outstanding 2026 notes. The second half of this year, we plan to continue working on accessing additional attractive sources of liquidity to potentially repay some of our other longer dated maturities.

On hedging, we continue to add additional protection against commodity price downside through the back half of the year into 2026. For the remainder of 2025, we have 5,000,000 barrels of oil production hedged with a 62 per barrel floor and a $77 per barrel ceiling. We also took advantage of higher prices in late 2Q and early 3Q to add more hedges for 2026. We now have 7,000,000 barrels of oil hedged next year with a floor of 66 per barrel and a ceiling of $75 per barrel. On CapEx, I talked on the previous slide about reducing full year guidance to approximately 350,000,000 from 400,000,000.

The chart on the bottom right shows the material drop in quarterly CapEx from last year, with lower levels of CapEx expected to continue as we prioritize free cash flow. And finally, we worked with our banks to amend the debt cover ratio calculation for the RBL, increasing the ratio for the next two scheduled test dates to reflect the timing impact of startup of the GTA project on the backwards looking leverage calculation. The debt cover ratio will return to the original agreed level thereafter when full year revenues from the GTA project are better aligned with operating expenses. So in summary, we remain proactive on improving the balance sheet, raising liquidity, increasing hedging and reducing costs. And we’ll continue to update the market as we make further progress in the second half of this year.

With that, I’ll hand it back to Andy.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Thanks, Neil. Turning now to Slide 11 to conclude today’s presentation. As I stated in my opening remarks, our near term focus is on growing production, reducing costs and enhancing the resilience of the balance sheet. We’re making good progress in all three areas. As we look beyond the near term, there’s significant scope to add long term value for our investors through high quality production and development opportunities across the portfolio.

On GTA, with the first phase now fully operational, we are focusing our efforts towards reducing costs and doubling production to further drive down unit costs through advancing the low cost brownfield expansion that leverages the existing infrastructure. In Ghana, Jubilee is a big midlife field with significant reserves yet to be produced, which can be accessed by consistent drilling enabled by new technology and the license extension. In the Gulf Of America, a proven basin with significant running room, we continue to advance an attractive portfolio of infrastructure led exploration and development options in the outboard Wilcox and Norfolk trends that leverage Kosmos’ capability. And in Equatorial Guinea, our assets should deliver cash flow as we selectively invest in production optimization opportunities. So in summary, Kosmos has a diverse, differentiated portfolio with a 2P reserves to production life of over twenty years with considerable discovered resource beyond that.

The conversion of this discovered resource into high value reserves and then into production will be done at the right pace in a capital efficient manner, prioritizing cash flow and the balance sheet in the near term. We look forward to delivering on these near term objectives, which will support long term value creation for our investors. Thank you. And I’d now like to turn the call over to the operator to open the session for questions.

Conference Call Operator: Thank Our first question is from Charles Meade with Johnson Rice. Please proceed.

Charles Meade, Analyst, Johnson Rice: Yes, good morning Andy, good morning Neil and to your whole team there. Morning. Andy, I want to ask a question about Jubilee. You’ve given us a lot of great detail here and I I love all the technical detail. But looking at the looking at the story from the top down, you gave us the you mentioned that in ’24, the field was producing over a 100,000 barrels.

And and a year later, you’re down to 55 or let’s call it 60 adjusted for downtime. So, that 40% decline in a year strikes me as high, you know, maybe anomalously high, but if I look at it from a different way and say, okay, well, you’re you need to drill four new producers every year to keep the field flat. And if those producers come in like your like your latest one, you know, may maybe that 40% annual decline is is the the slope you’re fighting every year. So I wonder if you could you could comment on whether that’s a valid way of looking at it and what you’d add to that picture?

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Yes. Thanks, Charles. Look, it’s a really good question. I think when you look at it from the top down, I think you’re rightly sort of focused on where we are in 2Q. Not only was the shutdown a little challenged, but we did have the additional issues of the riser instability, which we’ve ironed out.

So you sort of have to look in 2Q in the right context, yes. But it was also impacted, think, by higher than expected decline, certainly in some of the wells on the eastern side of the field, in particular, Jubilee Southeast. So you go, okay, well, what are we actually doing about that now? I think we talked in quite a lot of detail in the prepared section of the impact of two things. One is better data.

We’re really pleased with the uplift we’re seeing from the fast track data in the NAS. And again, you need remember this is fast track and very early product. And to me, the uplift is huge in terms of our ability to see better opportunities in the field, both from under a loads and unswept oil. So you’re starting to see now a much clearer picture. And I think we did suffer towards the end of the last drilling campaign from the quality of the data we stated back to 2017.

So you’ve got much better data and then the ability then to improve it further than ours to the OBN, I think we’re going to get see a big uplift in the velocity model. So I think the imaging is only going to become clearer. And then as you rightly say, the second part of the story is how do you harness that improved data? You’ve got to drill regularly. And when we’ve said all along that you need to get three

Stella Cridge, Analyst, Barclays: to

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: four wells in a year to sort of maintain the production levels. So if you sort of take that and sort of track forward, I think we drilled the first of those wells in and brought it online last month. And we’re seeing production rising as a result. We hope to get a second well on around by year end. And I think that can push production up to around 70,000 barrels a day.

So the drilling is more than offsetting the underlying decline and leading to growth. And then four more wells in 2026, we think they’re likely going to be producers. If you think each of those is adding 5,000 to 10,000 barrels a day, you can see your way with the even with the decline that we’re seeing building up towards that sort of 90,000 barrels a day. So I think that’s how you get back to where we need to be. And then you can sort of rinse repeat because you’ve got quality data and you’re starting to deliver a regular consistent drilling program targeting high quality wells.

So yes, 2Q was lower than expectation and you’ve sort of done the math on that. But I think even when you were sort of you adjusted for the one offs that were in there and then you start to look at the performance we’re seeing from some of the wells that we’re drilling, you can reestablish the potential of the field. But it’s going to require the two things we talked about, going to require good data. I think I’m really pleased with what we’re seeing with the NAS and I think the fast track NAS is that it’ll only get better with the four products and then the uplift from the OBN and then back to a regular drilling program.

Charles Meade, Analyst, Johnson Rice: Got it. That’s great detail, Andy. Thank you. And then on GTA, I think you mentioned in your prepared comments and the slides and also in the press release talking about exploring different operating models to lower costs. Can you give us a sense of what they might be or more importantly what the order of magnitude might be for reducing the cost?

I’m guessing that means an absolute sense, not in a, you know, as a precursor to producing it on a unit basis.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Absolutely, yes. Look, it’s I think just sort of remember that GTA has certainly been a major project for us. The start up of a major facility such as this is an LNG scheme always comes, I think the first year is always a challenging period because you’re building plateau, you’re removing those shutdown and commissioning costs and getting to steady state. So I think the first order of business is sort of to deliver that outcome and get to that sort of plateau. And I think we got COD in June.

I think we’re holding at those levels now and we’re producing at ACQ. So I think but we know there’s more to go when we look at the individual trains and the optimization that can be done. There’s absolutely ability to get to nameplate and beyond. So that’s part of the journey in the second half of the year. Then part of the journey in the second half of the year is getting those projects and start up costs, commissioning costs out of the system and getting to a lower level, which we think will achieve both in the fourth quarter.

And then looking beyond that, the conversation with the operator is around a couple of things. We’re looking at how we refinance the FPSO in the second half of the year. That will bring a significant benefit to Kosmos and to the NOCs. And then beyond that is how do you reduce the operating costs even lower? And that ultimately Charles is about exploring sort of all operating models, yes.

At the moment, we have a model which is exclusively VP personnel both the FPSO and the hub are the ways in which you can look at models that are employed elsewhere that ultimately get you to a more competitive position. So those are the things that follow next. So I think there’s a lot of opportunity to take cost out. And it isn’t simply about moving the volume up. It is fundamentally about attacking the cost base from all of the angles that I’ve talked about.

Charles Meade, Analyst, Johnson Rice: That’s helpful detail. Thank you.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Great. Thanks, Charles.

Conference Call Operator: Our next question is from Matt Smith with Bank of America. Please proceed.

Matt Smith, Analyst, Bank of America: Hi, there. Good morning, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for all those details so far. Perhaps just have one sort of broad question on CapEx. Welcome to see that coming down in the guidance for 2025.

I guess my question really is, is that CapEx envelope now well below $400,000,000 around $350,000,000 Is that a sensible CapEx envelope to think about going forward? You referenced, of course, Tiberius FID potentially next year at some stage, Phase one plus on GTA. So just wondering, are you comfortable that you could operate within that $350,000,000 going forward? Or should we expect you to perhaps need to go above that if you were to progress those projects? And perhaps if I tack on a second one related to that, it’s just whether you’re seeing any momentum on that GTA Phase one plus project at the moment, good alignment from the partnership or how close to near term is progress there, I guess, the crux of my question, please.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Okay, good. Yes, Matt. As you look at the CapEx reduction 400,000,000 to $350,000,000 it is about really sort of making every dollar count as we look at the investment going into the company and prioritizing the free cash flow. So it is on a lots of opportunities right across the portfolio. But I’d say that the majority has been slowing down some of the longer term projects, in particular, Tiberias.

So as you sort of look to the next question then is, can you sustain the $350,000,000 into 2026? We haven’t given CapEx guidance yet. If you sort of step back and say that the primary call on capital in ’26 is the four wells that we’ve got committed in Jubilee. There is that’s a primary call on CapEx. Actually in actual Guinea, not really any significant CapEx call.

On GTI, I’ll come on to it in a minute. We don’t believe Phase one is going to be a significant part of 2026. It will follow slightly slower. Therefore, probably the FID of Tiberias will come probably towards the end of the year. When you take that and you look at the focus on particularly in the volatile oil price environment that we have today, a forward number of around three fifty million can not only sustain the company, but it will grow the company as I just talked about, through the impact of the Jubilee wells without damaging that future growth profile.

So I think it’s in summary, yes, around $350,000,000 probably right. Yes, around $350,000,000 the company is going to continue to grow. Then you have the subsequent follow on, which is more twenty seventwenty eight period of where you would see some spend on Tiberias, some spend on Phase one plus okay. Then on Phase one plus the most important thing to start with on that is actually the performance of the subsurface on Phase one. We’ve got three wells online at the moment.

They’re all performing in line with expectation. So that was a little bit of a gating item amongst the partnership wanting to see the reservoir performance. We’re now sort of we started up at the right at the end of the year, December 1. So we’ve got essentially more than sort of seven months of production data and feel good about what we’re seeing. So the reserves are absolutely there in terms of the ability to expand the project.

In terms of alignment around the partnership, there is alignment around a brownfield expansion, the ability to through double brownfield expansion of the FPSO, which is it was designed to do so it could double the rate that it’s doing today. And the incremental investment to get it there is very small. So alignment around that alignment around actually that incremental gas will go into LNG and domestic gas. There’s a call from the government for domestic gas equally, the rate at which they ramp up that domestic gas call is one issue that we’re working. And then the ability to debottleneck the Gimi to provide additional LNG capacity is the other part of the exam question to how do I use that incremental 300,000,000 to 400,000,000 standard cubic feet.

So that’s the work that we’re doing at the moment. So I’d say that, the fundamental issue is of course, so therefore around the number of wells, which you need to support that incremental sort of three fifty. Good that the reservoir is performing, we’re getting track record now. And therefore, I believe we have the opportunity, I think, to sort of really refine that well count. So that’s the sort of the work that’s ongoing at the moment.

There are three things, get the well count right, how many wells do you need, when do you need them to support the incremental volume, what’s the timing of that volume in terms of domestic gas and what uplift can you see from the Gimi to be able to deliver that.

Matt Smith, Analyst, Bank of America: Perfect. Well, you, Andy. Happy to pass it on.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Great. Thanks.

Conference Call Operator: Our next question is from Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research. Please proceed.

Bob Brackett, Analyst, Bernstein Research: Hey, good morning. I have a clarification maybe and then a question. The clarification follows what Charles had alluded to a 40% decline in the 100,000 a day Jubilee field. The way I read the release is something more like three to four wells a year to maintain flat performance and maybe those split between producers and injectors and that gets you to something like a 15% to 20% base decline. Is that the better way to think of it?

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Yes, it is Bob. Yes, I think you’ve described it accurately. So if you think about either the near term program, we’re going to heavily weigh producers because we believe we’ve got sufficient injection capacity as you ramp up from where we are today up to that sort of 90,000 barrels of oil per day. So you don’t really need today additional injectors. So you can sort of high grade the program to producers, but to be able to do that, you need the data, etcetera, as I talked through with Charles.

When you’re at that higher level, then I think the decline rate that you’ve talked about is the level in which you can manage the field. And therefore, you will be you will need injectors because you’ve got a high level of offtake and therefore a mix of producers and injectors three to four miles per year is the right way to think about it.

Bob Brackett, Analyst, Bernstein Research: And then I guess my core question is somewhat related, which is on the license extension. You have an MOU. Can you share whether there’s any change in the fiscal terms or any work program commitment? Or is that still up in the air?

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: No, what we’ve said, Bob, is that we’ve described the intent of the MAU and the dimensions that it covers. It’s a win win really for both the government and ourselves. What we’re doing is there is a decrease in the gas price, but there’s more volume. So we’ve committed to move the volume up to 130,000,000 standard cubic feet a day with a small discount to the gas price. There is an undertaking to drill up to 20 wells.

And clearly, the number will depend on the emerging opportunities that we see from the NASS. But today, we see it as being a positive view that we’re getting of the reservoir. No change to the fiscal terms. It’s under the existing law and those are the key elements. So I think for us, the most important part is that you can properly invest in the field to deliver a consistent drilling program where you’re continuing to invest in the data, because I think we can see the uplift from the NAS having sort of not been shooting seismic for almost eight years.

We need to get back to a regular program probably every three years where you shoot a NASS, probably no need to redo OBM, but we would come back to that given that you calibrated model. So that’s the real win win from this is that with a greater purview, you can invest properly upfront to deliver that regular program that we talked about, where the data is enabling you to drill the best wells that are available.

Bob Brackett, Analyst, Bernstein Research: Very clear. Thanks for that.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Great. Thanks, Bob.

Conference Call Operator: Our next question is from Alexia Petriek with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.

Alexia Petriek, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Hey, good morning team and thank you for taking our question. Wanted to ask one question on GTA costs. I think the 3Q guide came in a little higher than our expectations. I just want to get your sense of what’s in those costs? How do we think about then 4Q?

And then any sense of how we should think about it on a per BOE basis for 2026? Yes.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Dale, do you want to pick that up?

Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations, Cosmos Energy0: Yes. Hi, Alessia. So the three components in the GTA cost number are sort of the FLNG toll, the FPSO lease, and the field just sort of regular field OpEx. And so the FLNG toll is a bit higher in 2Q, given we had some bonus payments that are payable to to Golar. That’s really normalized on a per MCS basis.

It’s a little over, you know, $2 an m, on a recurring basis. So it’s a volume based calculation, and so it should be be relatively steady both into the back half this year and into next year. The FPSO is about $15,000,000 a quarter, in terms of, operating cost of lease. And, again, I think, you know, we’re saying you know, we’re working on, you know, we said we’re we’re working on refinancing that in the second half of this year if that’s on track. So you’ll see the cost come through, the cost reduction come through, when that’s complete.

And, again, you know, that’s about a little over a quarter of the, the operating cost. And then the third one, you know, like I said, is sort of field OpEx, and that sort of will be flat, you know, closer to three q to two q, as we sort of still rationalize some of the, start up and commissioning costs, and then you’ll see a drop off in that in terms of the the fourth quarter that, you know, again, we we anticipate we can hold into ’25 or into ’26, and then also looking at the the alternative models. And so, again, I think on on a per unit basis, you’ll continue to see, you know, both sides of the the equation improve both in terms of increasing volume, and cost coming down.

Alexia Petriek, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Okay. That’s helpful. And then just wanted to ask, we recognize right now we’re in a period of GTA start up costs, production is ramping. But as we think about getting to a point where we have more normalized volumes and costs come off, any thoughts about how we should think about a normalized free cash flow for the business?

Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations, Cosmos Energy0: Yes. And again, I would say, again, our view on that sort of hasn’t changed, which is sort of bring the breakeven for the business down to sort of the $50 to $55 per barrel type range. And then, again, the sensitivity depending on what oil price you’re using is about 100,000,000 free cash flow for every $5, or selling above that. So, again, I think that’s a yeah. Again, I think that’s yeah.

Again, it doesn’t exactly work out quarterly just because of timing of listings and so on. Again, I think sort of that rate is is what we’re targeting sort of across the business on a consistent basis.

Alexia Petriek, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Okay. That’s helpful. I’ll turn it over. Thank you all.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Great. Thanks, Alexa.

Conference Call Operator: Our next question is from Mark Wilson with Jefferies. Please proceed.

Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations, Cosmos Energy: Thanks gents. A couple of questions please. First on GTA, thinking ahead to Phase one plus is the most important thing we should be looking for a gas sales agreement either with Senegal, Mauritania or with a third party? That’s the first question. And then on Jubilee, a lot of commentary and detail in the presentation and some hindsight views I would say as well.

The question I have going forward is particularly with this new seismic data and the processing of that and the work that needs to be done on the longer term. Should you be operator of that field and is that something we’re looking for? Thank you.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: All right. Thank Thank you, Mark. Yes. On the first question, absolutely. I think I was clear when we talked about earlier that what we’re looking to do is work with a partnership and the play the partnership involves the government to find the right blend now of domestic gas versus increased LNG sales.

And so, yes, absolutely part of that whole optimization is around what level of gas can they take, what are the what’s the expected ramp up and therefore what would a gas sales contract look like. So absolutely, you put it in terms of the Pacific, but in terms of an output we would need is certainly as we move towards FID of that, we would need clarity around what that gas sales would look like. Yes. But again, the government is clear about the need and actually the need in the country is absolutely clear. Growing economy needs to be able to leverage gas, displace heavier displace higher cost heavy fuel oil.

And therefore, there is a real economic gain for all parties here by being able to do that. So I don’t believe that is a barrier, but it does absolutely need to be addressed. In terms of your second question, look, we work very closely with Tallo as you know. I think it’s a good partnership. I think we each have our individual skills.

Clearly, I think being based in particular, actually being based in the Gulf Of America, I think the view of being able to leverage seismic, the processing, the acquisition techniques and so on has been something that we’ve been able to bring to the partnership. I And think we’re working really well with the Telo at the moment to leverage their skills and our skills in this domain to make a difference. So there’s no difference between where the company stand on that. And we know we clearly have the rig locked in. We have six wells in front of us.

We’re aligned around the well choices and what it’s going to take to drive the field forward. So I think that in response to your question is the most important thing that we’re aligned and actually Kosmos is bringing something to the party and clearly so is Teller.

Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations, Cosmos Energy: Very good. Thank you for that answers.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Great. Thank you, Mark.

Conference Call Operator: Our next question is from Stella Cridge with Barclays. Please proceed.

Stella Cridge, Analyst, Barclays: Hi, there. Afternoon, everyone. Many thanks for all of the updates. I was wondering if I could ask on the debt side. So you mentioned that you’re progressing additional financing options.

I just wondered if you could talk about the different options that might be available to you, how far out on the curve that you’re thinking about in terms of maturities. That would be great. And, you know, in the RBL, of course, you do have some requirements to address debt, a reasonable amount ahead of of time. I could just wonder if you could talk about how confident you are in meeting some of those requirements of the lending. That would be good.

Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations, Cosmos Energy0: Yeah. Hi, Phil. I’ll I’ll take that. Just on on the further out maturities, again, I think, you know, when we set up the maturity schedule in the past, the goal was to leave a few maturities out there and then repay them with with cash flow generated from the business. And, you know, again, recognizing that, you know, the goal from from our perspective is to not just reduce leverage, but to reduce the amount of absolute debt, and therefore, you know, paying off the bonds and cash flow that generated, you know, makes sense.

And so and I think inherently that continues to be part of the plan and the big variable there is sort of is around oil prices. And so, with the wobble that we had sort of in the oil price, we thought it was prudent to sort of take off the 26% maturity ahead of time with the refinancing. And that gives us a bit of space, combined with the other proactive measures that we’ve taken on the financing side, to clear sort of a runway. And in that space of time, again, continue to work in a manner to maximize cash flow for the business so that we can continue reducing debt. Alongside that, we’ll continue to look at sort of proactive other alternative attractive sources of capital, to see if there’s, you know, cost of capital advantage to be gained in terms of addressing, you know, twenty seven and twenty eight maturities as well.

You know, they’re trading at a discount. You know, if we can raise low cost finance secured against our assets, there’s a cost there’s this capital there’s a return to be earned there. And so, the plan is to finish the Gulf facility here, this quarter, and then continue to evaluate those options. And part of that will depend on where things trade. If they continue to trade at a discount, there becomes an opportunity for us to accelerate the net debt reduction through the early retirement of those bonds.

So, again, I think it’ll be an ongoing process of evaluating that. And to your second question, just around the RVL, you again, we went through the tests, you know, comfortably in in sort of March. Again, we use an RVL price deck to show, you know, both from existing liquidity and cash generated between now and the maturities that we have sufficient sources to cover the uses. Again, I think, you know, the oil prices moved up and down, but, you know, fundamentally, we’re well still above borrowing base price decks. And so feel good about sort of the generation future cash generation, from Ability, and especially combined with the facility that we put in The Gulf.

You know, we’ll have, you know, my expectation is we’ll continue to have decent coverage, as we pass through those tests on a regular basis.

Stella Cridge, Analyst, Barclays: Super many. Thanks for that.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Right. Thanks, Ella.

Conference Call Operator: Our next question is a follow-up from Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research. Please proceed.

Bob Brackett, Analyst, Bernstein Research: Thanks for taking the question. Again, this has to do with GTA and you mentioned domestic gas component. Can you remind me, is that a pipe to St. Louis? Or is that some, LNG into regas and say the car or something?

What what’s envisioned there?

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: No, I think we’ll look, I think the primary source would be actually sort of pipeline gas. Yes. So this would be a pipe gas solution rather than LNG to Dakar. Although, there is an LNG regas facility in Dakar. So you could add incremental volume that way.

But I think it would be what we’re looking at today, Bob, is more permanent solution.

Bob Brackett, Analyst, Bernstein Research: Okay, very clear.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Thanks for that.

Andy Ingels, Chairman and CEO, Cosmos Energy: Great, thanks.

Conference Call Operator: Since there are no further questions at this time, I would like to bring the call to a close. Thanks to everyone for joining today. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.

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