Intel stock extends gains after report of possible U.S. government stake
Safehold Inc. (SAFE) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) and revenue both exceeding analysts’ forecasts. The real estate investment trust’s performance was well-received by the market, as its stock price climbed nearly 5% in response. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains strong financial health with an impressive 98.91% gross profit margin and a healthy current ratio of 40.02, indicating robust operational efficiency and liquidity management.
Summary Paragraph
Safehold Inc. reported Q1 2025 EPS of $0.44, beating the forecasted $0.42. Revenue reached $97.7 million, surpassing the expected $94.83 million. Following the announcement, Safehold’s stock rose by 4.89%, reflecting investor optimism. The company’s strategic focus on multifamily assets and a robust pipeline contributed to its strong performance.
Key Takeaways
- Safehold’s Q1 2025 EPS and revenue exceeded expectations.
- Stock price increased by 4.89% following the earnings announcement.
- The company maintains a diversified portfolio with a strong focus on multifamily assets.
- No new originations in Q1 due to market volatility, but the pace of signed letters of intent (LOIs) has increased.
- Safehold is exploring joint venture partnerships and capital recycling strategies.
Company Performance
Safehold’s overall performance in Q1 2025 reflects a resilient strategy amid market volatility. The company reported a GAAP revenue of $97.7 million and a net income of $29.4 million. Its portfolio, valued at $6.8 billion, continues to deliver strong yields, with a 5.8% economic yield that adjusts to 5.9% with inflation considerations. Despite a challenging market, Safehold’s focus on ground leases and multifamily assets has positioned it well for future growth.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $97.7 million, up from the forecasted $94.83 million.
- Earnings per share: $0.44, exceeding the $0.42 forecast.
- Total portfolio value: $6.8 billion.
- Economic yield: 5.8%, increasing to 5.9% with inflation adjustment.
Earnings vs. Forecast
Safehold’s Q1 2025 results exceeded expectations, with EPS at $0.44 compared to the forecasted $0.42, marking a positive surprise of approximately 4.8%. Revenue also surpassed estimates, reaching $97.7 million against a forecast of $94.83 million. This strong performance highlights Safehold’s effective management and strategic focus on high-yield assets.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Safehold’s stock price saw a notable increase of 4.89%, closing at $15.35. This rise reflects investor confidence in the company’s ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on its robust pipeline. The stock’s performance is significant, given its 52-week range between $13.68 and $28.8. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, trading at an attractive P/E ratio of 10.98x while offering a compelling 4.61% dividend yield. For more undervalued opportunities, visit our Most Undervalued Stocks list.
Outlook & Guidance
Safehold is optimistic about its future prospects, with a strong pipeline of $386 million across 11 ground leases and 4 loans. The company is targeting to close the majority of LOI deals in 2025 and is considering joint venture partnerships to further expand its portfolio. Additionally, Safehold is evaluating opportunities to unlock portfolio value through strategic initiatives.
Executive Commentary
CEO Jay Sugarman emphasized the company’s proactive approach, stating, "We need to be aggressive and tireless in these efforts." CFO Brett Asness highlighted the team’s success in sourcing new deals despite market difficulties. CIO Tim Dougherty noted that "certainty [is] becoming a little bit more clear," indicating a stabilizing market environment.
Risks and Challenges
- Market volatility may continue to impact deal-making and capital costs.
- Interest rate fluctuations could affect yield and financing strategies.
- Economic uncertainties may slow decision-making and capital deployment.
- Competitive pressures in the real estate sector could challenge growth.
- Potential delays in closing LOI deals due to market conditions.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about Safehold’s pipeline diversity and strategic use of leasehold loans. The company confirmed a strong and varied pipeline, with a focus on multifamily assets and affordable housing. Analysts also explored potential joint venture opportunities and the possibility of an S&P rating upgrade, reflecting confidence in Safehold’s strategic direction.
Full transcript - Safehold Inc (SAFE) Q1 2025:
Conference Operator: Good morning, and welcome to Safehold’s First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, today’s conference is being recorded. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the conference over to Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance. Please go ahead, sir.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Safehold’s earnings call. On the call today, we have Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Brett Asness, Chief Financial Officer and Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer. This morning, we plan to walk through a presentation that details our first quarter results. The presentation can be found on our website at safeholdinc.com by clicking on the Investors link.
There will be a replay of this conference call beginning at 2PM Eastern Time today. The dial in for the replay is (877) 481-4010 with a confirmation code of 52368. In order to accommodate all those who wish to ask questions, we ask that participants limit themselves to two questions during Q and A. If you’d like to ask additional questions, you may reenter the queue. Before I turn the call over to Jay, I’d like to remind everyone that statements in this earnings call, which are not historical facts, may be forward looking.
Our actual results may differ materially from these forward looking statements, and the risk factors that could cause these differences are detailed in our SEC reports. Safehold disclaims any intent or obligation to update these forward looking statements, except as expressly required by law. Now with that, I’d like to turn it over to Chairman and CEO, Jay Sugarman. Jay?
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Thanks, Pierce, and good morning to everyone joining us today. While many of the deals we hope to close in the first quarter were waylaid by market volatility, markets are beginning to adjust, and we are finding ways to provide the capital our customers need to lock down their deals. Rates remain high relative to forward inflation expectations, but it’s hard to predict when markets will fully stabilize or when the rates backdrop will be more favorable. In the meantime, we’re working closely with customers to find solutions to their needs and deploy capital that can represent attractive risk adjusted returns to Safehold. We have two goals in mind as we continue to build the business, reach a scale that starts to unlock the full value of the business for shareholders and continue expanding the universe of customers who can benefit from the long term lower cost capital and stability that a Safehold ground lease can provide.
We need to be aggressive and tireless in these efforts and believe the payoff will be well worth the significant investment of time and resources we are committing. All right. Let me turn it over to Brett to review the quarter and full year in more detail.
Brett Asness, Chief Financial Officer, Safehold: Thank you, Jay, and good morning, everyone. Let’s begin on slide two. 20 20 five has been a challenging environment for new deals as the combination of interest rate volatility and market uncertainty has repriced capital and slowed decision making for our customers. This impacted Q1 investment activity as several transactions we expected to close during the quarter were delayed, resulting in no new originations for the quarter. That said, our team remains highly engaged with both new and existing customers.
The pace of signed LOIs has picked up, and our pipeline is further along today than at the same point last year. We have nonbinding LOIs totaling approximately $386,000,000 for potential commitments across 11 ground leases and four loans. While certain of these transactions have closed in Q2, there can be no assurances that the rest of these transactions will close. Credit metrics are strong. At current base rates, we’re expecting contractual returns in the low 7% range before factoring in CPI and carat, which we believe is highly compelling.
Six of the 11 ground leases under LOI are in the affordable housing space, continuing our momentum in that sector, which we expect to be a meaningful growth contributor moving forward. We’re working with 11 unique sponsors, nine of which are new to our program, which not only demonstrates the reach of our product but bodes well for our future business, as roughly 40% of our portfolio is repeat business. At quarter end, the total portfolio was 6,800,000,000.0 UCA was estimated at $8,900,000,000 GLTV was 52%, and rent coverage was 3.5 times. We ended the quarter with approximately $1,300,000,000 of liquidity, which is further supported by the potential available capacity in our joint venture. Slide three provides a snapshot of our portfolio growth.
In the first quarter, we funded a total of $20,000,000 which consisted of $16,000,000 of ground lease fundings on preexisting commitments that have a 6.7% economic yield, and $4,000,000 related to our share of the leasehold loan fund, which earned interest at a rate of SOFR plus three eighty six basis points. Our ground lease portfolio has 147 assets and has grown 20 times by both book value and estimated unrealized capital appreciation since our IPO. We have 85 multifamily ground leases in the portfolio and have increased our exposure from 8% by count at IPO to 58% today. In total, the unrealized capital appreciation portfolio is comprised of approximately 36,000,000 square feet of institutional quality commercial real estate, consisting of approximately 20,000 multifamily units, 12,500,000 square feet of office, over 5,000 hotel keys, and 2,000,000 square feet of life science and other property types. Continuing on slide four, let me detail our quarterly earnings results.
For the first quarter, GAAP revenue was $97,700,000 net income was $29,400,000 and earnings per share was $0.41 The decline in GAAP earnings year over year was primarily due to an increase in other expense, driven by a nonrecurring $1,900,000 loss on a preferred equity investment in a Washington DC office leasehold interest. The leasehold was being marketed for sale with a portion of property taxes under appeal. We advanced funds to cover those taxes as we believed any unpaid amounts would have been an overhang on the sale process. The leasehold successfully changed cans recently, and we have a new tenant in place with a strong track record and fresh equity committed to the building. Safehold will provide additional financing for building upgrades and leasing, and in return, we’ll receive equity participation in the leasehold should it outperform.
We believe this solution is a long term positive for the asset. A portion of the taxes paid may be recovered in the future, but given our lack of visibility and confidence in the appeal process, we decided to write off our preferred equity investment. Excluding this one time nonrecurring loss, Q1 earnings per share increased slightly year over year, driven by higher net earnings on investment fundings and percentage rent, offset by an increase in our non cash general provision, primarily driven by higher GLTVs and lower earnings from equity method investments, primarily due to repayments in the leasehold loan fund. On slide five, we detail our portfolio’s yields. For GAAP earnings, the portfolio currently earns a 3.7% cash yield and a 5.4% annualized yield.
Annualized yield includes non cash adjustments within rent, depreciation and amortization, which is primarily from accounting methodology on IPO assets, but excludes all future contractual variable rent, such as fair market value resets, percentage rent, or CPI based escalators, which are all significant economic drivers. On an economic basis, the portfolio generates a 5.8% economic yield, which is an IRR based calculation that conforms with how we’ve underwritten these investments. This economic yield has additional upside, including periodic CPI look backs, which we have in 83% of our ground leases. Using the Federal Reserve’s current long term breakeven inflation rate of 2.2%, the 5.8% economic yield increases to a 5.9% inflation adjusted yield. That 5.9% inflation adjusted yield then increases to 7.4% after layering in an estimate for unrealized capital appreciation using Safehold’s eighty four percent ownership interest in Carrot at its most recent 2,000,000,000 valuation.
We believe unrealized capital appreciation in our assets to be a significant source of value for the company that remains largely unrecognized by the market today. Turning to slide six, we highlight the diversification of our portfolio by location and underlying property type. Our top 10 markets by gross book value are called out on the right, representing approximately 66% of the portfolio. We include key metrics such as rent coverage and GLTV for each of these markets, and we have additional detail at the bottom of the page by region and property type. Portfolio GLTV, which is based on annual asset appraisals from CBRE, increased quarter over quarter from 49% to 52%.
This increase was not surprising as Q1 is our largest office revaluation quarter with approximately two thirds of the office portfolio getting reappraised. We target low attachment points in our ground leases to avoid being impacted by these temporary fluctuations. Although property appraisals declined, rent coverage on the portfolio was unchanged quarter over quarter at 3.5 times. We continue to believe that investing in well located institutional quality ground leases in the top 30 markets that have attractive risk adjusted returns will benefit the company and its stakeholders over long periods of time. Lastly, on slide seven, we provide an overview of our capital structure.
At year end, we had approximately $4,700,000,000 of debt comprised of $2,200,000,000 of unsecured notes, dollars 1,500,000,000.0 of non recourse secured debt, dollars 700,000,000.0 drawn on our unsecured revolver, and $300,000,000 of our pro rata share of debt on ground leases which we own in joint ventures. Our weighted average debt maturity is approximately nineteen years, and we have no corporate maturities due until 2027. At quarter end, we had approximately $1,300,000,000 of cash and credit facility availability. We are rated A3 with stable outlook by Moody’s, A- with stable outlook by Fitch, and BBB plus with positive outlook by S and P. We have benefited from an active hedging strategy and remain well hedged on our limited floating rate borrowings.
Of the $712,000,000 revolver balance outstanding, 500,000,000 is swapped to fixed SOFR at 3% through April 2028. We received swap payments on a current cash basis each month, and for the first quarter, that produced cash interest savings of approximately $1,700,000 that flowed through the P and L. We also have $250,000,000 of long term treasury locks at a weighted average rate of approximately four point zero percent and current gain position of approximately $30,000,000 Of this $250,000,000 1 hundred million notional was unwound in April and crystallized at a $13,000,000 cash gain, and the remaining $150,000,000 notional is active and outstanding with mark to market gain of approximately $17,000,000 These treasury locks are mark to market instruments currently recognized on the balance sheet, but not the P and L. They can be unwound for cash at any point through their designated term. However, only when they are applied to long term debt would they then be recognized in our P and L over time.
We are levered 1.96 times on a total debt to equity basis, which was flat versus last quarter. The effective interest rate on permanent debt is 4.2%, and the portfolio’s cash interest rate on permanent debt is 3.8%. So, to conclude, despite a difficult market, the team is finding success sourcing new deals and expanding our customer base. We expect these efforts to translate into increasing investment activity in the near term, and if markets remain choppy or there is a more significant downturn, we believe owning a diversified pool of ground leases is an attractive place to be. Growth has always been a driving force in our valuation, But at the current share price, we think it’s worth highlighting what investors own because the discount to what we believe is fair value has grown so large.
We have a balance sheet with no near term maturities, valuable in place hedges, and significantly below market debt locked in for nineteen years. At market discount rates, we believe there’s approximately $10 or more of per share value in this debt on our balance sheet alone. On the asset side, we own a diverse pool of high grade credit instruments, call protected and contractually compounding. We also typically own eight to nine free options on CPI in our leases, which will increase returns and protect value should inflation remain sticky, plus a free option on the future underlying real estate currently appraised at nearly $9,000,000,000 which we believe over time will return many multiples of our invested basis. Part of the challenge in operating in a less traditional sector in the public market is there are no direct comps, and investors typically have less experience with ground leases than they do other asset classes.
At the current share price, we believe the portfolio is a mispriced asset. While scaling the business remains our top priority, we are actively evaluating opportunities to take advantage of what we believe is a public versus private valuation disconnect on the existing portfolio, and we look forward to keeping the market updated on our progress. And with that, let me turn it back to Jay.
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Thanks, Brett. Let’s go ahead and open it up for questions.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star 1 at this time. We will take as many questions as time permits. Once again, please press star 1 to ask a question, and we will pause a moment to assemble the roster. Thank you.
Our first question is coming from Ronald Camden with Morgan Stanley. Your line is live.
Ronald Camden, Analyst, Morgan Stanley: Hey, just two quick questions. I think you talked about sort of the pipeline a little bit here on the non binding LOIs. Just wondering if you could give a little bit more color just on the sponsors, the markets and just what your expectations on the ability to close this and in what timeframe?
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Sure. Hey, it’s Tim. As you can see, there’s a very robust pipeline here with the 11 deals. And we say that the majority are in multifamily. That includes existing deals that we’re helping recap, construction deals on market rate, as well as affordable.
As you heard from Brett, a lot of new clients here, also repeats which we see a lot of from our existing portfolio. Location wise also very diverse. We have West Coast, Southeast, Northeast, Midwest all in this pipeline. So from our standpoint, it’s a great pipeline and it shows that the diversity of deals we can close on.
Ronald Camden, Analyst, Morgan Stanley: Great. And then my quick follow-up is just on the difference between the ground lease versus a leasehold loan value. Just maybe talk us through the benefits of that to you guys as well as the borrowers. And how much capacity do you have to do these leasehold loans when you’re doing the ground lease?
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Ron, thanks for the question. As you know, we selectively use leasehold loans in the past. We have relatively little dollars outstanding right now, but we think it can be a useful tool when the markets are volatile and when we see an opportunity where certainty can win deals, it’s certainly an arrow in our quiver. So we think it’s a way to kick start some transactions that are either sitting on the sidelines because they just can’t line everything up. That’s a great place for us to step We’re going to keep it to a small percentage of the balance sheet obviously, but we think it’s a tool that our customers definitely benefit from knowing they’ve got a deal locked down as opposed to having to watch the market every day.
Ronald Camden, Analyst, Morgan Stanley: Great. That’s it for me. Thanks.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs. Your line is live.
Caitlin Burrows, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Hi, there. Maybe just a quick follow-up on the first part of Ron’s question on the LOI deals. It sounds like some of those may have already closed. So I was wondering if you could quantify that and then give us an idea for expected timing. And the extent that you don’t want to comment on these exact deals, guess could you give some color around by the time a property generally enters the LOI stage, how long it could take to actually close?
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Sure. I’ll take the last one first. Timeframe ranges on a construction deal versus a recap deal. Obviously construction deals just take more time to put things together. And then on the recap deals, those are largely fairly quick.
But our pipeline, what we expect is the majority of all these deals will close this year. But because of the timing with the construction versus stabilized deals, it will vary over the timeframe of the quarter. But again, we feel great about what the buildup of this pipeline is.
Caitlin Burrows, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Okay, got it. And sounds like then no comment on what has already been agreed upon or closed?
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Or you want take it?
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Yeah, mean, the earliest deals are starting to close, so we’re hopeful that the momentum continues.
Caitlin Burrows, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Okay. And then just at the end there, you guys mentioned the public versus private market disconnect. So wondering if you could comment on that a little bit more. Are you suggesting that you would consider potentially selling a ground lease or more to prove value or something else?
Brett Asness, Chief Financial Officer, Safehold: Sure, Caitlin. It’s Brett. Yeah, we mentioned on our last earnings call that for our 2025 goals, capital recycling was near the top of the list. We want to make sure that we are standing behind the stock and making sure that we are closing the gap. And we certainly believe that we are trading at a discount.
And we start thinking about the opportunity set of what we have within the existing portfolio, whether that mean selling assets, finding joint venture partners, etcetera. We’re underway in processes to figure out how create the best execution so that we can continue to deploy capital as well as stand behind the stock. And we’ll continue to update the market accordingly as those processes unfold.
Caitlin Burrows, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Got it. Thanks.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho. Your line is live.
Haendel St. Juste, Analyst, Mizuho: Hi there. I wanted to confirm whether everything in the LOI was that that are in the nonbinding LOIs were related to multifamily or affordable housing.
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Yeah, as I mentioned, majority of it is in multifamily and it’s a good mix of market rate construction, market rate recap as well as affordable. And we do have a hotel transaction as well. The majority is still multifamily.
Haendel St. Juste, Analyst, Mizuho: Got it. And as you evaluate your current capital staff, what is the appetite to potentially source maybe another joint venture with a large institutional partner? Maybe that would help with the capital deployment.
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Haendel, I think as I said in my opening remarks, the goal here is to scale and right now the scarcity of deals makes it more likely we’re going to try to keep stuff for ourselves. But certainly as deal flow ramps up and if our cost of capital isn’t where we’d like it to be, that’s an alternative we always consider as potentially one we can use. As Brett said, we have a couple of processes underway just to think about other sources of capital that could be more accretive to the company, but nothing to report right now.
Haendel St. Juste, Analyst, Mizuho: And just one more here, maybe it’s a bit more big picture in nature, but I understand the volatility with interest rates in the past and the volatility with tariffs and the trade war, this has really impacted the acquisition that said in the capital deployment opportunity. Think it’s fair to say that the volatility will persist here for a little bit. I guess what are some of the deals you’re looking to structure and how are those maybe different than maybe what we’re approaching in the past?
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: This is Tim again. I would say that there has been some volatility, of course. Think the range of the volatility has tightened. If you look back over the last twenty four months with the high we pay attention a lot to the thirty year treasury, the highs and the lows from six to twenty four months back, now six months back only. That’s allowed sponsors to start to have a clearer view of what their long term capital costs are.
So, I think that’s why you’re also seeing the pipeline build up here. Sponsors are now able to make decisions on transactions. Sure, latest noise is tariffs, which does impact transactions. We use the construction for an example. So deals that started to pencil, some of those probably had to go pencils down.
But look, in the high quality markets with good growth and lower supply than others, which there’s good examples of around the country, even with tariffs, those transactions can start to occur, which you’re seeing come through in our pipeline.
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: One thing we’ve seen that I think is a little bit new is customers actually asking to lock rate early and or have some sort of floor and cap and not just have a floating spread all the way up till they close. So that’s been one response we’ve seen from customers. If they’re looking for certainty, need to put the stacks together. And at least with our piece, we can give them a little bit more certainty that has been helpful.
Haendel St. Juste, Analyst, Mizuho: Got it. Thank you.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Mitch Germain with Citizens Capital Markets. Your line is live.
Mitch Germain, Analyst, Citizens Capital Markets: Thank you. I wanted to circle back about some of the discussion around joint venture partners. And obviously, you can lock in some new capital for deals, but I think when Brett had suggested joint ventures as a way to unlock value of the portfolio, I’m assuming you would be contributing assets to a bench existing properties to a venture. Is that the way to think about creating some price discovery around the portfolio itself?
Brett Asness, Chief Financial Officer, Safehold: Yeah, Mitch, exactly. I think from our perspective, both from a where do ground leases trade, right? They come for sale very often, right? It’s really episodic and what we’re going out and doing is creating them. So having a scarce product and one that is very low beta, especially in a choppier market, should be an attractive proposition for folks.
To Jay and Tim’s point, we certainly want to scale and grow. But in thinking about activity moving forward throughout the course of the year in terms of our own capital structure, and what we can do to continue to tighten costs, looking for the right partners, whether that be direct sales or JVs are on the table. In terms of go forward capital, if you remember, we still have our joint venture with our sovereign wealth partner. So we have capital tools or other tools in the toolkit here to ensure that if the cost of capital for us is not where we’d like it to be, that we can participate at the right levels. But we certainly want to be doing as many deals as we can in this rate environment, but we certainly have to look at our cost of capital as well.
So that’s a little bit of a moving target quarter to quarter, but we feel really good about our liquidity, as well as I mentioned in my remarks, the hedges that we currently have in place that are well in the money.
Mitch Germain, Analyst, Citizens Capital Markets: Got you. It’s been a while since, think you guys, couple quarters ago, cleaned up your carrots, or at least the original tranche that you sold. Has there been any consideration to use that instrument as a price discovery tool as well? Or given the decline in the unrealized appreciation pool, is that kind of off the table right now?
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: I wouldn’t say it’s off the table, but it’s a much better story when that UCA number is growing quickly. And I think you see as the pipeline starts to come through, I think we can be just a better story for investors. We still have a lot of thoughts about how to use that to create capital. But I think giving ourselves the time through the end of the year to really pick a spot when the story is strongest is probably the wisest thing to do.
Mitch Germain, Analyst, Citizens Capital Markets: Great. Thank you.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Harsh Hamnani with Green Street. Your line is live.
Harsh Hamnani, Analyst, Green Street: Thank you. It sounds like a couple of deals might have closed post quarter end. Could you give us some color on whether these or or the split in the closed deals between the four under LOI with a leasehold loan versus the seven without a leasehold loan. I’m trying to understand if, you know, the certainty that comes with that leasehold loan makes it easier to close versus maybe just the ground lease.
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Sure. Yeah, as you see, four of the 11 have the leasehold loan, so a minority of those transactions. Obviously, when we have the loan as well as the ground lease, there’s more certainty because we’re a more control of the capital stack. So those deals do have a higher level of certainty. However, our experience on LOIs is the vast majority of these will close.
It’s just timing to get those done, whether it be the capital of the LPGP or the leasehold lender taking time. So we do feel comfortable with the certainty of this pipeline closing over the year. But as we said, the leasehold loans do provide a little bit more certainty than the other transactions.
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: As you know, when we prop a ground lease that customer still has to go out and get typically a leasehold loan and their LP capital lined up and all three kind of move around. You’ve got multiple parties at the table. Wherever we see a chance to narrow that window is an opportunity to think through with the customer what’s the best way to move forward. So again, selectively using it, but it is a tool that gives them the ability to move forward. That’s a good tool to have.
Harsh Hamnani, Analyst, Green Street: Got it. That’s helpful. And then maybe taking a step back on on the pipeline. Right? What’s under LOI over over $250,000,000 on ground leases?
It’s it’s already more than what originations were in 2024. So is this are you maybe two part question. The first is how how has the pipeline evolved maybe after all the volatility in April? And then given what you’re seeing on the ground today, do you think this is sort of a sign of a recovery in the ground lease market, or do you feel like you need more time to be confident in that?
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Yeah, as I mentioned prior, the volatility in rates is less so than it was over the previous couple years, which has again helped people make decisions longer term, whether that be mostly on the construction and acquisition side, obviously what the decisions are and recaps as well. So, and yes, as you mentioned, our pipeline now, the total on the ground leases is more than we originated last year. Again, certainty becoming a little bit more clear. Obviously, there’s still some volatility out there, but it is a good sign that things have reached a point where sponsors can make these decisions and therefore our pipeline and transaction flow will increase.
Harsh Hamnani, Analyst, Green Street: Thank you.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Stephen Kim with Truist. Your line is live.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold0: Thank you. Good morning. Just going back to the topic of potential JV new JV partners, I know the current one is more geared for larger scale deals. Just what is the level of interest you’re seeing for potential new partners? And would this be more for new deals going forward or past deals?
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Yeah, as Brett said, the process on trying to use the existing portfolio is one we’ve been thinking about. I think on the new transactions, if it’s of scale and size, certainly our existing partner is our go to. And we have shown them some very, very large transactions to really see where their return parameters are these days. Will say it’s hard to talk to people when they can deploy billions of dollars into data centers and other areas about our very safe, very long term, very attractive returns, but at obviously lower nominal return levels. We’re saving our firepower with them for the largest deals.
That seems to be where they want to engage. Right now that’s our focus with them. But Brett’s working on the other half of the equation which is can we use our existing portfolio to create other partnerships that might be advantageous to us.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold0: And are there any type of restrictions on, because if you did sell some assets, your carat size would decrease. Do you have any kind of restrictions that would prohibit you from selling down assets?
Brett Asness, Chief Financial Officer, Safehold: No, there’s no restrictions. I think, again, when think about a structure of a venture, want to be thoughtful as well as any prospective partner in terms of desires and needs from both sides. So for us, we certainly believe that these assets are quite valuable, both the contractual compounding cash flow streams, but the inflation strips that we have in each of these, as well as to your point, the UCA, the value that sits above our ground lease. We want to be thoughtful about the opportunity set there, both in what the give and take is near term, as well as what the ending outcomes could be longer term. And there’s always trade offs, and we want to make sure that we’re creating value for our stakeholders that can come in different forms.
And as I mentioned, those thought processes as well as endeavors are along the way right now, and we’ll update the market as we have more detail.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold0: Okay, thank you.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Rich Anderson with Wedbush Securities. Your line is live. Sorry, Rich, you may be on mute, sir.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold1: My bad, thank you. One day I’ll get this figured out. So dovetailing off of a previous observation or question, the $2.73 in an LOI, to me it’s a good number and we talked about how that compares with that versus last year. I’m wondering why you’re not sounding more sort of optimistic about the progression of 2025 in light of the fact that that’s not certainty of close, but good chance a lot of that will close. Why not a little bit more effervescence in your tone given that pace that we’re seeing right here and right now?
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Yeah, well, I apologize. We are excited about the pipeline. It’s been a great beginning of the year here going to Q2. So, I guess I need to just change the tone of the answer. But no, look, February is a great number.
The diversity of the I mentioned, I guess I should have sounded a little more excited about the diversity of the sponsorship and the location of the asset classes. So I guess I just need to add a little more emphasis on the end of my senses there.
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: I think what you’re hearing, Rich, is these guys are in the trenches every day and we’ve been left at the altar a couple of times on deals we thought were right at the finish line and that sort of breaks your heart for a little bit and you’ve to get back on the horse and go out there again and do it. But we’re pleased that the persistence is starting to pay off. But this is not a great market in terms of customers having clarity. We’re seeing that across the board. You’ve seen what’s happened in CMBS spreads blow out, then they come back in, then they blow out again.
So everybody’s trying to grapple with the variables and figure out what should I do and when should I do it. That’s a harder market for our guys to really get people to sign on the dotted line, close their deals. And again, we’re only one part of their capital stack. So I think you’re hearing just a little bit of the frustration that our customers want to do business with us. We want to do business with them.
But unless we can control the entire stack, which we sometimes can but rarely can, it’s really hard to get deals done in a market where things change overnight. So hopefully we’re moving into a more stable period where it’s just our solution versus other solutions which is a place we like to compete. What we can’t compete with is external factors and geopolitical and political factors that move around so much that freezes the market. We’re still not seeing new acquisition activity pick up to the pace we would hope. You’re seeing refi start to kick in, even some new development, but I don’t think we’re anywhere near sort of a stabilized market.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold1: Yeah, I can appreciate the heartbreaking component to the behind the scenes. But Jay, maybe you can comment, when you guys were doing deals in the billions per year, what was the negotiating sort of difference then like in terms of binding versus non binding LOIs? I mean, how has the market shifted in favor of potential customers today versus when you were kind of a little bit more in the driver’s seat to get deals done?
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: Yeah, I’ll let Tim answer because he’s on the ground every day. Here’s my 30,000 foot view is when customers think the Fed’s about to raise rates, they wanna lock in long term capital. And when markets think that the Fed’s gonna lower rates, they’re more hesitant to lock in long term capital. We’re going to develop rhythm with our customers to help them navigate these kind of markets. A lot of it is just how and when do they want to lock in what we think is a very beneficial long term capital source.
And when we were doing billions it was a sort of double barrel. It was a better solution and they were worried the world was going to get much worse. And so I think stability helps us across the board. I
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: don’t
Jay Sugarman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Safehold: know what the Fed’s going to do today, but the presumption is tariffs are going to have an impact and customers are starting to go, hey, maybe I should just lock in right now. So I think there’s a lot of variables outside our control, our goal is just to line up against their alternatives and say ours is better. You should really consider it and the more shots we get at that conversation, the better we’re gonna do.
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: Yeah, Matt. Agree with
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold: you. So
Tim Dougherty, Chief Investment Officer, Safehold: I would just say that, look, I think the consistency of our capital is also ringing true to the clients. Every time they’ve called us over the past eight years, we’ve been in a similar position in terms of what spread we are to the cost of the indexes. So that certainty has helped a lot, as you can see with the repeat sponsors and even now with the growing list of new sponsors as well. So I think that’s an important add on.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold1: Okay, great. And last for me to Brett. What’s the conversation like with S and P in terms of potentially getting them over the hump with the other two? I’m just curious if that’s something that’s on the radar screen. I’m sure it is at some point down the road.
Thanks.
Brett Asness, Chief Financial Officer, Safehold: Yes, Rich, I certainly think that the momentum we had over the last twelve to eighteen months with the other agencies has helped people realize that this is a solid single A company. I think S and P, as you know, the engagement with them came further along. We got the rating public late last year. So we’re in that positive outlook review period. We have an annual review coming up.
But over the course of 2025, we’re going to continue to have dialogue with them. Typically these processes take eighteen to twenty four months, some a little less, some a little longer. But for us, we keep foot to the pedal on this is a very safe asset class. We’re capitalizing in a very prudent way. And if we continue to find ways to deploy and originate for new deals, as well as make the spreads and margins that we desire, and that’s through thoughtful rate moves and hedging as well, that steady as she goes.
So we’re having dialogue with them, and our hope is to get that third single A.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold1: Okay, great. Thanks very much.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Mr. Hoffman, we currently have no further questions.
Piers Hoffman, Senior Vice President and Head of Corporate Finance, Safehold: Thank you. If you do have additional questions, please feel free to contact me directly. Operator, would you please give the conference call replay instructions once again?
Conference Operator: Yes, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, the dial in for the replay is (877) 481-4010 with the confirmation code of 52368. This concludes today’s call. You may disconnect at this time, and we thank you for your participation.
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