Street Calls of the Week
Sterling Construction Company Inc. (NASDAQ:STRL) reported robust earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.46, surpassing the forecast of $1.29. The company’s revenue, however, fell short of expectations, coming in at $498.8 million against a forecast of $533.43 million. Following the earnings release, Sterling’s stock price rose by 4.93% in after-hours trading, closing at $121.65. According to InvestingPro, the company maintains a "GREAT" financial health score of 3.18, indicating strong operational performance despite recent market volatility.
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Key Takeaways
- Sterling Construction’s Q4 adjusted EPS exceeded forecasts by 13%.
- Revenue for the quarter was below expectations, highlighting potential challenges in meeting top-line growth.
- The company’s stock surged 4.93% post-earnings, reflecting positive investor sentiment.
- Sterling’s E-Infrastructure backlog surpassed $1 billion for the first time.
- The company announced a strategic shift towards higher-margin projects and geographic expansion.
Company Performance
Sterling Construction demonstrated strong financial performance in 2024, achieving a full-year adjusted EPS growth of 37% and a 7% increase in total revenue, reaching $2.1 billion. The company’s focus on high-margin projects and strategic market expansion contributed significantly to these results, reflected in its impressive 28% return on equity and PEG ratio of 0.47, suggesting attractive valuation relative to growth. Sterling’s leadership in data center infrastructure and its strong project management capabilities have positioned it favorably in a competitive market.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $498.8 million in Q4, below the forecast of $533.43 million.
- Earnings per share: $1.46 in Q4, surpassing the forecast of $1.29.
- Gross Margin: 21% for Q4.
- Year-end Backlog: $1.7 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year.
- Full Year 2024 Adjusted EPS: $6.10, a 37% growth.
Earnings vs. Forecast
Sterling Construction’s actual EPS of $1.46 exceeded the forecast by 13.2%, marking a positive surprise for investors. However, the revenue shortfall of $34.63 million indicates potential challenges in achieving forecasted sales figures. The EPS beat reflects the company’s effective cost management and strategic focus on high-margin projects.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Sterling’s stock price increased by 4.93%, closing at $121.65. This movement suggests a positive investor response to the company’s earnings beat, despite the revenue miss. While the stock has experienced a 31.17% decline year-to-date, analysts maintain optimistic price targets ranging from $185 to $200. The stock remains well-positioned within its 52-week range, with a high of $206.07 and a low of $93.50, indicating strong market confidence.
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Outlook & Guidance
For 2025, Sterling Construction has provided revenue guidance between $2.0 billion and $2.15 billion and adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $7.90 to $8.40. The company expects over 10% revenue growth in its E-Infrastructure segment and anticipates significant profit growth in its Transportation Solutions division. Sterling’s strategic initiatives include expanding capabilities in data center and semiconductor infrastructure projects.
Executive Commentary
CEO Joe Catillo highlighted the company’s achievements, stating, "Twenty twenty-four was another great year for Sterling. We achieved 37% adjusted EPS growth and 7% top-line growth." He also emphasized the unprecedented opportunities in the e-infrastructure business, which continue to drive the company’s growth.
Risks and Challenges
- Potential revenue shortfalls due to market volatility or project delays.
- Competition from other infrastructure companies could impact market share.
- Economic uncertainties and policy changes may affect future infrastructure spending.
- Execution risks associated with large, complex projects.
- Dependence on continued demand in the data center and semiconductor sectors.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the ongoing demand in the data center market and the company’s strategic M&A opportunities. Sterling’s management expressed optimism about future infrastructure and semiconductor projects and confirmed that no significant impact is expected from potential policy changes.
Full transcript - Sterling Construction Company Inc (STRL) Q4 2024:
Conference Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Sterling Infrastructure Fourth Quarter and Full Year Webcast and Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen only mode. Following the presentation, we’ll conduct a question and answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press 0 for the operator. This call is being recorded on Wednesday, 02/26/2025.
I would
Unidentified Speaker: now like to turn the conference over to Noelle Dilts. Please go ahead.
Noelle Dilts, Investor Relations, Sterling Infrastructure: Thank you. Good morning to everyone joining us and welcome to Sterling Infrastructure’s twenty twenty four fourth quarter earnings conference call and webcast. I’m pleased to be here today to discuss our results with Joe Catillo, Sterling’s Chief Executive Officer and Sharon Villaverde, Sterling’s Chief Financial Officer. Joe will open the call with an overview of the company and its performance in the quarter. Sharon will then discuss our financial results and guidance, after which Joe will provide a market and full year outlook.
We will then open the call up for questions. As a reminder, there are accompanying slides on the Investor Relations section of our website. These slides include details on our full year 2025 financial guidance. Before turning the call over to Joe, I will read the Safe Harbor statement. The discussion today may include forward looking statements.
Actual results could differ materially from the statements made today. Please refer to Sterling’s most recent 10 K and 10 Q filings for a more complete description of risk factors that could affect these projections and assumptions. The company assumes no obligations to update forward looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Please also note that management may reference EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income or adjusted earnings per share on this call, which are all financial measures not recognized under U. S.
GAAP. As required by SEC rules and regulations, these non GAAP financial measures are reconciled to their most comparable GAAP financial measures in our earnings release issued yesterday afternoon. I’ll now turn the call over to our CEO, Joe Catilis.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Thanks, Noel. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Sterling’s fourth quarter and full year twenty twenty four earnings call. Twenty twenty four was another great year for Sterling. We achieved 37% adjusted EPS growth and 7% top line growth, reflecting our continued focus on driving margin expansion and returns. This is the fourth consecutive year we have generated adjusted EPS growth in excess of 35%.
Our gross profit margin reached 20.1%, exceeding the target we laid out a few years ago and we generated nearly $500,000,000 of operating cash flow. Furthermore, our e infrastructure backlog reached over $1,000,000,000 for the first time in our history. The opportunities we’re seeing in our e infrastructure business are unprecedented. Both the number and size of projects continue to increase and we’re having discussions with customers for projects that would start in 2027 and 2028. Put simply, we are not seeing any signs of slowdown.
If anything, activity is accelerating. We are extremely excited about the future and believe we will continue to drive strong earnings growth over the next few years. The Sterling Way, which is our commitment to take care of our people,
Unidentified Speaker: our
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: environment, our investors and our communities, while we work to build America’s infrastructure remains our guiding principle as we execute our strategy. Now I’d like to discuss our results for the full year and fourth quarter twenty twenty four. For the year, we delivered adjusted EPS of $6.1 up 37% from 2023 and above the high end of our previously guided range of $5.85 to $6 Total (EPA:TTEF) revenue for the year grew over 7% to $2,100,000,000 While revenue was slightly below our guided range, our adjusted EBITDA of $320,000,000 grew 23% and also exceeded the high end of guidance. For the fourth quarter, we delivered adjusted earnings of $1.46 per share, a 13% increase over prior year. We grew operating income by 12% on revenue growth of 3% as we continue to shift our mix towards higher margin services.
This is also reflected in our gross margin, which exceeded 21% for the quarter. Backlog at the end of twenty twenty four totaled 1,700,000,000 up 2% over the prior year and up 8% sequentially on a pro form a basis. Backlog alone does not capture the full scope of opportunity ahead of us. As our work has shifted towards large multi phase projects in the infrastructure and transportation, We have greater visibility in the future phases of work. Our historical award rate for these additional phases is near 100%.
In the first quarter, we have been awarded several hundred million dollars worth of e infrastructure work, which is a combination of firm backlog and future phases. In addition, we won a large project in transportation. Last quarter, we said we could have close to $1,000,000,000 of future phase work by mid year. Right now, we are tracking ahead of our expectations and believe we could end the first quarter with 750,000,000 of future phase work. Now I’d like to discuss our segment results.
In e infrastructure, full year segment operating income grew 44% and operating margins reached 22%, nearly a 700 basis point increase. This was driven by our shift towards large mission critical projects, including data centers, where our superior project management and our ability to finish jobs on or ahead of schedule are extremely valuable to our customers. In the fourth quarter, e infrastructure revenue increased 8% and operating profit grew 50%. Operating margins expanded over six eighty basis points to reach a very strong 24.1%. The data center market was again the primary driver of B.
Infrastructure revenue growth in the quarter, increasing more than 50% over the prior year period. B. Infrastructure backlog ended 2024 at over $1,000,000,000 a 27% increase from prior year period. Mission critical work now represents the vast majority of our e infrastructure backlog, including data center work at over 60%. Moving to Transportation Solutions.
For the full year, revenue grew 24% and operating profit grew 21%, driven by strong market demand in the Rocky Mountain region and an increase in the number of projects that meet or exceed our margin thresholds. For the quarter, revenue declined slightly compared to prior year period. Operating profit margins were 5%, reflecting more typical fourth quarter seasonality. However, margin declined from the fourth quarter twenty twenty three, which benefited from great weather and timing of project closeouts. We ended the quarter with Transportation Solutions backlog of $622,000,000 down 20% year over year on a pro form a basis.
This was driven by the timing of awards. In the first two weeks of January, we were awarded close to $200,000,000 of new work. If these awards would have hit in December, backlog would have been up 5%. Shifting to Building Solutions, annual revenue growth was 1% and operating profit grew six percent. For the fourth quarter, revenue declined 3% and operating income declined 17%.
The operating income decline was entirely attributable to the earn out expense of $1,800,000 related to PPG (WA:IBSP). Revenue from our residential slab business declined 14%, driven primarily by softness in the DFW market. Overall demand for homes has been impacted as potential homebuyers struggle with the affordability challenge. With that, I’d like to turn it over to Sharon to give you more details on some of our financial metrics and our year guidance. Sharon?
Sharon Villaverde, Chief Financial Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Thanks, Joe, and good morning. I’d like to begin by touching on the impact to our financial reporting as a result of the amendment to our RHB operating agreement. In the quarter, we recorded a non cash gain on the deconsolidation of $67,900,000 net of tax. Under GAAP, this contractual change requires that Sterling no longer consolidate RHB’s results. Therefore, starting in 2025, ’50 percent of RHP’s operating income will be presented on one line in Sterling’s consolidated statement of operations.
RHP’s revenue, which was $236,000,000 in 2024, will no longer be included in our consolidated revenue. Amortization and depreciation on the fair value of RHB’s intangibles and property, plant and equipment is expected to approximate $9,000,000 in 2025. Excluding these non cash items, there is no impact to operating income or net income. Moving to our backlog metrics. Our fourth quarter backlog totaled $1,690,000,000 a 1.9% increase over the year ago period when excluding RHV backlog.
RHV backlog at December 31 was $491,000,000 a 21% increase from the prior year period. The gross margin of our backlog was 16.7%, a 150 basis point improvement from the same quarter last year. An increase of both the amount of e infrastructure backlog and its margin drove this improvement. Unsigned awards totaled $137,900,000 in the quarter. We closed the quarter with combined backlog of $1,830,000,000 which was in line with prior year levels excluding RHB.
Fourth quarter twenty twenty four book to burn ratios were 1.32x for backlog and 0.99x for combined backlog. 2024 book to burn ratios were 1.02x. Shifting to our cash flow metrics. Cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was a strong $497,100,000 compared to $478,600,000 in 2023. Cash flow used in investing activities for 2024 included $70,800,000 of net CapEx.
2024 cash flow from financing activities was an outflow of $118,600,000 primarily driven by share repurchases of $70,600,000 at an average price of $116.85 per share. $129,400,000 remains available under the existing repurchase authorization. We ended the year with a very strong liquidity position consisting of $664,200,000 of cash and debt of $316,300,000 for a cash net of debt balance of $347,900,000 In addition, our $75,000,000 revolving credit facility remained unused during the period. As we look forward, our preferred use of cash remains accretive acquisitions that complement our service offerings and enhance our competitive position. In addition, we continue to be opportunistic with our share repurchases.
Now I’d like to discuss our guidance. As we look ahead to 2025, the ongoing strength of our e infrastructure business and margin expansion opportunities in all of our segments position us for another record year at Sterling. In line with our historical seasonal trends, the first quarter remains our lowest revenue period. In conjunction with our 2025 guidance, we are introducing a new methodology for the calculation of non GAAP adjusted EPS and EBITDA. This new methodology includes adjustments for non cash equity based compensation and amortization of intangible assets.
In addition, we are expanding our definition of acquisition related costs to include earn outs. Our full year 2025 guidance ranges are as follows: revenue of $2,000,000,000 to $2,150,000,000 gross profit margin of 21% to 22% diluted EPS of $6.75 to $7.25 adjusted EPS of $7.9 to $8.4 EBITDA of $370,000,000 to $395,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of $395,000,000 to $420,000,000 dollars Considering the diversity and strength of our portfolio of businesses, our strong liquidity position and our comfortable EBITDA leverage, we are well positioned to take advantage of additional opportunities to generate significant shareholder value in 2025 and beyond. Now I’ll turn the call back to Joe.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Thanks, Sharon. There’s been a lot of conversation out there about infrastructure spending, including data centers and transportation. With the backlog we have today and what we are seeing from our customers, these markets remain as strong or stronger than ever. In e infrastructure solutions, we anticipate that the current strength in data center demand will continue for the foreseeable future. Our customers are discussing multi year capital deployment plans and are focused on how to align with the right partners to support these plans.
On the manufacturing front, we believe that in 2025, we’ll see a fairly steady pace of mid to large size onshoring projects. As we look out to 2026 and 2027, there remains a big pool of mega projects on the horizon. This would include planned semiconductor fabrication facilities. Given the complexity involved in their development, we believe it will take some time before these awards start to flow. The e commerce and small warehouse markets are continuing to show signs of strengthening.
These dynamics support strong growth opportunities over a multi year period. For 2025, we expect to deliver strong e infrastructure revenue growth in excess of 10% and operating profit growth north of 25%. In Transportation Solutions, we are now in the second half of the federal funding cycle. We have built over two years of backlog and continue to see good levels of bid activity. For 2025, we anticipate continued growth in our core Rocky Mountain and Arizona markets.
We have made a strategic decision to accelerate the shift away from low bid work in Texas. This will result in some moderation of Transportation Solutions top line and backlog, which should drive meaningful margin improvement as we move through the year. These dynamics are expected to drive relatively flat Transportation Solutions revenue after excluding RHP from 2024. However, we anticipate operating profit growth in the low to mid teens on an adjusted basis. In Building Solutions, the business is well positioned for growth over a multiyear period.
Our key geographies of Dallas Fort Worth, Houston and Phoenix are expected to see continued population growth, driving demand for new homes. Additionally, there is a significant opportunity for share gain in Houston and Phoenix. For 2025, we anticipate Building Solutions revenue growth to be in the low single digits. This reflects a combination of some recovery in our DFW residential business in the second half of the year and share gains in Houston and Phoenix. We anticipate margin expansion in 2025 as we continue to shift our mix towards higher margin residential slab and plumbing work and away from lower margin commercial.
We are working hard to find the right acquisition to grow the company and enhance our service offerings. The e infrastructure market remains our top priority for M and A. Additionally, we are seeing some interesting opportunities in building solutions. We will remain patient and disciplined in our inorganic growth strategy. The midpoint of our 2025 guidance would represent 10% revenue growth on a pro form a basis, 15% adjusted EPS growth and 18% adjusted EBITDA growth.
With that, I’d like to turn it over for questions.
Conference Operator: Thank And your first question comes from Noah Levitz with William Blair. Please go ahead.
Noah Levitz, Analyst, William Blair: Joe, Sharon, Noel, good morning and thanks for taking my questions. Good morning. To start off, good morning. There’s been a lot of new data center developments across The U. S.
For example, Project Stargate, the $500,000,000,000 mega data center investment project. A lot of these projects are outside of the typical geographic range for your plateau and patillo businesses. You mentioned in the prepared remarks about your plans for M and A, but can you talk about your ability to bid for these projects organically as well as kind of how it expedites your plans for M and A to increase your presence in these areas?
Unidentified Speaker: Sure.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Sure. I think there’s a couple of things. I will tell you that we continue to get more and more pressure from our customers, which is a good thing to expand further and further with our geographic footprint. Some of the things we’ve been able to do is leverage some of our assets in the transportation business. So we now are working on several data centers throughout the Rocky Mountains.
We’re looking hard at the Texas market and up into Ohio. But some of that we can do organically. It’s a little bit of a disadvantage when we have to ship crews halfway across the country and put them up for the length of time. It’s certainly costlier for us to do that. And in some instances, it’s cost prohibited.
Frankly, there’s some range that we get to. However, we’re also looking at acquisitions in those markets or for the right acquisitions to do that. The challenge with it is getting somebody with enough size and breadth and capabilities that can perform at the level we can or that we can help them get to that level. We’ve seen a lot of small businesses, but we just don’t have the confidence that they could execute the levels we are. In addition, I will tell you we’re strategically looking at this year and next year, should we organically put some locations in other geographies and leverage our existing skill sets, move some of our existing resources to those locations and build what we call it kind of a spoken hub model in some different areas.
Noah Levitz, Analyst, William Blair: Awesome. That’s helpful. And then shifting over to the transportation business, you’re forecasting flattish growth this year and you mentioned that a lot of it is attributable to shifting from the Texas low bid heavy highway work. Is that it? Or are you all just seeing an impact in IIJA funding related activity, whether it be from executive orders, doge cuts, potential tariffs?
Or is it just a shift? Thanks.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Yes. I think first of all, so many people are confused with doge cuts and tariffs and all that. If you step back in the transportation world, you have to keep in mind 50% of these projects are funded by the state, 50% are funded by the feds. The projects that we have in place and the projects that are being bid are already funded in one way, shape or form. So we have not seen $1 of impact related to anything.
I’ll never say there won’t be anything, but we are not concerned that anything that they’re talking about or working on would have any significant impact on our transportation business. What gets a little confusing is if you remember at the beginning of the IIJA program, there is roughly a 30% increase in spending. Now some of that has been eaten up by inflation. But if you follow our kind of growth trends, the first year the IIJA came out, you’re bidding work, it’s relatively slow, you’re getting prepared. The second year, you’re feeling the impact of that.
Last year, we grew about 24% in transportation, which is the biggest growth we’ve had in a long, long time. Once that spending hits that level, it doesn’t continue to increase every year in the IJA. It kind of flattens out at that level. So I would tell you, we saw the ramp up last year and now it’s kind of relatively flat, growing at 3% to 5%. There’s still some growth in it, but it’s not those double digit growth that you see at the beginning of a program.
So we’re riding that wave and we feel very good that’s consistent. The delta of that is exactly what you talked about. As we reduce low bid work in Texas, it offsets some of that 3% to 5% growth that we’re seeing in the market. So we think net net, we’re going to be about flat on the revenue line, but still feel very confident on profitability growth and to be able to deliver results that look like a heck of a lot more than flat revenue growth.
Noah Levitz, Analyst, William Blair: Perfect. That’s all for me. Thank you.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from Adam Telleymar with Thompson Davis. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Speaker: Hey, good morning guys. Nice quarter and great outlook.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Good morning, Adam. We’re excited about it.
Unidentified Speaker: Should be. I wanted to start on e infrastructure margins. That’s a high margin business. You’ve done 20% plus margins before, but still those were record kind of exceptional results in the back half of twenty twenty four. And this is the question I get most from clients, so I’ll just throw
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: it back at you. What drives those exceptional margins, Joe? Yes, it’s really mix. A combination of our execution and ability on these larger projects that drive productivity and synergies certainly helps us gain some incremental margin. But the fact of the matter is the larger the job out of the chute, the better the margin.
And one of the it’s a yin and a yang, I guess. We’ve been crying because the e commerce business had been slow and the small industrial warehousing business had gone away. But the reality is that shifts the vast majority of our work towards these mission critical projects and that’s our sweet spot, right? Now the good news on top of it is we are starting to see both e commerce activity pick back up and we’re at the early stages. But as we said before, we think at the second quarter, and I still think in the second quarter, we’re going to see a significant pickup in bid activity in that small industrial space.
So as we look at it, we’re positioned great with the best margin products we can is the vast majority of our backlog. And now we can start augmenting that with sort of the fill in work that we’ve historically had. And when we look at that, we don’t think that’s going to bring the net margins down just because of the growth rate differential, but it should really help us accelerate some stuff on the revenue side as we go through the year and it will actually help us leverage assets better in between those big jobs. So we that will help maintain those margins or allow us to even we believe get even better margins in 2025 than we had in 2024.
Unidentified Speaker: Okay. Makes a lot of sense. And then can you just remind us what your current scope is for projects for the typical project in e infrastructure and whether there is M and A out there similar to what you did with PPG, if you could expand your the current e infrastructure scope?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Yes. So right now, we start with a mountain and we make it flat with the wet utilities in place, right? So they’re ready to put the slab in or ready to if it’s a data center, we’ve dug all the duct banks, they’re ready to run the conduit in the wiring for the duct banks. We are actively and organically starting to move into the dry utility side of that. So the next phase of the data center is once we dig those duct banks, we now have some electrical licenses and stuff that we’ve done and got to now we can start putting in that conduit and take that next step.
From there, what we’re really looking for and we’ve looked at a lot of businesses, I feel like there’s we’re going to find something. We really like the electrical and mechanical that we touch next. That’s the next natural phase for us to move into. And we want to find a business that is in data center and preferably in semiconductor space that helps pull us into the semiconductor area and helps us pull them into the data center business even more, that would be the perfect deal for us. We haven’t found it yet.
I would tell you, we’re looking sleeplessly for these and we’re seeing some opportunities out there that I think hopefully will work in 2025.
Unidentified Speaker: Great color. Good luck in Q1.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Thank you.
Conference Operator: Your next question comes from Brent Thielman with D. A. Davidson. Please go ahead.
Brent Thielman, Analyst, D.A. Davidson: Hey, thanks. Good morning. Great finish to the year as well. Joe, maybe just back on yes, just on back on e infrastructure, I mean, it looks like you’re alluding to sort of mid-20s operating margins on guidance. I was just wondering if you could put a little more context around the range of margins you’re seeing on new work coming in between Mission Critical and more of the short cycle business that you’ll take on.
And have those margins on Mission Critical, I mean, any context how those have moved over the last couple of years? Have they moved up because you’re even more in demand? I think it would just be helpful to understand that in context
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: of margins there. We’ve seen what I’ll call base pricing, certainly better on the larger projects as we said. I would say that’s very stable. I don’t think it’s gone up significantly. It certainly has not gone down.
But what we’ve been able to do as these jobs continue to get larger and larger, we’re really able to leverage some things internally to pick up those extra few points of margin that you’re seeing. And as we get these multi phase jobs, there are a lot of things that we can do along the way to stage ourselves for those future phases that actually will help us drive even more productivity amongst them. So the good news is we haven’t seen any backwards motion. If anything, we’ve probably seen a slight tick up in pricing, but we’re really able to leverage this stuff. And candidly, after you do 100 or so data centers, you just get a hell of a lot better at it too.
Brent Thielman, Analyst, D.A. Davidson: Yes, makes sense. Thanks, Joe. And then back on maybe on Building Solutions, and I’m sorry, I didn’t catch the outlook for revenue for the year, but it sounds like you’re more optimistic around a potential rebound in the second. I guess I just want to understand one, what’s embedded into the outlook for the group in 2025? And then Joe, if you could just expand on PPG’s performance, whether you’re sort of yet leveraging some of the customer relationships I think they have that might be unique on their side to the core business and just the other things you’re doing sort of through this lull that can help you make a change of the market when it bounces back?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Yes. We think first quarter or first half, I should say, is going to be relatively slow. We’re going to we definitely are seeing a weather impact in the first quarter. I mean, Dallas was down fourteen days in January and sixteen or eighteen days some crazy thing in February. So we’re definitely seeing that, which will put a damper on some of it.
But we think based on what the builders are telling us and what they’re putting for their full year projections and how they’re starting the year, they are everything indicates the second half will be stronger than the first half. I don’t have exact numbers, but that’s the conversations that we’re having with them. And I think also you’ve got so many dynamics going on. We have a new administration, a lot of activity in D. C.
I think people thought interest rates would have dropped a little quicker. So there’s just some natural dynamics and some noise in there that are probably people a little more concerned than they should be. And we think that sorts out as we go through the year. Where we have opportunities, we love the PPG business. They had a great year last year.
They’re off to a good start this year. We have just started levering across customers with them. Part of it is getting them a little more capacity and capabilities to do it. I will tell you, we’re actively looking and I believe in 2025, we will put another location probably out in the Fort Worth area. As the Dallas market expands further west, most people think of Dallas Fort Worth as one thing.
If you’re in Dallas and you’re trying to get to the West Side Of Fort Worth, it could take you three hours. So it’s really even though it’s on the map or in our brains, it’s the same market, it’s really a new geography for us. So we’re really looking hard at that. We think there’s a great opportunity. And when we do that, that’s going to be a joint business, which will be the plumbing and the slab business.
So we’ll go at it and attack it that way. In Houston, Houston continues to grow. We have not seen a slowdown in the Houston market. We really we like the growth trajectory and our whole opportunity there is we’re working hard on how do we continue to gain share and add capacity down there. And we think we’ll continue to do that through 2025 and 2026.
Phoenix, the markets will it’s an interesting market where Houston and Dallas are very steady and very consistent. Houston’s Phoenix is a little more rocky. It will be really strong for a quarter or two, then slow down for a quarter and come back. But what we’re looking at there is we’re looking hard to add plumbing to the Phoenix market because we believe there’s a competitive advantage around bundling plumbing and slabs there. Right now, believe it or not, it takes longer in Phoenix to get the plumbing, the rough in plumbing done, which takes literally day a couple of days max to do than it does to build the rest of the house.
So we think if we can add that in and guarantee a delivery time of the plumbing and slab, we will rapidly pick up market share in the Phoenix market in 2025. So we’re not down. I think also the long range look, if you just look at the population growth and the bubble of housing needs in all of those markets, it’s pretty strong. The Scottsdale market is seeing a lot of influx from California right now after the fires and the tragedies that took place out there. So we think it’s only going to get better as the year goes on.
Brent Thielman, Analyst, D.A. Davidson: That’s great. Joe, if I could just ask one more back on the infrastructure. A lot going on with obviously new administration. It seems like day to day there’s something new. And obviously the CHIPS Act is out there, maybe some questions where that goes.
I guess the question I have is how dependent is, I guess your optimism looking beyond 2025 into 2026, ’20 ’20 ’7 on some of these semiconductor facilities, things that might be associated with CHIPS Act versus the other things you do?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Yes. I mean, certainly these big projects are going slower than not slower than we anticipated, but I think slower than a lot of people anticipated. We’ve always said ’26, ’20 ’7 is where anything is going to take place. I think reading through the tea leaves and everything, I think there’s going to be more pressure to bring technology back to The U. S.
And I think that’s in chips and I think it’s going to be in some other things. So if we take a look at it, Brent, where I feel really good is, I know what we have for ’25 with this $1,000,000,000 of backlog and $750,000,000 of future phase work. I know where we are in ’26 right now. We’re working on ’27 and ’28. And what we’re seeing is a litany of projects that are on the books, not only for data centers, we see strong growth through there, but we think there’s going to be on shoring of manufacturing of some sort.
Now I can’t tell you exactly what it is. We’ve seen some pharma stuff. We’ve seen some basic manufacturing. I don’t think it’s going to be solar. I don’t think it’s going to be wind.
But the beauty of our business is we don’t care. It doesn’t matter if it’s a chip plant or a data center or a pharma manufacturing plant or Nissan (OTC:NSANY)’s talking about bringing stuff from Mexico, Mercedes is talking about bringing stuff into The U. S. None of those matter to us. It’s really do they fall in the footprint.
And being in the Southeast and the East Coast, if anything comes back in auto, that’s generally where it’s been going. Some of the pharma stuff we’re seeing is in that kind of Mid Atlantic region that’s taking place. So we feel very good that we have great visibility and great tailwinds in data centers. If chips come, that’s a huge tick up for us. If they don’t come, we think we’ve got other opportunities that will fill that gap.
But I’m not down on chips at all. I think I still think they’re coming. I just think people, Brent, people you’ve been around this long enough. The complexity of $100,000,000,000 project that starts flat footed is it’s there’s a lot more upfront work on this stuff than people realize before you start breaking ground and building anything.
Brent Thielman, Analyst, D.A. Davidson: Very good. Thanks all. Appreciate you taking the questions.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Thank you.
Conference Operator: Your next question comes from Giulio Romero with Sidoti and Company. Please go ahead.
Giulio Romero, Analyst, Sidoti and Company: Thanks. Hey, good morning, Joe, Sheraton, OL.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Good morning. Good morning.
Giulio Romero, Analyst, Sidoti and Company: Hey, so I didn’t hear much negative on the data center side either from your prepared remarks or from the previous questions and your answers. So my first question is just more of a kind of a sanity check that you’re not really seeing a change in tone from either the hyperscalers or the developers doing DC work? And then hand in hand with that, are you seeing any change in terms of the willingness of the GCs or developers to kind of accept the contractual terms Sterling typically insists on that are kind of necessary for you guys to properly manage risk?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Yes. Well, I will say we’re seeing a change in tune, but it’s the opposite of what the messaging out in the world is. The change in tune is they are more aggressive and more hungry to grow faster every time we talk to them. And I think people are confusing some of the, I’ll call it facts, in turning it into fiction. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is a perfect example, but a lot of these guys are doing the same thing.
They are trying to grow this so fast that even Microsoft, Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), these guys have limited capital. They can’t spend it all in one year. So they are coming up with more creative ways, whether those are lease buyback models or people building shells that they can get into. And people are confusing that with them cutting back on capital budgets. Well, they’re really not cutting back on their total spend or their total build out.
They’re just doing it in more financially beneficial ways to leverage your capital better. For us, it doesn’t matter if it’s a speculative data center or it’s Google’s data center or it’s Amazon’s data center. A data center to us is a data center. Dirt is dirt, rock is rock, mountains are mountain. So we’re seeing it not only from our core customers, we’re getting inundated from all these players and some of them are very new to the market that we haven’t even really talked to in the past saying what capacity you have, how much can you do, can we bought capacity for 20 6, 20 7, 20 8.
And I wake up every morning, I read the paper, I think I’m on a different planet because I talk to our guys, I hear what our customers are saying, I hear what the news is saying and it’s the polar opposites right now. So we’re really excited about it. No issues contractually. We haven’t seen any changes in contractual language or how we go about the projects. It’s all very steady.
I think if anything, we see kind of a different opportunity out there where with all of these new data centers coming on, some of the smaller players are trying to get into the space. They are failing miserably and it’s only creating more opportunities for us in the future. So our model is working great. It’s all about delivery and speed. And I know everybody thinks it’s more complicated than that.
It’s about delivery and speed. And it’s interesting watching the dynamics that take place, but we are the number one guy in that area.
Giulio Romero, Analyst, Sidoti and Company: Really helpful context there. And then thinking about the longer term potential for e infrastructure margins, your guidance for the segment in 2025 implies pretty significant operating margin expansion about 25% by my math. But you sound more excited about 26%, twenty seven % than you do about 25% particularly around the advanced manufacturing side. So I guess, if you could help us contextualize how much higher can the operating margins go for e infrastructure over the next, call it, half decade or so?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Well, I think it’ll continue to go around project size and project mix. Again, the projects continue to get larger. There are drawings of or projects on the drawing board, I should say, of mega data centers that are exponentially bigger than anything we’re building today. I still find them almost impossible to believe, but they continue to move forward. Those would be greater opportunities and better margin.
We don’t see margins slowing down in 25% and I think we’ll continue to see margins uptick in 26% in the infrastructure, just based on what we’re seeing. We’re really bullish on 25%. When I talk about 2627%, normally we’re not talking about are we almost full or are we getting close in 2627 projects already talking about them, right? We just we’re so much further ahead of the curve than we historically have. When we bought plateau, let me just give you kind of a benchmark.
We were always happy if we had six months of backlog. That was our metric that we were very comfortable if we had six months. I’ll tell you, we have a hell of a lot more than six months of backlog sitting in Plateau and Patillo right now.
Giulio Romero, Analyst, Sidoti and Company: Very helpful. And then last one for me would just be on the Transportation Solutions side. Any way we could put a finer point on how to think about the sales dollar headwind that the move away from low bid heavy highway kind of puts for the Transportation segment in 2025?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: We do annually in the Texas market, call it $75,000,000 a year. So as we shrink that, you can kind of put some boundaries on that. Yes. So we’ve baked in all of our guidance. We’ve baked that in.
Giulio Romero, Analyst, Sidoti and Company: Great. Really helpful. Thanks, Ken.
Conference Operator: Your next question comes from Tom Bishop with BI Research. Please go ahead.
Unidentified Speaker: Hi, good morning. It’s interesting that the stock was at $198 the day before the DeepSeq kind of hit the fan. And what I’m hearing is that this is the decline is I don’t know if investors were thinking that the footprints are going to get smaller because somehow Deep6 has a smaller footprint or that less data centers are going to get built. But it seems like none of that is true. And if anything, it’s intensifying.
So it seems like that whole sell off was still founded. Could you agree with that?
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Yes. I mean, we were as shocked as anybody in the sense that it doesn’t matter let me kind of keep it really simple. It doesn’t matter if they use the high end NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) chip or the low end NVIDIA chip. If there’s a data center, we build the data center, right? So we don’t do the chips.
We don’t do any of that stuff. It doesn’t matter to us. We had just had meetings two days before that or three days whenever it came out with core customers saying, here’s our build schedules, here’s what we’re looking at, at 27, 20 eight. What do we do to get capacity for 27, 20 eight? And all that comes out and everybody thinks everything’s stopping.
So we’re seeing the opposite. I’m not smart enough, Tom, to understand all the elements of DeepSeq. But here’s what I do understand is, do we really believe that U. S. Companies and the U.
S. Government is going to allow AI to go through China to manage what we’re doing? I don’t believe that’s going to happen, okay? Do we even believe that we’re going to use Europe and other countries with the cables that have been cut and all the stuff that’s happened recently? Maybe more likely, but still less likely.
The development is going to be in The U. S. The technology is going to be developed in The U. S. I think if anything, it will ultimately, in a crazy way, drive The U.
S. Companies to run faster and harder to make sure that they don’t get bypassed by anybody else. That’s my personal opinion with two brain cells in my head. But that’s how I look at it. And our customers again kind of support that because they have they are not backing down.
Unidentified Speaker: I agree with you. Okay. Well, I’m just want to get that clarified.
Giulio Romero, Analyst, Sidoti and Company: Yes. Thank you.
Conference Operator: There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call over to CEO, Joe Cattillo for closing remarks.
Joe Catillo, Chief Executive Officer, Sterling Infrastructure: Thank you, Marissa. I want to thank everybody again for joining today’s call. If you have any follow-up questions, you can reach out to Noel Dilts. Her contact information is in the press release. And I hope everybody has a great
Conference Operator: today.
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