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The bond market rout continues to deteriorate and cause growing pains for banks. Losses in long-maturity bonds are nearing historical levels after coming under severe pressure due to...
There are several indicators to watch when assessing risk across the financial markets, and today we discuss one of the more important ones. Junk bonds. When junk bonds are performing well and in...
A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drives yields higher.Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which rose again in yesterday’s trading to...
Fed's actions and projections remain disconnected from each other Powell needs to make bonds attractive in order to keep the US economy going ahead Meanwhile, a bearish steepening has made it even...
There is a rare and powerful trend occurring in bond markets.History shows that if left unchecked, it can cause serious damage to equity markets and the economy. Over the last 3 months, US bond...
When treasury bond yields are rising, bond prices are falling. It’s an inverse relationship.And so it makes sense that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) has fallen sharply...
Stocks are tanking as markets price in higher for longer scenario Meanwhile, bonds have declined for 2 years in a row and are on track for a third bearish year As economic weakness sets in eventually...
Fixed-income investors looking for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023.The upside performance...
The US 10-year Treasury yield continued to trend higher in August, rising further above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three...
Current yields continue to show signs of peaking, based on a broad review of the major asset classes via a set of proxy ETFs. In each of our periodic updates of yields so far this year, the numbers...
Over the last few weeks, bond markets have been on the move: 30-Year Treasury yields have rapidly surged from below 4% to almost 4.50% catching many by surprise.Yet understanding why and what drives...
The previous article discussed the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could temporarily upset the Treasury market,...
“China, Japan, inflation, deficits, and QT, oh my!” – The chant of bond traders watching yields creep higher.Despite the highest yields in 15 years, some bearish bond traders think...
The last time you could lock in a real (inflation-adjusted) yield with inflation-adjusted Treasuries (TIPS), the world was still cleaning up the mess from the financial crisis. A lot has changed since...
Rising interest rates are beginning to spook investors. And rightfully so.It’s been the fastest rise in rates in decades. And just when we thought interest rates were easing, they pushed higher...