S&P 500 and Nasdaq Extend Bullish Setup Despite MACD Sell Signals

Published 18/07/2025, 08:07
Updated 18/07/2025, 08:08

Market action remains firmly bullish, despite Trump’s best efforts to negate it. We didn’t see accumulation volume across the board, but we saw solid bullish candlesticks.

The S&P 500 posted a more subtle gain, albeit a gain nonetheless, accompanied by higher volume accumulation. There is still a MACD trigger ’sell’ in play, but it would be hard to be a bear here.SPX-Daily Chart

The Nasdaq experienced the strongest accumulation, although the MACD remains on a ’sell’ signal. The index is outperforming peer indices in relative terms, but yesterday’s close marks a new high for the rally off April lows, so this can’t be ignored.
Nasdaq Comp-Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (IWM) posted a solid bullish white candlestick while technicals remained mixed with a MACD trigger ’sell’. I would still think bulls are in control, but see how things go on the next push above $225.IWM-Daily Chart

Bitcoin ($BTCUSD) has been surging, and yesterday’s relatively modest white candlestick keeps this momentum going. I would be looking for the inverse hammer (with the spike high) to be challenged next week. Technicals are net bullish.BTC/USD-Daily Chart

The Semiconductor Index has been doing most of the bullish legwork. We still have a ’sell’ trigger in the MACD and CCI, but it has been the price action leader. I would be concerned if there is an undercut of the 20-day MA, as this would likely come with expanding technical weakness.

SOX-Daily Chart

Indices have been strong to date, and I would expect this to continue. American economic policy has been a total mess, but if markets are willing to ignore it, then you should too.

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