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AUD underperforms on Liberation Day as risk sentiment dives. US hits China with additional 34% tariff, overshadowing Australia’s lighter treatment. EUR/AUD breaks out, eyes 1.7800; GBP/AUD nears...
High-beta currencies have rallied overnight, perhaps indicating that the US will opt for a flat rate over country-specific tariffs, which could be seen as slightly more lenient. But it’s also been...
The US dollar started the week on the front foot thanks to some defensive positioning ahead of tomorrow’s tariff announcement. Barring data disappointment (JOLTS and ISM manufacturing), there is a...
AUD under pressure as risk sentiment weakens ahead of April 2. GBP/AUD tests 2.0627 resistance, EUR/AUD eyes breakout extension. Momentum signals mixed, reinforcing the need for decisive price...
Trump said yesterday that tariffs on Mexico and Canada are still on the table ahead of next Monday’s deadline. Markets remain reluctant to price that in for now, and some soft US consumer confidence...
Should Russia and Ukraine ultimately reach a peace deal, the US dollar is probably due another moderate correction – but for now, markets are lacking tangible bearish USD drivers and we think the...
We should see little action before a busier second half of the week in the US and eurozone. If anything, the dollar should see some support ahead of tomorrow’s inflation numbers. Inflation numbers in...
Key data and geopolitical risks could shape the dollar’s next move. Recent volatility signals shifting dynamics for the greenback. However, the bullish outlook seems to be intact ahead of thin...
The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict had only a short-lived impact on FX, and safe-haven demand has rapidly faded. The balance of risks is shifting more to the upside for the US dollar, also...
Markets were quick to buy US Dollar after a minor correction as US CPI was released yesterday. This move might reflect expectations for the coming year, as a USD-positive policy mix under Trump is...
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