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Recent consumer sentiment readings have been horrendous. For instance, the University of Michigan’s latest consumer expectations and the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index are at or near...
US futures rebound alongside global markets, but holiday uncertainty keeps sentiment on edge. Trade optimism from Japan talks and ECB decisions drive cautious buying across risk assets. S&P...
In this episode, we dive deep into gold evolving role—from its value against the S&P 500 to its backing of the monetary base, share in global assets, and how gold stocks are priced across key...
What a boring day! At least on Monday, the price moved some, but Tuesday was just boring. There was sideways trading ahead of today's March retail sales report. I’m not sure how much that was playing...
Indices are reaching an endpoint in their relief bounces, but the asset that is most likely to break lower is Bitcoin (BTC/USD). It's generating spike highs at channel resistance with a significant...
As discussed in “Credit Spreads,” the one market signal worth your attention is “credit.” Credit spreads reflect the perceived risk of corporate bonds compared to government bonds. The spread between...
In November last year, I discussed the importance of yield spreads, historically the market’s “early warning system.” To wit:“ “Yield spreads are critical to understanding market sentiment and...
The misinformation age has gone from bad to worse, which means the onus is on all of us to read reports thoroughly, not just the headlines and what is being talked about on social media platforms. In...
Things should stabilize as markets make a run to test the March swing low. I would expect to see a retest of last week's lows at some point over the coming couple of months, but for now, bulls can...
US stocks ended Thursday's session in negative territory. However, the S&P 500 surged 8.5% off its lows on Wednesday as the administration announced a 90-day tariff pause for all countries except...
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