Breaking News
Quotes
All Instrument Types
  • All Instrument Types
  • Indices
  • Equities
  • ETFs
  • Funds
  • Commodities
  • Currencies
  • Crypto
  • Bonds
  • Certificates

Please try another search

Search website for: 
Popular News
More
Popular Analysis
More
More
FLASH SALE
/Free Sign Up
 0
🔎 FLASH SALE: 50% off InvestingPro | See what others miss, trade with confidence.
Claim Sale

Alfonso Peccatiello

The Macro Compass
Joined: Feb 17, 2019
  • Analysis & Comment

Alfonso Peccatiello's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Alfonso Peccatiello's articles, including current analysis & comment.

A Macro Primer: Modern Asset Allocation 101
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Oct 11, 2025
The strategy I deploy in my macro hedge fund, Palinuro Capital, relies on many quantitative inputs, and one of the most important remains our Quadrant Asset Allocation Model.The principles are...
This chart is insane. The amount of $ spent in data centers is now almost bigger than what the US spends in office construction. Just to give you a reference: in 2022, $ spent on office construction...
The Trump administration will soon unleash its real bazooka.This is the biggest move from the Trump administration, and almost nobody is talking about it. I am referring to banking deregulation. When,...
One of the biggest risk in markets lies in the Dispersion Trade.The Dispersion Trade involves buying volatility on single stocks constituting the index and selling index volatility against it. The...
My macro models have been suggesting a bi-modal framework to approach markets for the near future: Run It Cold Now (growth).My Run It Cold Now theory has been increasingly vindicated by labor market...
The Problem With AI Economy
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Oct 07, 2025
As you know, my working theory over the last few months has been Run It Cold Now, Run It Hot Later.Given how much the Run It Hot Later seems to be the consensus, in this piece I’ll focus again...
BREAKING: The US labor market.With the US government in shutdown, we are not sure we will get the usual BLS release of Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday. And this is why a lot of attention goes to its...
Polymarket is pricing an 80% chance of a US government shutdown by the end of the day, with decent volume behind - effectively, punters price in a strong base case, we are really shutting the...
The best macro investors all use this powerful strategy - and it’s not what you think.When you look at the longest, most successful track records in macro investing, you are left with: 1....
Will 2026 Mark the Turning Point for AI Investments?
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Sep 23, 2025
2026 will be the reckoning year for the ’’AI Economy".So far in 2025, US firms’ planned capex on AI-related projects is set to exceed $400 bn. As you see from the chart below, big...