BofA lifts Checkpoint Software target to $230, keeps neutral rating

Published 31/01/2025, 12:12
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On Friday, BofA Securities adjusted its price target for Checkpoint Software (NASDAQ:CHKP), increasing it to $230 from the previous $195, while maintaining a neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows Checkpoint’s reported revenue growth of 6.1% year-over-year, which surpassed the 5.3% growth anticipated by analysts. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has shown impressive momentum, gaining 17.3% year-to-date and currently trades near its 52-week high of $226.03.

The company’s operating margin was 80 basis points lower than expected, but this was counterbalanced by a 200 basis points reduction in the tax rate. Consequently, Checkpoint’s earnings per share (EPS) exceeded estimates by $0.05, coming in at $2.70. The guidance provided for the first quarter and the full year 2025 appeared to align with current expectations. InvestingPro analysis reveals an impressive gross profit margin of 88.53%, demonstrating strong operational efficiency. Subscribers can access 14+ additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics for deeper insights.

Checkpoint’s new Chief Executive Officer has made promising remarks about forthcoming go-to-market strategies and product initiatives. However, analysts at BofA Securities noted that these developments are not projected to influence the company’s performance in the short term. The firm’s analysts have chosen to concentrate on Checkpoint’s lackluster growth profile, pointing out that the fourth-quarter performance was propelled by refreshes of legacy Firewall products rather than by subscription services.

In their analysis, BofA Securities has slightly adjusted their margin expectations to match the management’s targets. The new price objective of $230 is based on a valuation of 19 times enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF), an increase from the prior 16 times, to better align with the valuations of Checkpoint’s peer group. With a current market capitalization of $24.09 billion and a P/E ratio of 27.33, InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently overvalued.

In other recent news, Checkpoint Software has been the focus of several analyst firms, each adjusting their price targets following a strong financial performance. Stifel has raised Checkpoint Software’s target to $220, maintaining a hold rating, and highlighting the company’s potential for mid-to-high single-digit top-line growth. Cantor Fitzgerald has also lifted the company’s stock price target to $220, noting robust Q4 results that surpassed consensus expectations.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) increased Checkpoint’s stock price target to $200, following a remarkable Q4 performance characterized by a notable beat on the top line. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities has updated its view on Checkpoint, raising the price target to $220, and acknowledging the company’s total revenue growth of 6%. Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James has set the highest target, lifting Checkpoint’s target to $240, and maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock.

These adjustments come in light of recent developments, including strong Q4 results, the introduction of a new CEO, and promising business acquisitions. Analysts from various firms, including Stifel, Cantor Fitzgerald, Morgan Stanley, Mizuho Securities, and Raymond James, have provided their insights into the company’s growth trajectory and financial health.

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