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UPDATE 1-Euro, bond yields fall further, ECB head Lagarde's tone seen as dovish

Published 23/01/2020, 16:58
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Euro, bond yields fall further, ECB head Lagarde's tone seen as dovish
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By Yoruk Bahceli

LONDON, Jan 23 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a six-week low

and German bond yields dropped to their lowest in two weeks on

Thursday after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde

struck a slightly more dovish tone than some had expected during

her press conference.

The moves were small, however, and also broadly tracked

global markets where investors sold stocks and bought safe-haven

assets such as the yen and government bonds amid growing fears

about the spread of a respiratory virus from China.

New cases in Singapore and Saudi Arabia are rekindling

memories of a similar 2002-2003 outbreak that dented economic

growth.

But the bond rally accelerated after the ECB made no changes

to policy and Lagarde told the news conference that risks to

growth in the euro zone remained tilted to the downside. She

said however the bias had become less pronounced as uncertainty

around international trade recedes.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, already down on the day,

extended its fall and was down 5 basis points on the day to

-0.304% after the ECB news conference, the lowest in over two

weeks.

Italian government bond yields also fell further and were

down 8 bps for their biggest tumble in over a month. IT10YT=RR

In recent weeks, economists have been encouraged by positive

data readings to believe that euro zone economic activity has

bottomed out. But Antoine Bouvet, senior rates strategist at

ING, said market expectations had likely been of a more upbeat

assessment of the economy.

Lagarde had "declined on a few occasions to distance herself

from negative interest rates," he added.

Shares in euro zone banks turned lower after an initial rise

as investors interpreted Lagarde's comments to mean 'lower for

longer' interest rates -- damaging for banks' profit margins --

would continue in the foreseeable future.

The banking index slumped 1.1% to 1-1/2 month low .SX7P .

The euro fell back to $1.1059 EUR=EBS , down 0.3% and its

weakest since Dec. 9.

"The euro is not about to receive support from ECB policy

any time soon," Nordea analysts told clients.

The ECB also launched its well-anticipated strategic review,

which Lagarde said was likely to take about a year, although she

hinted it could take longer.

She declined to comment on what changes she might favour to

the inflation target, but promised to "not leave any stone

unturned".

Some investors appeared disappointed with the meeting and

the strategy review announcement. "Today's meeting was expected to be the hors d'oeuvre of the

ECB's policy review. In reality it was more akin to the

notification that ECB would be cooking dinner," said Andrew

Mulliner, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson.

Euro zone markets react to ECB news conference https://tmsnrt.rs/2tK6QCK

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