Get 40% Off
These stocks are up over 10% post earnings. Did you spot the buying opportunity? Our AI did.Read how

GLOBAL MARKETS-After bruising week, global stocks make fragile gains ahead of U.S jobs data

Published 04/10/2019, 10:31
Updated 04/10/2019, 10:41
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-After bruising week, global stocks make fragile gains ahead of U.S jobs data

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Markets nervous before non-farm payrolls

* Europe stocks bear brunt of global economic woes, set for

worst

week in months

* Safe havens rise: euro-zone government bond yields fall,

gains

* Central banks struggling with response to trade friction

* Asia ex-Japan stocks headed for third weekly decline

By Josephine Mason

LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Global stocks were slightly higher

on Friday, clawing back some ground lost in their worst week for

months, and safe haven assets rose ahead of a key jobs report as

investors hoped this week's dismal data would trigger more U.S.

interest rate cuts.

Trading overall was subdued after a bruising week for assets

considered riskier in times of economic and political stress

following a slew of week economic data that revealed a slowdown

in U.S. manufacturing and services.

But a fragile optimism emerged that evidence showing the

trade war has dented the world's top economy may spur U.S.

President Donald Trump towards a more conciliatory stance over

the dispute with China as campaigning for next year's election

ramps up.

It may also prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates

again.

MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks shares

in 47 countries, eked out small gains, up slightly at 0905 GMT

and reversing earlier losses in Asia as investors looked to a

key U.S. job report that could determine whether the Federal

Reserve cuts rates further.

Taking comfort from gains on Wall Street overnight, European

bourses were all higher, with the pan European STOXX 600

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

.STOXX and euro-zone .STOXXE benchmark up 0.2%.

"(The) market has very quickly reversed to the 'bad news is

good news' model and rallied on increased rate cut expectation,"

said Marija Veitmane, multi-asset senior strategist at State

Street Global Markets.

Still the global index was on track for a 1.8% drop on the

week, its worst in two months, hurt by a drum roll of weak

global data, political uncertainty in the United States and Hong

Kong, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Brexit.

Europe, and in particular London's FTSE 100, has lagged the

global market, bearing the brunt of woes from a global

manufacturing recession to growing trade conflicts and

uncertainty over the Britain's exit from the European Union.

On Wednesday, Washington said it would impose 10% tariffs on

European-made Airbus planes AIR.PA and 25% duties on European

products such as French wine, as punishment for illegal EU

aircraft subsidies, opening a new front on the global trade

spat.

U.S. stock futures ESc1 were lower, signalling a weaker

open later and reversing a 0.80% increase in the S&P 500 on Wall

Street overnight on hopes that future Fed rate cuts will support

corporate profits. .N

Talks between Beijing and Washington resume next week, aimed

at agreeing a truce over the protracted trade spat between the

world's two largest economies, although hopes of a definitive

agreement are pretty low.

Global equities could fall as much as 15-20% if negotiations

break down and Trump follows through with his threat of car

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

imports tariffs, UBS global chief investment officer Mark

Haefele warned on Friday.

The Swiss bank reckons there's a 50% probability that

additional duties will be announced by the year-end, potentially

pushing global growth down to 3% next year, the slowest pace

since the global financial crisis.

"Without a resolution to the U.S.-China trade dispute, we

see limited upside for stocks in the near-term, and given the

risks of further escalation we hold a modest tactical

underweight on equities," he said.

SAFE HAVENS

Signs the U.S. economy was losing momentum, and nerves ahead

of key jobs numbers later in the day, sent investors into safe

haven asset such as government bonds and gold XAU= .

U.S. nonfarm payrolls data is expected to show the world's

top economy added 145,000 new jobs in September, more than an

increase of 130,000 in the previous month.

Euro-zone government bond yields were lower in early

European trading and spot gold was up 0.3%, on course for a

0.75% weekly gain. GOL/ GVD/EUR

U.S. Treasury prices fell slightly overnight but two-year

yields US2YT=RR ,which track expectations for U.S. monetary

policy, remained near the lowest in two years.

The dollar index .DXY steadied after hitting a 2-1/2-year

high this week. It was down 0.3% on the week.

Traders see a 85.2% chance the Fed will cut rates by 25

basis points to 1.75%-2.00% in October, up from 39.6% on Monday,

according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

The Fed has already cut rates twice this year as

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

policymakers try to limit the damage caused by the bruising

Sino-U.S. trade war.

The dollar edged down to 106.81 yen JPY=EBS , close to a

one-month low of 106.48 yen reached on Thursday. The euro

EUR=EBS was a shade higher at $1.0974, near a one-week high.

For the week, the dollar was down 1.04% versus the yen and

off 0.3% against the common currency.

U.S. crude CLc1 rose 0.3% to $52.76 a barrel, while Brent

crude LCOc1 rose 0.7% to $58.11 per barrel. For the week,

crude futures were on course for a steep decline, their worst

performance since July 19.

Historical monthly performance of U.S. stocks png https://tmsnrt.rs/2onTJUS

World PMI https://tmsnrt.rs/2OkwGVY

Global stocks https://tmsnrt.rs/2LLhPSt

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.